ATL: BERYL - Models
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Re: ATL: BERYL - Models
Stratton23 wrote:that still isnt guaranteed
I wouldn’t bet on a MX landfall right now.
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- Tireman4
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Re: ATL: BERYL - Models
ROCK wrote:18Z Navgem at the same place as 12Z....
I shall never besmirch the NAVY or LBAR again!
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- LadyBug72
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Re: ATL: BERYL - Models
Tireman4 wrote:ROCK wrote:18Z Navgem at the same place as 12Z....
I shall never besmirch the NAVY or LBAR again!
Remind me where it was showing….Rockport?
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Formerly known as the user: Nikki
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Re: ATL: BERYL - Models
Beryl is officially back to a cat 3 with 115 mph winds. This is much stronger than the global models and their ensemble members forecasted for this point in time, so the models are still playing catch up to Beryl.
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Re: ATL: BERYL - Models
This is very concerning. Models don't have this pinned down yet. The spread is very big considering this is few days out now.


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Re: ATL: BERYL - Models
I am not saying these latest spaghetti models will come true but dang local mets have not even had a thought this might be a thing. They would just inch it further North and always this will not affect SE Tx. Hope they are right. But it just looks like they hug to one model and you know which one I am talking about. But this maybe just a little turn and go back to their forecast. Not really happy if this comes true. I am prepared but how many are not. JS.
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Re: ATL: BERYL - Models
Clearcloudz wrote:This is very concerning. Models don't have this pinned down yet. The spread is very big considering this is few days out now.
https://i.imgur.com/rg0necs.png
Pete Calvin, our local on air met at Channel 11 ( Houston CBS affiliate) is starting to get concerned about the models. He stated this in a tweet 20 minutes ago.
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Re: ATL: BERYL - Models
Tireman4 wrote:Clearcloudz wrote:This is very concerning. Models don't have this pinned down yet. The spread is very big considering this is few days out now.
https://i.imgur.com/rg0necs.png
Pete Calvin, our local on air met at Channel 11 ( Houston CBS affiliate) is starting to get concerned about the models. He stated this in a tweet 20 minutes ago.
Biggest problem will be communication in a short amount of time to a population in Houston and surrounding areas if it were to track further to the right and stronger.
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Re: ATL: BERYL - Models
Clearcloudz wrote:Tireman4 wrote:Clearcloudz wrote:This is very concerning. Models don't have this pinned down yet. The spread is very big considering this is few days out now.
https://i.imgur.com/rg0necs.png
Pete Calvin, our local on air met at Channel 11 ( Houston CBS affiliate) is starting to get concerned about the models. He stated this in a tweet 20 minutes ago.
Biggest problem will be communication in a short amount of time to a population in Houston and surrounding areas if it were to track further to the right and stronger.
And it takes time to prepare the house boarding up if needed.
Last edited by Sambucol2024 on Thu Jul 04, 2024 9:56 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: BERYL - Models
the mighty 0Z ICON rolling in....not that I am excited or anything.
987 initialized oh joy...

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Re: RE: Re: ATL: BERYL - Models
Back to tx/la border?ROCK wrote:the mighty 0Z ICON rolling in....not that I am excited or anything.987 initialized oh joy...
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Re: RE: Re: ATL: BERYL - Models
jlauderdal wrote:Back to tx/la border?ROCK wrote:the mighty 0Z ICON rolling in....not that I am excited or anything.987 initialized oh joy...
nah its loading...006hr right now from where I get it...
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Re: ATL: BERYL - Models
ICON is north so far. 



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M a r k
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- MississippiWx
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Re: ATL: BERYL - Models
0z ICON about 50-60 miles north of 18z at 30 hours.
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Re: ATL: BERYL - Models

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M a r k
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