How many named storms will form in September?

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply

How many named storms will for in September?

Poll ended at Sat Aug 31, 2024 10:36 pm

One
4
5%
Two
3
4%
Three
4
5%
Four
8
10%
Five
16
20%
Six
12
15%
Seven
14
18%
Eight or more
18
23%
 
Total votes: 79
Message
Author
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145255
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

How many named storms will form in September?

#1 Postby cycloneye » Wed Jul 31, 2024 10:36 pm

Ok folks, here is the September poll so come and vote. The poll will close on August 31rst at 11:36 PM EDT.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
HurricaneRyan
Category 3
Category 3
Posts: 813
Age: 31
Joined: Sun Dec 05, 2010 3:05 pm

Re: How many named storms will form in September?

#2 Postby HurricaneRyan » Thu Aug 01, 2024 2:41 am

Eight or more. It will be a Taylor Swift sized peak.
0 likes   
Kay '22 Hilary '23
Top
User avatar
CFLHurricane
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 346
Joined: Thu Mar 27, 2014 5:56 pm
Location: Floriduh

Re: How many named storms will form in September?

#3 Postby CFLHurricane » Thu Aug 01, 2024 8:46 am

The eight or more is tempting, but I feel 6 is high enough expectations. I’m thinking two landfalls with one those being a major.
0 likes   
I'm not a meteorologist, but I did stay at a motel 8.
Top
User avatar
toad strangler
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4543
Joined: Sun Jul 28, 2013 3:09 pm
Location: Earth
Contact:
Contact toad strangler

Re: How many named storms will form in September?

#4 Postby toad strangler » Thu Aug 01, 2024 8:47 am

5
1 likes   
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145255
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: How many named storms will form in September?

#5 Postby cycloneye » Tue Aug 20, 2024 10:02 am

A reminder to those members thatt have not voted yet in this poll, that it will be open for voting until August 31rst at 11:36 PM EST.
1 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
LarryWx
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 6298
Joined: Sun Sep 07, 2003 2:04 pm
Location: GA

Re: How many named storms will form in September?

#6 Postby LarryWx » Tue Aug 20, 2024 10:15 am

This poll currently has 26 of 31 (84%) with 5+ NS and 19 of 31 (61%) with 7+ NS. I haven’t picked yet.
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
Stormlover70
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 174
Age: 55
Joined: Fri Jun 21, 2024 5:31 am
Location: New port richey

Re: How many named storms will form in September?

#7 Postby Stormlover70 » Tue Aug 20, 2024 11:54 am

5 sal.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
aspen
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8818
Joined: Sat Oct 12, 2019 7:10 pm
Location: Connecticut, USA

Re: How many named storms will form in September?

#8 Postby aspen » Tue Aug 20, 2024 12:49 pm

Going with 5. Seems like thanks to the +AMO but detrimentally active AEJ, we’ll end up with a quality-over-quantity peak and overall season.
0 likes   
Irene '11 Sandy '12 Hermine '16 5/15/2018 Derecho Fay '20 Isaias '20 Elsa '21 Henri '21 Ida '21

I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
Top
User avatar
ElectricStorm
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5042
Age: 24
Joined: Tue Aug 13, 2019 11:23 pm
Location: Skiatook, OK / Norman, OK

Re: How many named storms will form in September?

#9 Postby ElectricStorm » Tue Aug 20, 2024 2:30 pm

Going with 7, waves should be coming off further south pretty soon and have a better chance to develop.
0 likes   
B.S Meteorology, University of Oklahoma '25

Please refer to the NHC, NWS, or SPC for official information.
Top
User avatar
Teban54
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3204
Joined: Sat May 19, 2018 1:19 pm

Re: How many named storms will form in September?

#10 Postby Teban54 » Tue Aug 20, 2024 2:32 pm

Bold prediction: "Only" 6, but all 6 will be hurricanes.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
wxman57
Moderator-Pro Met
Moderator-Pro Met
Posts: 22975
Age: 67
Joined: Sat Jun 21, 2003 8:06 pm
Location: Houston, TX (southwest)

Re: How many named storms will form in September?

