ATL: MILTON - Models

[blp]

958mb

[Hurricaneman]

This seems like a major hurricane run for Florida, let’s hope and pray this doesn’t pull something of this magnitude since a lot of those coastal areas are still cleaning up from Helene

[LandoWill]

This feels like a keywest/miami/naples storm to me

[chaser1]

That's depicting one hell of a small tight core

[NDG]

On this run so far it seems to be heading towards Tampa Bay. We shall see.

[ColdMiser123]

Landfall in Pinellas County Wednesday morning, 952 mb on the 0z GFS.

[BobHarlem]

0z GFS Major landfall on Tampa

[NDG]

This would be nuts if it comes to fruition. Must be those laser guns again. j/k

[Hurricaneman]

Could this be the first major TB landfall since 1921, stay tuned as the GFS and EPS are showing such

[blp]

CMC coming in stronger as well.

[Pelicane]

Hopefully the smaller size would lower the surge, but that's a nasty angle of approach.

[Category5Kaiju]

Ok, I did NOT like that last GFS run

[psyclone]

OMG that would be nuclear level panic in the bay area

[MGC]

The way this season has been going I wouldn't be surprised if the 0Z GFS verified. Florida been the punching bag this year......MGC

[chaser1]

Unless this were to unexpectedly turn into an Andrew or Charley I think the landfall would seem to limit wind damage to a fairly localized area. The much smaller core would be apt to weaken far quicker then Helene (especially if a slow mover) too.

[shah83]

A small hurricane up against a front is going to have a relatively high pressure vs wind, right? That GFS essentially sez Charley for Tampa? Or more properly, a Charley-sized Ian?

[AtlanticWind]

CMC stronger also this run

[chaser1]

Of course the fear being that such a small tight core could deepen pretty fast as well and turn Tampa into Cutler Ridge a la Andrew 2.0

[NDG]

Closer look at the 0z GFS.

[SFLcane]

Don’t think your getting a major in 2-3 days or whatever the gfs is showing there. That looks silly.