How many named storms will form in September?

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How many named storms will for in September?

Poll ended at Sat Aug 31, 2024 10:36 pm

One
4
5%
Two
3
4%
Three
4
5%
Four
8
10%
Five
16
20%
Six
12
15%
Seven
14
18%
Eight or more
18
23%
 
Total votes: 79

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Hammy
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Re: How many named storms will form in September?

#21 Postby Hammy » Wed Aug 21, 2024 2:32 pm

I'll go on the conservative side and say five, because this season seems unable to produce anything in the subtropics. But since we can't pick a range on the vote I'll say 4-8
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Re: How many named storms will form in September?

#22 Postby toad strangler » Wed Aug 21, 2024 2:46 pm

Love the 8 or more tally :lol:
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Re: How many named storms will form in September?

#23 Postby penguinzee » Wed Aug 21, 2024 9:54 pm

I voted 7, and I'm surprised so many picked 8 or more (yikes!) Gonna have my head on a swivel this next month, it could mirror 2017 or even 2005... to call, 7 NS, 4-5 hurricanes, 2 MH, and 2-3 CONUS landfalls-I'm still sticking to my prediction of a E TX/LA landfall, a SE FL landfall, and an east coast runner ala Matthew 2016, though I couldn't guess which one(s) will be the major...
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Re: How many named storms will form in September?

#24 Postby tolakram » Thu Aug 22, 2024 8:55 am

Five seems right, we'll see if we get 5 plus some shorties this season.
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Re: How many named storms will form in September?

#25 Postby kevin » Thu Aug 22, 2024 9:43 am

If the season is gonna be as crazy as everyone expected beforehand, September has to be the big one. And I'm still on board, so I went with 8 or more.
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Re: How many named storms will form in September?

#26 Postby canes92 » Thu Aug 22, 2024 9:47 am

4 seems right.
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Re: How many named storms will form in September?

#27 Postby Ubuntwo » Thu Aug 22, 2024 5:14 pm

I went with six, although I think over is more likely than under. I anticipate quite an active late Sept.
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Re: How many named storms will form in September?

#28 Postby IcyTundra » Thu Aug 22, 2024 5:28 pm

I went with 6 which is quite a bit lower than I would have gone if you asked me at the start of the season. Still I think we will get a lot of ACE per storm next month with at least one long tracked major hurricane probably in mid September.
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Re: How many named storms will form in September?

#29 Postby NDG » Thu Aug 22, 2024 8:29 pm

I'm going with 5, like in 2022 :P
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Re: How many named storms will form in September?

#30 Postby IcyTundra » Fri Aug 23, 2024 1:06 am

NDG wrote:I'm going with 5, like in 2022 :P

I think there were 6 in 2022.
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Re: How many named storms will form in September?

#31 Postby Kohlecane » Tue Aug 27, 2024 9:11 pm

CFLHurricane wrote:The eight or more is tempting, but I feel 6 is high enough expectations. I’m thinking two landfalls with one those being a major.

Always had that feeling going into this period hope not though, I stayed with 6 almost went 5 but we shall see.
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Re: How many named storms will form in September?

#32 Postby MEANINGLESS_NUMBERS » Wed Aug 28, 2024 5:44 pm

I think it will be the busiest month of the year: 3
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Re: How many named storms will form in September?

#33 Postby cycloneye » Fri Aug 30, 2024 7:31 pm

Those who have not voted yet in this poll come and do so as it closes for voting on saturday at 11:36 PM EDT. There are 4 options on the poll that are close on voting.
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Re: How many named storms will form in September?

#34 Postby chaser1 » Sat Aug 31, 2024 11:59 am

Interestingly, I had gone with '8 or more". I'm not sure when I cast my vote but the poll opened end of July so perhaps a few weeks ago? If I were to approach the same question today however, I'd seriously cut that number to perhaps 5 named storms. It would be interesting to see how much different the September poll results might be if everyone were to re-cast their vote today and then compare the early voting results with the new. Obviously, this can't be done but I just have to believe that overall poll results would suggest a significant decrease in number of tropical cyclone expectations.
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Re: How many named storms will form in September?

#35 Postby CyclonicFury » Sat Aug 31, 2024 1:31 pm

Why isn't "none will form" an option :lol:

But seriously, I voted 4.
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Re: How many named storms will form in September?

#36 Postby underthwx » Sat Aug 31, 2024 1:32 pm

4 for me.....
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Re: How many named storms will form in September?

#37 Postby cycloneye » Sat Aug 31, 2024 1:49 pm

CyclonicFury wrote:Why isn't "none will form" an option :lol:

But seriously, I voted 4.


It would be unprecented if no storms form in the normally busiest month of the season, but there is the "one" option. When I made this poll on July 31, never came to my mind.
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Re: How many named storms will form in September?

#38 Postby wzrgirl1 » Sun Sep 01, 2024 6:54 am

I say 4.
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Re: How many named storms will form in September?

#39 Postby TampaWxLurker » Mon Sep 16, 2024 10:08 am

I thought I was low-balling it by saying 5, but halfway thru September, even that's starting to look too optimistic.
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Re: How many named storms will form in September?

#40 Postby ThomasW » Mon Sep 16, 2024 10:13 am

TampaWxLurker wrote:I thought I was low-balling it by saying 5, but halfway thru September, even that's starting to look too optimistic.

Possible only 1 more develops after the 8L bust.
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