DorkyMcDorkface wrote:869MB wrote:cycloneye wrote:https://twitter.com/cyclonicwx/status/1764424147659018381
That's so not cool at all
The index will show negative as long as the Japan-Aleutuans belt remains warm, even if the actual horseshoe itself isn't so cool.
LOL, I literally laughed out loud. I think you may have misunderstood me, so I guess I should have expounded on my previous post. I was just voicing an opinion about that PDO trend itself over the past few years. That -PDO coupled with the back-to-back-to-back La Ninas has played a significant role in the relatively drier-than-normal weather pattern here in SE TX & SC TX and I'm so sick of it. Though less amplified, the fact that this negative PDO trend continues into 2024 with a Neutral ENSO right around the corner and eventually another forthcoming dreaded La Nina, the overall long-term precipitation pattern for my area looks bleak going into 2025, and possibly 2026 as well, with a fully-coupled La Nina base state established by then.
Nonetheless, concerning this thread, I know some members are a little giddy regarding the prospects of a possible continued -PDO, Cool Neutral/Weak La Nina, and Warm AMO combo going into the peak of the 2024 Hurricane Season. So from now on, I'll try to keep the ramifications of the ENSO state/PDO on my local weather to a minimum since no one really cares when all is said and done.