RELIABLE MODEL INTENSITY GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH MOST MEMBERS INDICATING LIMITED INTENSIFICATION THROUGH TAU 24, AFTER WHICH CONTINUOUS WEAKENING THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE ONE EXCEPTION TO THIS HAPPY STORY IS COAMPS-TC (GFS VERSION), WHICH IS THE ONLY MEMBERS TO NOT MAKE LANDFALL OVER TAIWAN AND AS A RESULT SHOWS CONTINUOUS INTENSIFICATION THROUGH TAU 120.
From the JTWC Discussion on Typhoon Koinu 2023