Texas Winter 2024-2025

[Brent]

This is just bizarre to me all this talk about sun angle now and just another cold front and yet... It ain't working today here

[wxman22]

At my location, today’s official forecast afternoon high was 48 (and sunny).

My afternoon high was 29 under cloudy skies. That’s 19 degrees difference. Probably one of the biggest busts I’ve ever seen. Honestly, I can’t think of a bigger bust than that.

Someone tell WxMan57 his walls have failed. The reinforcements quickly fled the scene. The breach was quick and brutal this morning.

WxMan57 is soon to ask, "did today's high make my bust look big?".

Shallow. Dense. Cold. Hurry up AI and teach today's models how to predict.

Funny you say that, because the EURO AI has did a good job this year with these arctic outbreaks. It's been beating the regular Euro with temps and the timing of these fronts. OUN has taken notice of that in their discussions also.

Early March is starting to look interesting, maybe a another winter storm?...

[Cpv17]

At my location, today’s official forecast afternoon high was 48 (and sunny).

My afternoon high was 29 under cloudy skies. That’s 19 degrees difference. Probably one of the biggest busts I’ve ever seen. Honestly, I can’t think of a bigger bust than that.

Someone tell WxMan57 his walls have failed. The reinforcements quickly fled the scene. The breach was quick and brutal this morning.

WxMan57 is soon to ask, "did today's high make my bust look big?".

Shallow. Dense. Cold. Hurry up AI and teach today's models how to predict.

Funny you say that, because the EURO AI has did a good job this year with these arctic outbreaks. It's been beating the regular Euro with temps and the timing of these fronts. OUN has taken notice of that in their discussions also.

Early March is starting to look interesting, maybe a another winter storm?...

What did the 12z Euro and EPS look like? I haven’t seen anything about it yet.

[wxman22]

WxMan57 is soon to ask, "did today's high make my bust look big?".

Shallow. Dense. Cold. Hurry up AI and teach today's models how to predict.

Funny you say that, because the EURO AI has did a good job this year with these arctic outbreaks. It's been beating the regular Euro with temps and the timing of these fronts. OUN has taken notice of that in their discussions also.

Early March is starting to look interesting, maybe a another winter storm?...

What did the 12z Euro and EPS look like? I haven’t seen anything about it yet.

I haven't checked the EPS yet but the operational runs of the EURO and GFS for a few days now have been showing a stormy pattern during the first week or so of March. With cold air available to the north for storms to potentially tap into. We'll have to see if the signal grows as we get closer in range, before getting excited though LOL.

[Brent]

Coldest high ever this late in the season for Tulsa

Just another cold front guys

[Cpv17]

Coldest high ever this late in the season for Tulsa

Just another cold front guys

We didn’t get above freezing here today and that’s only happened maybe 3 or 4 times down here from what I can remember. Very rare stuff.

[Cpv17]

Already down to 27°F here, sheesh.

[mmmmsnouts]

DFW somehow got up to 28 degrees when the clouds scattered a little bit late in the afternoon. Low was either 12 or 13. It stayed below 20 until after 2pm.

Have to give FWS credit for picking up on the two lake effect snow situations these last two winters, they called them both.

[orangeblood]

DFW somehow got up to 28 degrees when the clouds scattered a little bit late in the afternoon. Low was either 12 or 13. It stayed below 20 until after 2pm.

Have to give FWS credit for picking up on the two lake effect snow situations these last two winters, they called them both.

Record low max was set today, beat prior record of 31 set in 2006 & 1903. Record low of 19F set in 1939 for Feb 20th should be easily beaten/already broken by midnight tonight before cratering into the low teens by sunrise!

[txtwister78]

Extended RAP & HRRR models still bullish on freezing drizzle/light frz rain developing early Friday morning across SC TX. Right now, NWS is more focused on late Friday night into early Saturday morning, but that may change if models continue to signal this earlier threat.

https://weather.cod.edu/forecast/?parms=2025021921-RAP-SGP-winter-frzra-51-0-100

https://weather.cod.edu/forecast/?parms=2025021918-HRRR-SGP-winter-ptype-44-0-100

[Bobbyh83]

I normally just lurk here, but I had to log in to to tell Wxman57 his wall broke. I've been mid 20s here in magnolia for hours now, sub freezing since mid day. Already had to thaw out two faucets outside. Way faster and colder than what I was expecting. Thanks to everyone for sharing the knowledge for winter and hurricane season.

[rwfromkansas]

https://youtu.be/Snci3iLzvPg?feature=shared

A storm chasing video game......

Got it on Steam and really like it so far.

[HockeyTx82]

https://youtu.be/Snci3iLzvPg?feature=shared

A storm chasing video game......

Got it on Steam and really like it so far.

When did you get it after I posted about it or did you already know about it?

[Stratton23]

WRF models are coming in a bit more aggressive and widespread with freezing rain/ sleet mixed in across sc texas and portions of se texas, one thing that has my concern especially that im watching closely, is forecasted temperatures, we saw today how just about every model busted badly with the cold, even the short range guidance was 3-5 degrees too warm on average, if surface temperatures happen to be a little more colder than what current short range models show on friday- saturday midday , we could be potentially looking at a more widespread and significant event depending on when precipitation starts

[txtwister78]

Friday continues to look dicey for travel potentially across SC TX and the Hill Country. Latest WRF members have freezing drizzle and light rain breaking out now. Good news is this still looks to be light overall but it won't take much to cause issues on the bridges and overpasses with temps in the low 30's and upper 20's.

[txtwister78]

WRF models are coming in a bit more aggressive and widespread with freezing rain/ sleet mixed in across sc texas and portions of se texas, one thing that has my concern especially that im watching closely, is forecasted temperatures, we saw today how just about every model busted badly with the cold, even the short range guidance was 3-5 degrees too warm on average, if surface temperatures happen to be a little more colder than what current short range models show on friday- saturday midday , we could be potentially looking at a more widespread and significant event depending on when precipitation starts

Didn't see your post but I can see temps dropping not so much with reinforcing cold but dewpoints starting out low as precip/moisture begins to moisten the atmosphere/column temps should fall a few degrees, but to your point where temps originate before cloud cover moves back in Thursday night and how much do they fall could make this more of an issue especially if we don't warm much above freezing Friday.

[gpsnowman]

January and February have been fun after a disastrous December. Will March lead off with one more round of winter? We'll be in the spring thread by then.

[Quixotic]

Still have light flurries along 380. Rather odd as it was sunny earlier.

[gpsnowman]

Still have light flurries along 380. Rather odd as it was sunny earlier.

Clouds have rolled in. Single digit readings in danger!!!

[Ralph's Weather]

For Tyler 2025 could well show up in the record book the same number of times as 2021 between record lows and record low high. 2021 had 5. 2025 has a legit shot at 5 from this event.
Today record low high was 31 and we had a high of 24. It is already down to 19 so tomorrows record low of 19 will fall at midnight. Tomorrow's record low high is 36, that likely also falls. Fridays records of 19 and 35 will be close but are attainable. Today was also the latest ever sub 26 high. Basically this event is only rivaled by 1978 and 2021 for cold outbreaks around this time period of the 3rd week of Feb.