2024 EPAC Season
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.
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weeniepatrol
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WaveBreaking
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Re: 2024 EPAC Season
Imo i think Fabio will be the dominant storm in this merger since Emilia has been struggling with shear and a CCC pattern all of its life while Fabio recently started to get some banding wrapping upshear of its circulation. Only the HAFS-A shows this outcome though, so i might be missing something.
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AnnularCane
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Re: 2024 EPAC Season
Fabio looks like he's menacing Emilia, while she's shrinking back from him.
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"But it never rained rain. It never snowed snow. And it never blew just wind. It rained things like soup and juice. It snowed mashed potatoes and green peas. And sometimes the wind blew in storms of hamburgers." -- Judi Barrett, Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs
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galaxy401
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Re: 2024 EPAC Season
Reminds me of Enrique and Felicia from 2009. Same letters of the alphabet, similar locations. Felicia was the dominant one that time. These two storms are closer though.
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Got my eyes on moving right into Hurricane Alley: Florida.
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lilbump3000
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WaveBreaking
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Re: 2024 EPAC Season
CDOs starting to interact.
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WaveBreaking
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Re: 2024 EPAC Season
Imagine being on Isla Clarión (the island @ 18.3°N 114.8°W) which is not only being sandwiched by two tropical cyclones, but two tropical cyclones that are actively merging into one. Truly a unique experience.
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Kingarabian
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WaveBreaking
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Re: 2024 EPAC Season
Fabio’s COC now getting pulled S into Emilia.
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AnnularCane
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Re: 2024 EPAC Season
I can't watch!
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"But it never rained rain. It never snowed snow. And it never blew just wind. It rained things like soup and juice. It snowed mashed potatoes and green peas. And sometimes the wind blew in storms of hamburgers." -- Judi Barrett, Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs
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cycloneye
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Re: 2024 EPAC Season
Fabio has dissippated.
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Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
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WaveBreaking
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Re: 2024 EPAC Season
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Kingarabian
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Kingarabian
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Re: 2024 EPAC Season
Models showing an active monsoon trough extending into the CPAC. GFS most aggressive but Euro also showing the potential for a TC to form by day 10.
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RIP Kobe Bryant
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Kingarabian
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Re: 2024 EPAC Season
Potential for 3 named systems over the next 10 days remains on the models. One strong and 2 weaker systems.
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Re: 2024 EPAC Season
Kingarabian wrote:Potential for 3 named systems over the next 10 days remains on the models. One strong and 2 weaker systems.
Sounds really familiar
, is it going to be a repeat of early August?
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Kingarabian
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Re: 2024 EPAC Season
zzzh wrote:Kingarabian wrote:Potential for 3 named systems over the next 10 days remains on the models. One strong and 2 weaker systems.
Sounds really familiar
Looks like some CPAC slop in the mix.
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Kingarabian
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Re: 2024 EPAC Season
Should see some yellow circles across the EPAC soon. Models remain bullish.
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Kingarabian
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Re: 2024 EPAC Season
2. Western Portion of the East Pacific:
An area of low pressure could form this weekend or early next week
more than one thousand miles west-southwest of the southern tip of
the Baja California peninsula. Some slow development of this system
is possible, and a tropical depression could form during the middle
part of next week while it moves westward to west-northwestward
across the western portion of the East Pacific and into the Central
Pacific basin. Information on this system's development can also be
found in the Tropical Weather Outlook for the Central Pacific basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.
An area of low pressure could form this weekend or early next week
more than one thousand miles west-southwest of the southern tip of
the Baja California peninsula. Some slow development of this system
is possible, and a tropical depression could form during the middle
part of next week while it moves westward to west-northwestward
across the western portion of the East Pacific and into the Central
Pacific basin. Information on this system's development can also be
found in the Tropical Weather Outlook for the Central Pacific basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.
CPAC will see something per this past weeks model runs.
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RIP Kobe Bryant
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Yellow Evan
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Re: 2024 EPAC Season
Westerly wind burst will push the monsoon trough westward - could get a few sloppy TCs but don’t trust the GFS with only a Kelvin Wave around.
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