Texas Winter 2023-2024

Winter Weather Discussion

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HockeyTx82
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#481 Postby HockeyTx82 » Wed Dec 20, 2023 3:17 pm

wxman57 wrote:Looks like we'll make it into early January without any freezing temps either in Houston or up in the D-FW area. Fine with me. Doctor says I can return to biking in 3 more weeks (hernia surgery last Tuesday). Feel great already. Zero discomfort.


Here's to a speedy recovery and a cold/snowy winter for Texas!
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#482 Postby Tireman4 » Wed Dec 20, 2023 3:28 pm

wxman57 wrote:Looks like we'll make it into early January without any freezing temps either in Houston or up in the D-FW area. Fine with me. Doctor says I can return to biking in 3 more weeks (hernia surgery last Tuesday). Feel great already. Zero discomfort.


Get well soon. We will need you healthy for a possible frigid January. Bwahaha!
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#483 Postby Iceresistance » Wed Dec 20, 2023 7:36 pm

Local TV mets have a slight chance of Wintery Mix for me on next Wednesday.

Can't post images right now
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Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#484 Postby aggiecutter » Wed Dec 20, 2023 8:35 pm

IT'S HAPPENING:

Image

Image
Last edited by aggiecutter on Wed Dec 20, 2023 8:41 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#485 Postby Brent » Wed Dec 20, 2023 8:35 pm

Just a random 61 inches of snow on the 18z GFS in NW Oklahoma on the Kuchera map. No big deal :spam: :lol:
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#486 Postby Stratton23 » Wed Dec 20, 2023 9:06 pm

:cheesy: :cheesy: Brent but surely the GFS is going to be right huh? 61 inches pffft, seems like the model got into the whisky cabinet again haha
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#487 Postby Brent » Wed Dec 20, 2023 9:44 pm

Stratton23 wrote::cheesy: :cheesy: Brent but surely the GFS is going to be right huh? 61 inches pffft, seems like the model got into the whisky cabinet again haha


I mean I remember when the 18z was called happy hour and today definitely lived up to it :lol: I'm not sure I've ever seen a run like that or ever will again
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#488 Postby Iceresistance » Wed Dec 20, 2023 9:46 pm

5 Feet of snow for NW Oklahoma is absurd for even the 18z GFS. That would be the Winter they would never forget :eek: :lol:
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Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#489 Postby Ntxw » Wed Dec 20, 2023 11:11 pm

Looks like a cold front will swing through Texas Christmas morning/day.
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#490 Postby TropicalTundra » Wed Dec 20, 2023 11:24 pm

So looks like some decent rain storms on Eve before a cold front moves in early Christmas day. Not exactly a white Christmas but definitely preferable to record highs.
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#491 Postby SnowintheFalls » Wed Dec 20, 2023 11:25 pm

Ntxw wrote:Looks like a cold front will swing through Texas Christmas morning/day.


Better a bit late than never but how strong is the front looking?
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#492 Postby Brent » Wed Dec 20, 2023 11:35 pm

SnowintheFalls wrote:
Ntxw wrote:Looks like a cold front will swing through Texas Christmas morning/day.


Better a bit late than never but how strong is the front looking?


We're going from 60s to 40s here. Not exactly like last year but at least it's going the right direction. There's actually a frame on the GFS with maybe a brief flurry around OKC Christmas morning. Still looks like much colder air becomes entrenched beyond Christmas
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#493 Postby gpsnowman » Wed Dec 20, 2023 11:40 pm

SnowintheFalls wrote:
Ntxw wrote:Looks like a cold front will swing through Texas Christmas morning/day.


Better a bit late than never but how strong is the front looking?

Not a strong one. Temps will be in the lower 60s with less humidity after the rains Sunday. The following week should be closer to the averages in DFW with 30s/50s which isn't terrible. A little cooler for you up where you are located. Not a bad week at all. Will have to wait until January for any major cold or winter fun.
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#494 Postby Brent » Thu Dec 21, 2023 12:34 am

0z GFS has that big snowstorm in Oklahoma again first week of January. Only 41 inches this run :spam:
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#495 Postby bubba hotep » Thu Dec 21, 2023 8:54 am

Now we are talking :D

I think temps will have to cool off in WCAN before we see any legit winter wx chances, so probably not until mid-January, but fanstay snow is better than no snow!

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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#496 Postby weatherdude1108 » Thu Dec 21, 2023 10:23 am

Getting periodic light showers this morning. Better than NADA.
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#497 Postby jasons2k » Thu Dec 21, 2023 10:33 am

I has hoping to heat the pool again for Christmas this year. Looking like that’s not going to happen. Looks like Jack Frost wants to visit in January.
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#498 Postby Ntxw » Thu Dec 21, 2023 12:35 pm

GFS has been harking that first week of January winter storm for a bit now. Lets see if it get under 200 hours.

In a weird twist, for those behind the front Christmas Day may actually (not lows) be colder than last year where the cold days were before Christmas.
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#499 Postby iorange55 » Thu Dec 21, 2023 12:43 pm

I've been in California (Los Angeles) for the past six years and am moving back to Texas (Austin) next week for a year or so.

Anyway, just a quick question before all the January storms roll in! :cold:

Do you think meteorologists at the local NWS in Los Angeles might be worse at reading models than those in Texas or other states that see more storms? Because every single time there is a rain event out here, I read the discussions from the NWS office and read the forecast, and honestly, 90% of the time they're wrong, even as the event is unfolding. And I'm not one to criticize forecasters, but it seems rather odd to be wrong so often.

Anyone know of a possible reason? Maybe rain events are harder to predict/manage in SoCal?
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#500 Postby Ntxw » Thu Dec 21, 2023 12:47 pm

iorange55 wrote:I've been in California (Los Angeles) for the past six years and am moving back to Texas (Austin) next week for a year or so.

Anyway, just a quick question before all the January storms roll in! :cold:

Do you think meteorologists at the local NWS in Los Angeles might be worse at reading models than those in Texas or other states that see more storms? Because every single time there is a rain event out here, I read the discussions from the NWS office and read the forecast, and honestly, 90% of the time they're wrong, even as the event is unfolding. And I'm not one to criticize forecasters, but it seems rather odd to be wrong so often.

Anyone know of a possible reason? Maybe rain events are harder to predict/manage in SoCal?


Topography and likely as you said, frequency is not enough. We rely so much on modeling and the west is one of the hardest places for models to grasp due to terrain. Have you ever tried figuring out rain/snow amounts in places like Salt Lake City or SF on a model map? My GOD! :lol:.

Bring some of that good snow juju back to Texas with you!
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