#671 Postby ElectricStorm » Tue Apr 23, 2024 10:38 pm
I'm still wondering if the cap will be breakable on Thursday or not, especially with how dry the EML source region has been lately. Most CAMs seem to fire at least a few storms but most of them don't really seem Day 3 enhanced worthy quite yet, although CAMs can be a little questionable at this range. I think the initial slight risk for Day 3 was just fine. Not sold yet on a major outbreak but anything that does end up breaking the cap it would probably be a strong tornado producer.
I think Saturday could end up being a pretty big event but there could be some morning convection issues so we'll see when we get closer how potent it ends up being.
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I am in no way a professional. Take what I say with a grain of salt as I could be totally wrong. Please refer to the NHC, NWS, or SPC for official information.
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