ATL: BERYL - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Nederlander]

Looks like the center is taking aim at Freeport or just west of there.

[capNstorms]

visible eye on ir closing up last frame https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/satlooper.php?region=02L&product=ir

[capNstorms]

[Frank P]

There is a very clear NNE wobble over the last hour, how much it affects track remains to be seen

[url]https://i.postimg.cc/QtcbwKKh/KCRP202407072050-to-202407072359-50frames.gif [/url]

The eye looks just about closed off.

[Nederlander]

Watching that convection moving north off the west coast of the Yucatan.
If this links up with Beryl, she'll be drinking from the fire hose.

https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=r ... =undefined

Seems like a gap too far to bridge no? I understand the outflow is racing that direction as well so it’s essentially half the distance it appears, but still..

[Emmett_Brown]

Winds still lagging pressure, but the strongest winds are much closer to the center now than they were a few hours ago, so a core is definitely trying to build. Temperature in the eye/center is warming.

[Steve]

Looks like a burst again. Might just be a tease until later.

https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/

[capNstorms]

There is a very clear NNE wobble over the last hour, how much it affects track remains to be seen

[url]https://i.postimg.cc/QtcbwKKh/KCRP202407072050-to-202407072359-50frames.gif [/url]

can the force of it wrapping its core around the back side drive it at all?

[GCANE]

Warm core signature on IR

[eastcoastFL]

Recent conditions from a Buoy about 50mi NNW of Beryls last fix:

Wind Direction (WDIR): ESE ( 110 deg true )
5-day plot - Wind Speed Wind Speed (WSPD): 31.1 kts
5-day plot - Wind Gust Wind Gust (GST): 40.8 kts
5-day plot - Atmospheric Pressure Atmospheric Pressure (PRES): 29.55 in
5-day plot - Pressure Tendency Pressure Tendency (PTDY): -0.11 in ( Falling Rapidly
- Water Temperature Water Temperature (WTMP): 86.5 °F



https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/show_plot.php ... _label=CDT

[AtlanticWind]

988 mb on latest NOAA plane obs

[capNstorms]

hot towers firing off ne quad, this thing is ramping up now lol

[eastcoastFL]

There is a very clear NNE wobble over the last hour, how much it affects track remains to be seen

[url]https://i.postimg.cc/QtcbwKKh/KCRP202407072050-to-202407072359-50frames.gif [/url]

can the force of it wrapping its core around the back side drive it at all?

Recon is in the storm so they should be able to tell us which direction it’s currently heading. I’m looking at radar but it’s hard to tell.

Edit: found a better radar link and it still appears to be NNW. I think the eye is deceiving right now making it appear to be heading N or NNE but if you look at the whole store it still appears to be moving NNW.

[sphelps8681]

Just starting to rain here again in Lumberton, Tx. Not bad yet.

[bbadon]

Ok I'll say it has this storm stalled?

[GalvestonDuck]

Ok I'll say it has this storm stalled?

Last update was that it’s moving NNW at 12mph.

(Edit - darn typo)

[Frank P]

Here is the NOAA raw data report.

[Hurricane Mike]

983 mb...not bad Beryl.

[eastcoastFL]

Last 2 recon fixes are basically due north, maybe slightly west of due north.

[capNstorms]

https://imgur.com/a/UDA6AQT