Texas Winter 2023-2024

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weatherdude1108
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#3941 Postby weatherdude1108 » Sun Feb 11, 2024 1:59 pm

1.08" at the Weatherdude Center (yesterday and today combined). I'll take it!
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#3942 Postby Brent » Sun Feb 11, 2024 3:35 pm

Well the NWS keeps going up here... Now up to 4 inches possible. One thing I'm noticing is that it may be crazy still during morning rush tomorrow
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#3943 Postby rwfromkansas » Sun Feb 11, 2024 4:13 pm

Has to be 6-8 inches based on latest Lubbock photos. Nice.
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#3944 Postby Cpv17 » Sun Feb 11, 2024 4:23 pm

Models are now backing off rain chances for the next couple weeks. Possibly a boring weather pattern ahead of us. :(
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#3945 Postby Stratton23 » Sun Feb 11, 2024 5:14 pm

GFS coming in much colder with the frontal passage on friday- saturday timeframe, 1046 mb high dropping out of canada, nothing too impressive, but some chilly weather and does have a light wintry mix in the hill country fwiw
Last edited by Stratton23 on Sun Feb 11, 2024 5:27 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#3946 Postby ElectricStorm » Sun Feb 11, 2024 5:20 pm

Just switched to snow here now, hoping we end up getting a decent amount
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#3947 Postby Stratton23 » Sun Feb 11, 2024 5:27 pm

Need that trough to dig a little more south and west on the GFS 18z run, but very intriguing run for friday- saturday timeframe ( hour 144)
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#3948 Postby Brent » Sun Feb 11, 2024 5:33 pm

ElectricStorm wrote:Just switched to snow here now, hoping we end up getting a decent amount


I swear I've seen something flying around besides rain in the last hour but maybe I'm going crazy. This winter is doing that to me lol although other people in the metro have reported it too

I'm feeling about as good as I can feel here tbh though I keep wondering how much bigger it would have been if we were colder this week
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#3949 Postby ElectricStorm » Sun Feb 11, 2024 5:44 pm

Brent wrote:
ElectricStorm wrote:Just switched to snow here now, hoping we end up getting a decent amount


I swear I've seen something flying around besides rain in the last hour but maybe I'm going crazy. This winter is doing that to me lol although other people in the metro have reported it too

I'm feeling about as good as I can feel here tbh though I keep wondering how much bigger it would have been if we were colder this week

Yeah I think you'll see a pretty nice amount, at least compared to recent winters. Already starting to accumulate here
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#3950 Postby ElectricStorm » Sun Feb 11, 2024 5:52 pm

Current NWS forecast still says "little or no accumulation" until tonight but we're already seeing it here. Forecast calls for 3-4 inches but I think this could be shaping up to be an over performance
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#3951 Postby Cpv17 » Sun Feb 11, 2024 5:56 pm

So basically those big totals the models were showing aren’t going to verify because it’s too warm?
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#3952 Postby snownado » Sun Feb 11, 2024 6:04 pm

Cpv17 wrote:So basically those big totals the models were showing aren’t going to verify because it’s too warm?


Those big totals on the models are almost always overdone.
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#3953 Postby snownado » Sun Feb 11, 2024 6:05 pm

Cpv17 wrote:So basically those big totals the models were showing aren’t going to verify because it’s too warm?


Those big totals on the models are almost always overdone.
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#3954 Postby Tejas89 » Sun Feb 11, 2024 6:16 pm

Wow it’s been snowing nonstop all day, from Lubbock to Amarillo.
Last edited by Tejas89 on Sun Feb 11, 2024 6:16 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#3955 Postby Cpv17 » Sun Feb 11, 2024 6:16 pm

snownado wrote:
Cpv17 wrote:So basically those big totals the models were showing aren’t going to verify because it’s too warm?


Those big totals on the models are almost always overdone.


I mean the models were showing 1-2’ in areas and now y’all are talking about just a few inches lol
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#3956 Postby Brent » Sun Feb 11, 2024 6:39 pm

Cpv17 wrote:
snownado wrote:
Cpv17 wrote:So basically those big totals the models were showing aren’t going to verify because it’s too warm?


Those big totals on the models are almost always overdone.


I mean the models were showing 1-2’ in areas and now y’all are talking about just a few inches lol


Yeah I don't think anyone ever truly believed those would verify. There was always this problem of how warm it's been and how warm it was gonna be today

It has been funny watching the NWS slowly increase totals at least over here though. We've gone from a half inch to maybe 4 inches in a day and a half :lol:
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#3957 Postby Cpv17 » Sun Feb 11, 2024 6:49 pm

Brent wrote:
Cpv17 wrote:
snownado wrote:
Those big totals on the models are almost always overdone.


I mean the models were showing 1-2’ in areas and now y’all are talking about just a few inches lol


Yeah I don't think anyone ever truly believed those would verify. There was always this problem of how warm it's been and how warm it was gonna be today

It has been funny watching the NWS slowly increase totals at least over here though. We've gone from a half inch to maybe 4 inches in a day and a half :lol:


Pretty weak sauce event imo but better than nothing if you get 4”. Shoot, I’d go bananas if we got 4” down here but for your area that’s meh.
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#3958 Postby snownado » Sun Feb 11, 2024 7:01 pm

Cpv17 wrote:
snownado wrote:
Cpv17 wrote:So basically those big totals the models were showing aren’t going to verify because it’s too warm?


Those big totals on the models are almost always overdone.


I mean the models were showing 1-2’ in areas and now y’all are talking about just a few inches lol


I mean, even a few inches is a pretty impressive event for OK.
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#3959 Postby Brent » Sun Feb 11, 2024 7:35 pm

snownado wrote:
Cpv17 wrote:
snownado wrote:
Those big totals on the models are almost always overdone.


I mean the models were showing 1-2’ in areas and now y’all are talking about just a few inches lol


I mean, even a few inches is a pretty impressive event for OK.


It's like I said last night Tulsa hasn't seen more than an inch and a half in one storm in 2 years so the bar is pathetically low :lol:

But until yesterday afternoon the NWS barely even had more than a dusting here(which we had an inch in January) so I mean this has come a long way. It was always clear to me at least it wouldn't be a historic storm here
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#3960 Postby Ntxw » Sun Feb 11, 2024 8:11 pm

13" in Plainview. But that was a few hours ago.
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