When will the next major hurricane form after Milton?

Teban54 · #1 Postby **Teban54** » Tue Oct 08, 2024 11:53 am

Options:

October 8-14
October 15-21
October 22-28
October 29 - November 4
November 5-15
November 16-30
December
2025 and beyond

Mods, can you make this a poll?

#2 Postby **cycloneye** » Tue Oct 08, 2024 12:27 pm

Made the poll and voting will end next sunday at 1:26 PM EDT.

Hurricane2022 · #3 Postby **Hurricane2022** » Tue Oct 08, 2024 12:34 pm

If we're still going to see another major hurricane, I think it will likely come out of that area that the GFS is depicting around the October 15th - 20th timeframe. But since 2024 has been an extremely backloaded season, I wouldn't be surprised to see 2 more majors rotating somewhere in the MDR ( :lol:

), Caribbean or GOM

#4 Postby **cycloneye** » Tue Oct 08, 2024 12:40 pm

Hurricane2022 wrote:If we're still going to see another major hurricane, I think it will likely come out of that area that the GFS is depicting around the October 15th - 20th timeframe. But since 2024 has been an extremely backloaded season, I wouldn't be surprised to see 2 more majors rotating somewhere in the MDR ( ), Caribbean or GOM

Guess what, what GFS has developing on long range is from the wave now with 20%. Look closely.

FireRat · #5 Postby **FireRat** » Wed Oct 09, 2024 3:52 am

My best guess is Oct 22 - 28, especially on/around October 25

WaveBreaking · #6 Postby **WaveBreaking** » Wed Oct 09, 2024 8:53 am

These La Niña/Cool-Neutral seasons almost always have some sort of strong hurricane in the West Caribbean during late October/early November (i.e., Roxanne, Michelle, Lenny, Paloma), so I’ll go for October 22-28, which should be when the MJO returns to the Atlantic.

underthwx · #7 Postby **underthwx** » Wed Oct 09, 2024 9:00 am

Im going with 2025 and beyond.....because I hope there will be no more this season....simple as that...

Pasmorade · #8 Postby **Pasmorade** » Wed Oct 09, 2024 9:35 am

As much as I'd like to choose 2025 and beyond, 2024 is solely a middle finger to climatology. As a result, I think that a major will likely occur in late October.

#9 Postby **tolakram** » Wed Oct 09, 2024 10:55 am

My vote is in for Leslie.

cajungal · #10 Postby **cajungal** » Wed Oct 09, 2024 11:04 am

Well there was that model trying to show a 960 storm in central gulf around the 23rd last night but pure fantasy. We will be having 70’s for highs next week

Hurricane2022 · #11 Postby **Hurricane2022** » Wed Oct 09, 2024 11:32 am

Hurricane2022 wrote:If we're still going to see another major hurricane, I think it will likely come out of that area that the GFS is depicting around the October 15th - 20th timeframe. But since 2024 has been an extremely backloaded season, I wouldn't be surprised to see 2 more majors rotating somewhere in the MDR ( ), Caribbean or GOM

Looks like the next major will be Leslie. If everything occurs right in the next few days, we may end October with atleast 14 TS/10 H/6 MH and 155 ~ 160 ACE points. It doesn't feel a big bust to me, especially after Helene, Kirk and Milton.

wzrgirl1 · #12 Postby **wzrgirl1** » Thu Oct 10, 2024 5:37 pm

I think the next system will become named on the 22nd of Oct., in the western Caribbean, Nadine and become a major on the 19th anniversary of Wilma hitting south Florida on the 24th of Oct. A long shot to go to a major in two days but that is my prediction because this year is cuckoo for Cocoa Puffs.

SC Coast · #13 Postby **SC Coast** » Thu Oct 10, 2024 6:01 pm

Let it rest for a few days. Never seen so many individuals want to see another catastrophe happen. WOW!

ElectricStorm · #14 Postby **ElectricStorm** » Thu Oct 10, 2024 6:43 pm

SC Coast wrote:Let it rest for a few days. Never seen so many individuals want to see another catastrophe happen. WOW!

No one here wants another catastrophe to happen

SC Coast · #15 Postby **SC Coast** » Thu Oct 10, 2024 7:08 pm

I beg to differ. I've worked in forestry and wildlife mgt for 40 yrs. Mother Nature has always been a part of my life. Let's all hope this season will soon end. To say the least it's been a strange season. God help the people affected by these storms in Fla, Ga,SC and Nc. God Bless The United States of America.

wzrgirl1 · #16 Postby **wzrgirl1** » Thu Oct 10, 2024 7:55 pm

SC Coast wrote:Let it rest for a few days. Never seen so many individuals want to see another catastrophe happen. WOW!

This is a weather forum to discuss just that. We love weather nobody said anything about wanting a catastrophe to happen. You’re on this site reading this exact thread because you too like tropical weather don’t judge.

Fancy1002 · #17 Postby **Fancy1002** » Thu Oct 10, 2024 8:38 pm

wzrgirl1 wrote:
SC Coast wrote:Let it rest for a few days. Never seen so many individuals want to see another catastrophe happen. WOW!

This is a weather forum to discuss just that. We love weather nobody said anything about wanting a catastrophe to happen. You’re on this site reading this exact thread because you too like tropical weather don’t judge.

Every time I mention that I love hurricanes, I always get people Saying that I’m terrible because of the destruction they can cause. You can love an event without liking the aftermath.

#18 Postby **CrazyC83** » Thu Oct 10, 2024 10:16 pm

Late October, and I think it gets named Oscar.

Imagine all the Oscar the Grouch memes...

Hurricane2022 · #19 Postby **Hurricane2022** » Thu Oct 10, 2024 10:46 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:Late October, and I think it gets named Oscar.

Imagine all the Oscar the Grouch memes...

Oscar will win the The Oscars in the "best storm of the year" academy's awards

*ba dum tss*

SC Coast · #20 Postby **SC Coast** » Fri Oct 11, 2024 9:11 am

wzrgirl1 wrote:
SC Coast wrote:Let it rest for a few days. Never seen so many individuals want to see another catastrophe happen. WOW!

This is a weather forum to discuss just that. We love weather nobody said anything about wanting a catastrophe to happen. You’re on this site reading this exact thread because you too like tropical weather don’t judge.

I can assure you that I don't like TROPICAL WEATHER. I come to this site for the purpose of getting the latest storm info.