HurricaneEnzo wrote:I'm gonna go ahead and predict this gets an update postseason. Was at least briefly a weak STS possibly borderline TS.
I'm almost 100 percent sure that it won't be upgraded to a STS, let alone a TS. I went back and looked at the hourly surface analyses on the Meteocentre web site leading up to the time of landfall. The cyclone never shed it's frontal structure. Surface temps were in the lower 20s (C) over southern Spain, south of the warm front, while they were in the lower to mid teens over Portugal. That converts into about a 12-18F temperature gradient, which is embedded in the middle of and elongated pressure trough, right where you'd expect the warm front to be (granted, METARs suggest that the LLCC is much closer to the Iberian coast than the analysis. Additionaly, it may have occluded prior to landfall (I don't have the actual frontal analyses to look at), however, based on satellite imagery it didn't develop warm seclusion. Moreover, the central convection assumed the form of a baroclnic leaf along the system's northern flank pretty quickly.
It can be argued pretty easily that the low had hybrid characteristics, but at best remained a frontal hybrid.
