ATL: BERYL - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[cycloneye]

BULLETIN
Post-Tropical Cyclone Beryl Advisory Number 44
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD AL022024
1000 AM CDT Tue Jul 09 2024

...BERYL BECOMES A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE...
...FLASH FLOODING AND A RISK OF TORNADOES REMAIN POSSIBLE FROM MID
MISSISSIPPI TO LOWER OHIO VALLEY TODAY...

[underthwx]

BULLETIN
Post-Tropical Cyclone Beryl Advisory Number 44
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD AL022024
1000 AM CDT Tue Jul 09 2024

...BERYL BECOMES A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE...
...FLASH FLOODING AND A RISK OF TORNADOES REMAIN POSSIBLE FROM MID
MISSISSIPPI TO LOWER OHIO VALLEY TODAY...

Beryl not done yet unfortunately....I hope all yall are good today...its early July...plenty of season left...once I sort out the mess I'm in...im gonna reevaluate my level of being prepared...I learn new things every storm...especially after 2 of my houses were impacted by harvey and beryl....but I think I did well...im walking and talking....and breathing in the air....peace out yall...here's to better times....

[MarioProtVI]

What a storm! Without context this looks straight up like a September storm but if I told you that this happened in late June into early July I would’ve probably been banned for trolling

[CrazyC83]

Beryl, you've been trolling us since 1982, but it looks like this time, it will be the for you!

[underthwx]

No power at home. Went to coworker's house to recharge laptop and external batteries.

Hey Xman....I hope all is good with you and your family...thanks for what you do...2K is blessed to have you in their arsenal of expertise....same goes for each and every one of yall....2K and the NHC are my personal go-to trusted sources for all things weather and more...

[underthwx]

Beryl, you've been trolling us since 1982, but it looks like this time, it will be the for you!

Good riddence beryl....

[Category5Kaiju]

Beryl, you've been trolling us since 1982, but it looks like this time, it will be the for you!

Goodbye Beryl.

Hello Bethany, Brittany, Bianca, or Brenda for 2030 I guess?

[Michele B]

Quite impressive tornado risk with Beryl, some of these signatures and CC are a bit scary for a tropical system

Some of this tornado activity has been crazy this may become one of the largest tornado outbreaks associated with a hurricane and some of these looked STRONG.

Threats of tornadoes as storms come onshore are common.

But Beryl sure packed a punch! In every category.

[Michele B]

Beryl, you've been trolling us since 1982, but it looks like this time, it will be the for you!

Goodbye Beryl.

Hello Bethany, Brittany, Bianca, or Brenda for 2030 I guess?

They've never had a "Beverly"

[underthwx]

Beryl, you've been trolling us since 1982, but it looks like this time, it will be the for you!

Goodbye Beryl.

Hello Bethany, Brittany, Bianca, or Brenda for 2030 I guess?

They've never had a "Beverly"

How bout Billie Sue....

[GalvestonDuck]

This is going to be a massive flood event... Landfall will get brunt wind damage and massive storm surge, but the Billions in damage will be from the flooding

"Billions"? I admit that I am not at all intimately familiar with the region but assuming Beryl's track verifies and the storm does not stall out, will 4"-6" of precip over a fairly broad area actually result in BILLIONS of $$ in damage there?

I don't know about the price, but local mets have saying some places in Houston could see as much as 15". Depends on where it falls. We just came out of a very wet Spring and are 10" above normal. Some unmaintaned ditches are still holding water in Splendora directly north of Houston. They DID start releasing some water either yesterday or today...my brain is fried lol.

$28-32 Billion per AccuWeather estimate. Here’s a post from Travis Herzog:
https://www.facebook.com/share/p/uFFTVhrf9xz66R5A/?mibextid=WC7FNe

[MEANINGLESS_NUMBERS]

You have to consider the enormous amount of insurance fraud that takes place after a storm like this.

[Steve]

We had some off and on rain the last couple days but finally are getting some t-storm training with the moisture feeds. Chump change in the grand scheme but still. Flash flood warnings in effect.

https://radar.weather.gov/station/KHDC/standard

[Tireman4]

Checking in. I am ok. No internet. No power. Trees down. Fences down. What you might see with a cat 1 hurricane, but this one packed more of a punch. Highest gust at Bush was 89 mph. Remember, this is just the first inning of a nine inning game. Lots more to go.

[vbhoutex]

Checking in. I am ok. No internet. No power. Trees down. Fences down. What you might see with a cat 1 hurricane, but this one packed more of a punch. Highest gust at Bush was 89 mph. Remember, this is just the first inning of a nine inning game. Lots more to go.

I'm taking myself out of this game if there are more innings!!

[cycloneye]

There are still things going on with the Beryl remnants in the NE.

 https://x.com/MatthewCappucci/status/1811071073837785465

[LarryWx]

Will Beryl end up being THE costliest US cat 1 landfalling hurricane in history in terms of 2024 dollars? What do you folks think?

https://www.nola.com/news/hurricane/the ... 0bd86.html

[cycloneye]

 https://x.com/BackpirchCrew/status/1811094929512239535

[SecondBreakfast]

Unbelievable tornado outbreak in upstate NY from these Beryl remnants. I’ve never seen anything like this.

[Craters]

The latest from Alvin, Brazoria County, Texas: If we ever get another dog, cat, or any other gentle critter, I can absolutely, positively guarantee that its name will NOT be "Beryl."

Lots of good-sized limbs down in our neighborhood, fences torn up, nerves shattered, and all of the "standard" effects of a direct hit from a hurricane. Luckily, the power in our part of town was out for less than a day, which was as close to something miraculous as I can imagine. A friend in Humble says that the power company's predicting that his power could be out for "weeks," and he's maybe 40 miles farther from landfall than Alvin is. I might be off base here, but after so many hurricanes taking out power for so long in places (a lot of you probably remember Ike), I would think that more would have been learned and implemented to help protect the regional grid. I'm sure that things have been done in that regard, but Beryl is a reminder that there's still a lot to do.

I now completely believe the assertion that a strengthening hurricane at landfall is worse than a weakening or even stable one. I've been through both, and this one was way worse. If one of you knowledgable folks could explain why a strengthening storm is more effective at mixing the upper-level winds down to the surface, it would save me a ton of future searching, and I'd appreciate that immensely.

Back to the #*%@! cleanup...