Texas Winter 2024-2025

[Cpv17]

The 18Z NAM is back to 6-8" over most of the metroplex.

https://i.ibb.co/3ksDJmL/namconus-asnow-scus-29.png

Yeah tropical tidbits is incorporating sleet and maybe even freezing rain into that output. If you pull up the 18z run on WB for example it looks much different.

https://images.weatherbell.com/model/nam-218-all/tx/total_snow_10to1/1736272800/1736575200-tHoBetXK0qU.png

I think at this point DFW folk will definitely take that.

[bubba hotep]

18z Euro might be a banger.

[Stratton23]

18z Euro backed off a little bit

[cheezyWXguy]

^^ the duality of s2k

[Cpv17]

Lol perfect example of the rollercoaster ^

[Stratton23]

Im probably just roll with 2-5 inches for DFW, temps just look to be too borderline marginal for this event, if we had a little more arctic air, i could very easily see a foot in north texas, moisture isnt a problem, hovering around or above 32 is really the biggest hinderance to some bigger totals

[dhweather]

18Z ECMWF - King or Jester

[txtwister78]

New NBM (blend of models). Totals continue to go down.

[Stratton23]

Just thought of this, I have a challenge for you North Texans! Since there is no doubt y’all will have widespread snow across the ground, my challenge is who can make the largest snowball/ snowman! Id love to see who can do it, and post a picture of it here! Thought that would be a fun little idea if anyone is up to it!

[txtwister78]

In case folks are more interested about the NMB output and what that entails.

https://vlab.noaa.gov/web/mdl/nbm

[Lagreeneyes03]

And then depression set in…..

You're behind, my friend. It's already trended back the right direction. Almost like a bug got into the system and corrupted all of the model runs at once.

[bubba hotep]

^^ the duality of s2k

I always look at 200/300mb, 500mb, before looking at surface outputs, lol. Got burned a bit on that one. However, I still think there were some improvements on that run, even though it cut back QPF for portions of DFW.

[snownado]

lol at the 18z EURO...

[cheezyWXguy]

In case folks are more interested about the NMB output and what that entails.

https://vlab.noaa.gov/web/mdl/nbm

Thanks for posting this, I was just about to reply asking exactly which models go into the NBM. That said, I’m still confused as to why it went down since it seems that most of these models increased their totals with the 18z cycle. I must be missing something.

[Wthrfan]

https://youtu.be/O5zGkqAWsWE?feature=shared

Priceless!

[dhweather]

18Z GFS

[rwfromkansas]

Euro dryslots me. Lol.

[SnowintheFalls]

I will say that i DO think we will see snow in the Wichita Falls area Thursday. But how much is the question. It could be anything from just a few flurries to 1-3 inches of snow. I will like to see more data before completely leaning one way or the other.

Thanks for the WF specific info!

Definitely not looking good for measurable snow for us. We are too far NW this go around.

[Gotwood]

I will say that i DO think we will see snow in the Wichita Falls area Thursday. But how much is the question. It could be anything from just a few flurries to 1-3 inches of snow. I will like to see more data before completely leaning one way or the other.

Thanks for the WF specific info!

Definitely not looking good for measurable snow for us. We are too far NW this go around.

I’m honestly thinking nobody should assume they are in or out, just wait until the precipitation starts.

[Brent]

I will say that i DO think we will see snow in the Wichita Falls area Thursday. But how much is the question. It could be anything from just a few flurries to 1-3 inches of snow. I will like to see more data before completely leaning one way or the other.

Thanks for the WF specific info!

Definitely not looking good for measurable snow for us. We are too far NW this go around.

Yeah im just hoping we beat the inch of last winter what a pathetic stretch it's been