Texas Winter 2024-2025

[AubreyStorm]

Hmmmm maybe I will cancel my flight for this Friday arriving at Dallas Love Field or wait until if cancelled.

I don’t know what to do!

[BradKingK]

Here is a cool website to find out about weather events in your city. I have it pulled up to the snowiest winter season in Tyler, which was 14.4 inches in February 2021. It was freaking cold, too.

https://www.extremeweatherwatch.com/cities/tyler/snowiest-winter-season

Do your own search and see what you can find or what memories it will elicit.

[Fifty Rock]

Hmmmm maybe I will cancel my flight for this Friday arriving at Dallas Love Field or wait until if cancelled.

I don’t know what to do!

Just know if you do cancel, nothing will happen and if you don’t, it will be a 12’ surprise!

[BradKingK]

Storm 2K needs a rehab page with the ability to prescribe Xanax and pass out Kleenex tissue’s

Don't forget the rehydration so you can reliably replenish and shed those croc tears several times for all to see!

[Lagreeneyes03]

Even with all the pretty models and possibilities, I said from the start the best we may see is 3-5” which according to NWS FTW is right there with their forecast. Now those higher totals will be north of 820, so in the immediate DFW metro area 2-4” range is acceptable.

I'm fine with that. It will still look nice, make for some good pictures, shut down the city for a couple of days and practice for what's to come haha

[mmmmsnouts]

2-4" of snow is plenty for the kids to go out and play in. I didn't want all those fantasy land totals, I have a roof and tree branches to worry about.

[Fifty Rock]

Storm 2K needs a rehab page with the ability to prescribe Xanax and pass out Kleenex tissue’s

Don't forget the rehydration so you can reliably replenish and shed those croc tears several times for all to see!

Maybe Gatorade can make a new drink from all the snow up North and add a pinch of alcohol to it. That and a Xanax and it’s
“WHAT SNOW”

[Lagreeneyes03]

I feel like current temperatures, including yesterday, have been trending down than the original forecast. I think today originally it was supposed to be mid-ish 40's and now the forecast is 38. This has to have some effect on the upcoming system, models still too warm. I also notice the Low seems to be in Mexico. Could lack of data have caused the model swing?

[Ralph's Weather]

Most of the model sites only plot snow or freezing rain. Have to interpret sleet in between. I believe so will see hefty sleet totals out of this. 1" QPF with a profile fluctuating near 0C could result in multi inch sleet.
Sleet sticks to roads much more efficiently than freezing rain or snow. Once you get a layer of sleet anything after will stick to that layer. This is why the I-20 corridor of E TX could experience major impacts from this event.

[Lagreeneyes03]

Most of the model sites only plot snow or freezing rain. Have to interpret sleet in between. I believe so will see hefty sleet totals out of this. 1" QPF with a profile fluctuating near 0C could result in multi inch sleet.
Sleet sticks to roads much more efficiently than freezing rain or snow. Once you get a layer of sleet anything after will stick to that layer. This is why the I-20 corridor of E TX could experience major impacts from this event.

Should I dare say................THUNDERSLEET?

[snownado]

Take it with a tiny grain of salt, but the long-range RAP is significantly colder than the other models, enough for all snow for most of North Texas.

[Ralph's Weather]

Most of the model sites only plot snow or freezing rain. Have to interpret sleet in between. I believe so will see hefty sleet totals out of this. 1" QPF with a profile fluctuating near 0C could result in multi inch sleet.
Sleet sticks to roads much more efficiently than freezing rain or snow. Once you get a layer of sleet anything after will stick to that layer. This is why the I-20 corridor of E TX could experience major impacts from this event.

Should I dare say................THUNDERSLEET?

Honestly that is on the table. Shades of March 2013 when I had 2" of sleet in a short period of time with a lot of lightning. Place I was living in was a metal building so it was a loud and impressive evening.

[gpsnowman]

Take it with a tiny grain of salt, but the long-range RAP is significantly colder than the other models, enough for all snow for most of North Texas.

Is the RAP a reliable model at this range?

[gpsnowman]

A lot of members and 246 guests. Good to see!!

[txtwister78]

Different topic but definitely something trending out west across Los Angeles region, but a massive wildfire has broken out threatening communities. Looks bad based on some initial pictures and proximity to cities. 60 to 70mph wind gust out there right now.

[snownado]

Take it with a tiny grain of salt, but the long-range RAP is significantly colder than the other models, enough for all snow for most of North Texas.

Is the RAP a reliable model at this range?

RAP is what replaced the RUC model and is similar to the HRRR (just somewhat lower resolution and goes further out).

[KeriCarter]

Whatever verifies, I am enjoying the models, analysis, and forecast discussion posts this winter. Thanks guys!

[Ralph's Weather]

Most of the model sites only plot snow or freezing rain. Have to interpret sleet in between. I believe so will see hefty sleet totals out of this. 1" QPF with a profile fluctuating near 0C could result in multi inch sleet.
Sleet sticks to roads much more efficiently than freezing rain or snow. Once you get a layer of sleet anything after will stick to that layer. This is why the I-20 corridor of E TX could experience major impacts from this event.

Should I dare say................THUNDERSLEET?

Honestly that is on the table. Shades of March 2013 when I had 2" of sleet in a short period of time with a lot of lightning. Place I was living in was a metal building so it was a loud and impressive evening.

Euro gives me almost 2" QPF and 850mb maxes at 2C briefly during the event. Pivotal interprets that as almost all rain but that would in reality be a heavy sleet event. Profile is saturated all the way up to 200mb.
Just get that a tad colder and the snow could be incredible.

[Iceresistance]

What just happened to the 12z NAM? It's the reverse NAMed! Even I get nada!

[Iceresistance]

22 inches in DFW On the 12z RGEM, good grief!


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