ATL: LEE - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[galaxy401]

https://twitter.com/Cyclonebiskit/status/1699238459590967305

That seems like grasping at straws honestly. Will the cold wake even still be there by then?

[Coolcruiseman]

https://twitter.com/AndyHazelton/status/1699228335669174677

18z euro and the 18z euro ensembles shifted south yet again. Watch the NHC cone shift south naturally and people around here will start freaking out buying supplies just because the cone is pointed towards FL even though it's not even near it yet.

Does that not require paying attention which many may not be doing?

Having been on the Space Coast a little over a year I’ll be paying attention to what locals who have been here for awhile do come early next week. In addition to following everything here.

[Hurricane2022]

https://imagizer.imageshack.com/img923/8593/Ilbn3a.gif

That banding feature continues to strengthen...

[IsabelaWeather]

https://imagizer.imageshack.com/img923/8593/Ilbn3a.gif

That banding feature continues to strengthen...

Yeah, now it looks like it could be a hindrance to the storm at large haha. Like and hour after I was saying it was good.

[weeniepatrol]

I.. see zero reason why that band would in any way inhibit Lee; microwave data already showed that it is NOT a separate and competing entity. It is a band which is wrapping directly into Lee's center.

[abajan]

Hard to tell from IR, but I dont really see much, if any, northward movement.

https://imgur.com/a/ZiMlhec

NHC says WNW @ 290* but I am not so sure.

When I click that link it says "This post may contain erotic or adult imagery. By continuing, you acknowledge that you are 18+ years of age."

Not sure if imgur just puts that disclaimer on everything now, or if they've read enough of Josh Morgerman's descriptions of tropical cyclones.

That is interesting, how can I get GIFs to show up like other people do it?

Lately I've been using https://imgbox.com/ without experiencing any issues.

[ElectricStorm]

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 06/0300Z 13.5N 43.0W 45 KT 50 MPH
12H 06/1200Z 14.1N 44.9W 55 KT 65 MPH
24H 07/0000Z 14.9N 47.2W 65 KT 75 MPH
36H 07/1200Z 15.7N 49.7W 75 KT 85 MPH
48H 08/0000Z 16.6N 52.2W 90 KT 105 MPH
60H 08/1200Z 17.8N 54.8W 105 KT 120 MPH
72H 09/0000Z 18.9N 57.1W 115 KT 130 MPH
96H 10/0000Z 20.8N 61.5W 125 KT 145 MPH
120H 11/0000Z 22.5N 65.0W 130 KT 150 MPH

[CryHavoc]

:eek:

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 06/0300Z 13.5N 43.0W 45 KT 50 MPH
12H 06/1200Z 14.1N 44.9W 55 KT 65 MPH
24H 07/0000Z 14.9N 47.2W 65 KT 75 MPH
36H 07/1200Z 15.7N 49.7W 75 KT 85 MPH
48H 08/0000Z 16.6N 52.2W 90 KT 105 MPH
60H 08/1200Z 17.8N 54.8W 105 KT 120 MPH
72H 09/0000Z 18.9N 57.1W 115 KT 130 MPH
96H 10/0000Z 20.8N 61.5W 125 KT 145 MPH
120H 11/0000Z 22.5N 65.0W 130 KT 150 MPH

I must be honest, at this point I would be surprised if Lee "only" got to 150mph given some of the conditions forecast.

[cheezyWXguy]

I.. see zero reason why that band would in any way inhibit Lee; microwave data already showed that it is NOT a separate and competing entity. It is a band which is wrapping directly into Lee's center.

Normally I’d see it as a potential obstacle, as it seems pretty persistent. However, Lee’s structure is already so impressive and core convection seems to be expanding at the same rate as the band. Shouldn’t be a hinderance to at least steady intensification over the next 24 hours, and I doubt it will still exist by the time of the expected RI phase in a day or two

[CFLHurricane]

https://twitter.com/AndyHazelton/status/1699228335669174677

18z euro and the 18z euro ensembles shifted south yet again. Watch the NHC cone shift south naturally and people around here will start freaking out buying supplies just because the cone is pointed towards FL even though it's not even near it yet.

Does that not require paying attention which many may not be doing?

Having been on the Space Coast a little over a year I’ll be paying attention to what locals who have been here for awhile do come early next week. In addition to following everything here.

Longtime locals on the Space Coast won’t start prepping for Lee until it’s past Hispaniola. We’ve been in the cone so many times to no avail that we like to wait until a couple days out to activate our plans. I just don’t see Lee being an issue unless it somehow finds its way to the Bahamas.

[mantis83]

:eek:

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 06/0300Z 13.5N 43.0W 45 KT 50 MPH
12H 06/1200Z 14.1N 44.9W 55 KT 65 MPH
24H 07/0000Z 14.9N 47.2W 65 KT 75 MPH
36H 07/1200Z 15.7N 49.7W 75 KT 85 MPH
48H 08/0000Z 16.6N 52.2W 90 KT 105 MPH
60H 08/1200Z 17.8N 54.8W 105 KT 120 MPH
72H 09/0000Z 18.9N 57.1W 115 KT 130 MPH
96H 10/0000Z 20.8N 61.5W 125 KT 145 MPH
120H 11/0000Z 22.5N 65.0W 130 KT 150 MPH

I must be honest, at this point I would be surprised if Lee "only" got to 150mph given some of the conditions forecast.

nhc even suggest they could adjust the intensity upwards in future updates......wow!

[Sciencerocks]

They're pretty much saying that this is going to pull a isabel or Irma.

[chaser1]

CLASSIC Atlantic "6" configuration. Suggestive of West motion. In time that'll change & evolve but for now peeps in the Islands need keep their head on a swivel

[eastcoastFL]

So far Lee seems to be tracking slightly sw of the forecast. It’ll be interesting to see if that changes anything down the road.

[Kingarabian]

Classic dominant intense CB scene progressing to a CDO type. Should be a hurricane soon.

[ConvergenceZone]

I don't often invoke this storm for comparison, but Lee is really reminding me of Irma, in terms of structure and projected evolution (not track). It's not often you see a storm in its early stages that you just know is (very likely) going to be a monster.

I'm a little surprised that we don't have more posts on this board because this storm could get real ugly, real soon.

It's not going to happen, unless somehow it ends up being a USA threat.... What you see right now is as busy as it's going to get, unless somehow the storm defies all of the models and ends up being a USA threat(highly unlikely), but never say never in the world of weather.

[wx98]

Lee can be a lady's name, or a man's name.
Not much doubt now which it is.

https://i.imgur.com/7wGV3ii.jpg

If it was a lady's name it would be Leigh

Not necessarily. Catwoman (in the original TV Batman series) was played by Lee Meriwether...

Concur. I have a female family member named "Lee". Although this Lee will be considerably more ferocious than her...

[wx98]

I keep seeing posters comment on due west movement here. However, Lee has already gained a whole degree of latitude from 15z to 3z. Seems right on track to me.

[ElectricStorm]

Certainly an interesting structure with that huge curved band. I'm thinking we're still a day or so away from really seeing it take off but once that northeasterly shear lightens up and it can fully develop a core it'll go ballistic

[Sciencerocks]