#11 Postby wxman57 » Tue Aug 20, 2024 3:15 pm

I'm thinking 4 or 5. If 5 form, then the total number is 10 through September. It'll be hard to get to 23-25 named storms with only 10 through September. Maybe 3-4 in October and one or two in November.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Iceresistance
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9288
Age: 21
Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK

Re: How many named storms will form in September?

#12 Postby Iceresistance » Tue Aug 20, 2024 3:16 pm

7 of them, and one might be the storm of the year
0 likes   
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Top
User avatar
AtlanticWind
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1887
Age: 66
Joined: Sun Aug 08, 2004 9:57 pm
Location: Plantation,Fla

Re: How many named storms will form in September?

#13 Postby AtlanticWind » Tue Aug 20, 2024 4:17 pm

7 is my guess, 5 Hurricanes
0 likes   
Top
TomballEd
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 685
Age: 61
Joined: Wed Aug 16, 2023 4:52 pm
Location: Spring/Klein area, not Tomball

Re: How many named storms will form in September?

#14 Postby TomballEd » Tue Aug 20, 2024 6:22 pm

I'm guessing 5 NS, 3 H and 2M
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Emmett_Brown
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1432
Joined: Wed Aug 24, 2005 9:10 pm
Location: Sarasota FL

Re: How many named storms will form in September?

#15 Postby Emmett_Brown » Tue Aug 20, 2024 6:32 pm

Im going with 8 long track cat 5's
1 likes   
Top
User avatar
Hurricane2022
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1539
Joined: Tue Aug 23, 2022 11:38 pm
Location: Araçatuba, Brazil

Re: How many named storms will form in September?

#16 Postby Hurricane2022 » Tue Aug 20, 2024 6:51 pm

Emmett_Brown wrote:Im going with 8 long track cat 5's

I mean, predicting eight long-track Category 5 hurricanes is not just a hot take, it's a big-bang take :lol:
2 likes   
Sorry for the bad English sometimes...!
For reliable and detailed information for any meteorological phenomenon, please consult the National Hurricane Center, Joint Typhoon Warning Center , or your local Meteo Center.

--------

Una cvm Christo, pro Christo, et in Christo. Sit nomen Domini benedictvm.
Top
User avatar
Hybridstorm_November2001
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2811
Joined: Sat Aug 21, 2004 2:50 pm
Location: SW New Brunswick, Canada
Contact:
Contact Hybridstorm_November2001

Re: How many named storms will form in September?

#17 Postby Hybridstorm_November2001 » Tue Aug 20, 2024 9:58 pm

Four, I'm growing increasingly skeptical of an above-average season.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Category5Kaiju
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4094
Joined: Thu Dec 24, 2020 12:45 pm
Location: Seattle

Re: How many named storms will form in September?

#18 Postby Category5Kaiju » Tue Aug 20, 2024 11:10 pm

I'm going with 8. I still see absolutely no reason to doubt this season's potential given we're already at triple the average ACE up to date and that we're still entering -ENSO with very warm deep tropics. I expect several Cat 4s/Cat 5s out of these too.
1 likes   
Unless explicitly stated, all info in my posts is based on my own opinions and observations. Tropical storms and hurricanes can be extremely dangerous. Do not think you can beat Mother Nature. Refer to an accredited weather research agency or meteorologist if you need to make serious decisions regarding an approaching storm.
Top
TampaWxLurker
Tropical Depression
Tropical Depression
Posts: 99
Joined: Thu Aug 01, 2024 8:20 am

Re: How many named storms will form in September?

#19 Postby TampaWxLurker » Wed Aug 21, 2024 8:51 am

Five. But one of them will be the Storm of The Season™, major hurricane. Either Helene or Isaac.
1 likes   
Top
TomballEd
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 685
Age: 61
Joined: Wed Aug 16, 2023 4:52 pm
Location: Spring/Klein area, not Tomball

Re: How many named storms will form in September?

#20 Postby TomballEd » Wed Aug 21, 2024 1:09 pm

I think Beryl may be the only Cat 5 of the season.
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Google [Bot], Ulf and 30 guests