2024 Global Model Runs Discussion (Out thru day 16)

[chaser1]

Those of you thinking that something will develop by Friday or Saturday, I'd gladly bet a $50 contribution to S2K that NO Caribbean development (named T.S.) will occur prior to 0Z Sept. 25

[toad strangler]

Those of you thinking that something will develop by Friday or Saturday, I'd gladly bet a $50 contribution to S2K that NO Caribbean development (named T.S.) will occur prior to 0Z Sept. 25

I don't think that is the vibe at all. The discussion talked about when a LEMON might possibly be tagged by the NHC. Nothing I saw talked about development.

[jlauderdal]

 https://x.com/CraigSetzer/status/1835736349502210140

Looks like October, where did we hear that a few days ago

[SFLcane]

Those of you thinking that something will develop by Friday or Saturday, I'd gladly bet a $50 contribution to S2K that NO Caribbean development (named T.S.) will occur prior to 0Z Sept. 25

9/25? Lol some ensembles have whatever developes over FL by then.

[AutoPenalti]

Those of you thinking that something will develop by Friday or Saturday, I'd gladly bet a $50 contribution to S2K that NO Caribbean development (named T.S.) will occur prior to 0Z Sept. 25

Nah, you misread my statement. I mentioned that it would make sense for a 0% lemon by Wednesday the earliest, not an actual developed system.

I'll still support the $50 contribution to S2K though

[Stratton23]

Euro 12z much stronger ridging

[chaser1]

Those of you thinking that something will develop by Friday or Saturday, I'd gladly bet a $50 contribution to S2K that NO Caribbean development (named T.S.) will occur prior to 0Z Sept. 25

I don't think that is the vibe at all. The discussion talked about when a LEMON might possibly be tagged by the NHC. Nothing I saw talked about development.

My bad; I totally misunderstood where a number of members were going with actual development

[SFLcane]

[AutoPenalti]

https://i.postimg.cc/gJst99zm/vvv.png

You have a loop of this? 12z Euro has the trough sticking around.

[SFLcane]

[floridasun]

were all storm coming from their not thing in nw Caribbean sea now it pretty dry up???

[AutoPenalti]

were all storm coming from their not thing in nw Caribbean sea now it pretty dry up???

It's from a piece of energy that gets left behind from a trough off the East coast.

[floridasun]

were all storm coming from their not thing in nw Caribbean sea now it pretty dry up???

It's from a piece of energy that gets left behind from a trough off the East coast.

ok one by Texas i see on sat pic today?

[SFLcane]

 https://x.com/NWSCPC/status/1835765130002673758

[SFLcane]

 https://x.com/NWSCPC/status/1835765130002673758

[jlauderdal]

 https://x.com/NWSCPC/status/1835765130002673758

https://i.postimg.cc/0NkKjhGz/BBBBB.png

We know what model they like

[SFLcane]

 https://x.com/NWSCPC/status/1835765130002673758

https://i.postimg.cc/0NkKjhGz/BBBBB.png

We know what model they like

Thats not quite how it works...

[AutoPenalti]

were all storm coming from their not thing in nw Caribbean sea now it pretty dry up???

It's from a piece of energy that gets left behind from a trough off the East coast.

ok one by Texas i see on sat pic today?

No, the core is situated on the E Coast, the tail is just crossing Central Florida.

[WaveBreaking]

12Z AIFS buries it even more into the Yucatan before emerging into the Bay of Campeche

[Nimbus]

were all storm coming from their not thing in nw Caribbean sea now it pretty dry up???

It's from a piece of energy that gets left behind from a trough off the East coast.

ok one by Texas i see on sat pic today?

The low is centered over Darvin Island/Grant Creek?
That front is digging south possibly a little further into the gulf due to the season change.

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/sat ... product=ir