ATL: MILTON - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Hypercane_Kyle]

A lot of deep convection firing off around Milton... actually looks, at least on IR, more impressive than Hurricane Leslie.

[tronbunny]

Hey wxman57....talk us off the ledge

I do think it'll move inland to your south, but it could be close. Don't get off the ledge just yet.

Could you tell us what we might expect on the treasure Coast just north of Jupiter/WPB

Currently contemplating boarding up in Central FL. I'm open to your thoughts. I really do not want to, but if its worse than Ian for O-Town, I will
Went through Irma, boarded up but did end up with roof damage (cumulative Charley, Francis, Jeanne etc.)
Boarded up for Ian with limited issues. Absolutely will need plastic and sandbags due to a damaged front entry.

[skillz305]

I do think it'll move inland to your south, but it could be close. Don't get off the ledge just yet.

Could you tell us what we might expect on the treasure Coast just north of Jupiter/WPB

Currently contemplating boarding up in Central FL. I'm open to your thoughts. I really do not want to, but if its worse than Ian for O-Town, I will
Went through Irma, boarded up but did end up with roof damage (cumulative Charley, Francis, Jeanne etc.)
Boarded up for Ian with limited issues. Absolutely will need plastic and sandbags due to a damaged front entry.

I'm in Vero. Keep a close eye. Should board up if track shifts south I suppose.

[xironman]

That's a pretty tight circulation

[GCANE]

Wow, just saw this on the latest GFS.
700mb vort is huge, takes up the whole GOM on approach to landfall.
Never seen anything like it before.

Me either..quite impressive if the GFS is right.

I assume this means a large wind field?

Not only that but will be very slow to wind down over land.
Could be a major across the whole state and emerge in the Atlantic as a major.

[jhpigott]

Me either..quite impressive if the GFS is right.

I assume this means a large wind field?

Not only that but will be very slow to wind down over land.
Could be a major across the whole state and emerge in the Atlantic as a major.

Sounds a little like Wilma

[Flwxguy86]

Could you tell us what we might expect on the treasure Coast just north of Jupiter/WPB

Currently contemplating boarding up in Central FL. I'm open to your thoughts. I really do not want to, but if its worse than Ian for O-Town, I will
Went through Irma, boarded up but did end up with roof damage (cumulative Charley, Francis, Jeanne etc.)
Boarded up for Ian with limited issues. Absolutely will need plastic and sandbags due to a damaged front entry.

I'm in Vero. Keep a close eye. Should board up if track shifts south I suppose.

I am in Oldsmar which sits right on top of the bay. I don't think unless there is a decent shift south that there is a way that I am not going to have to leave, Literally most of the surge would be piling up into oldsmar and safety harbor. Not to mention my place is less than a mile from the bay and probably about 14 miles from the gulf. I am in a terrible place for this.

[GCANE]

Seeing a lot more helicity in the last hour

[Chemmers]

-90 cloud top near or over center, will be very interesting to see what the recon find tomorrow, I wish they was going in tonight

[cycloneye]

 https://x.com/iCyclone/status/1842679262857318512

[caneman]

 https://x.com/iCyclone/status/1842679262857318512

We've had storms that have gusted in the 90's. I know we haven't been hit by a major but we are actually one of top cities for affected by tropical systems so people can just stop with the b.s. Tampa shield crap. If someone wants to challenge me, I've lived here since 1976 but if that doesn't work go check out hurricane city website. After this year, we'll go up even higher

[Steve]

Seeing a lot more helicity in the last hour

DMAX about to kick in. Keep us posted on the random aspects of the atmosphere and troposphere as we head into the week.

[caneseddy]

Governor just announced state of emergency for 35 counties..pretty much draw a straight line SW from St. John’s to Citrus and every county south

[jlauderdal]

Currently contemplating boarding up in Central FL. I'm open to your thoughts. I really do not want to, but if its worse than Ian for O-Town, I will
Went through Irma, boarded up but did end up with roof damage (cumulative Charley, Francis, Jeanne etc.)
Boarded up for Ian with limited issues. Absolutely will need plastic and sandbags due to a damaged front entry.

I'm in Vero. Keep a close eye. Should board up if track shifts south I suppose.

I am in Oldsmar which sits right on top of the bay. I don't think unless there is a decent shift south that there is a way that I am not going to have to leave, Literally most of the surge would be piling up into oldsmar and safety harbor. Not to mention my place is less than a mile from the bay and probably about 14 miles from the gulf. I am in a terrible place for this.

Stay patient, plenty of time for a move south.

[ROCK]

Definitely not wasting time this evening. Looking better organized by the hour.

[Michele B]

I do think it'll move inland to your south, but it could be close. Don't get off the ledge just yet.

Could you tell us what we might expect on the treasure Coast just north of Jupiter/WPB

Currently contemplating boarding up in Central FL. I'm open to your thoughts. I really do not want to, but if its worse than Ian for O-Town, I will
Went through Irma, boarded up but did end up with roof damage (cumulative Charley, Francis, Jeanne etc.)
Boarded up for Ian with limited issues. Absolutely will need plastic and sandbags due to a damaged front entry.

For what it's worth, my $0.02 on the matter is, if it's a hurricane, and it's (sort of) projected to come in my direction, I'd rather make the effort to board up and have peace of mind as opposed to second guessing it the whole time the storm is passing over and wishing afterward that I'd done it.

Sorry to "butt in," I know I'm not the Xman or even a ProMet, but that's my $0.02.

[zzzh]

Not sure if the LLC is fully under the convection or not.

[cheezyWXguy]

Not sure if the LLC is fully under the convection of not.

The convection has been migrating closer to the center with time, appears to rooted in the southern portion of the core now judging by the most recent microwave imagery. Not wrapping around yet though

[Flwxguy86]

I'm in Vero. Keep a close eye. Should board up if track shifts south I suppose.

I am in Oldsmar which sits right on top of the bay. I don't think unless there is a decent shift south that there is a way that I am not going to have to leave, Literally most of the surge would be piling up into oldsmar and safety harbor. Not to mention my place is less than a mile from the bay and probably about 14 miles from the gulf. I am in a terrible place for this.

Stay patient, plenty of time for a move south.

Well, I am not leaving yet, I will probably make my decision tuesday night, because I know it's gonna be a nightmare to get any bit really far north, I just need to get out of the surge zone and 15-20 miles North and possbily east should accomplish that. The models still aren't really going much further south, and comparatively not very far north, plus just north of Tampa bay isn't much better than into Tampa bay.

[HurricaneBelle]

Well, I am not leaving yet, I will probably make my decision tuesday night, because I know it's gonna be a nightmare to get any bit really far north, I just need to get out of the surge zone and 15-20 miles North and possbily east should accomplish that. The models still aren't really going much further south, and comparatively not very far north, plus just north of Tampa bay isn't much better than into Tampa bay.

Tuesday night may be too late as TS conditions could begin then. I'm tentatively leaving at dawn (or just before) on Tuesday morning.