Texas Summer 2023
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Re: Texas Summer 2023
The GFS shows a 3 day stretch from Aug 26 to Aug 28 with 113, 113 and 114 highs. This is getting ridiculous. Those days look like they will be hard on the grid.
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Re: Texas Summer 2023
funster wrote:The GFS shows a 3 day stretch from Aug 26 to Aug 28 with 113, 113 and 114 highs. This is getting ridiculous. Those days look like they will be hard on the grid.
Tomorrow (Thursday) will be hard on the ERCOT grid with reserves below 2,000 MW and demand over 86,000 MW.
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Re: Texas Summer 2023
funster wrote:The GFS shows a 3 day stretch from Aug 26 to Aug 28 with 113, 113 and 114 highs. This is getting ridiculous. Those days look like they will be hard on the grid.
Luckily that's in fantasy land. Hopefully we don't see anything close to that.
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Re: Texas Summer 2023
lukem wrote:funster wrote:The GFS shows a 3 day stretch from Aug 26 to Aug 28 with 113, 113 and 114 highs. This is getting ridiculous. Those days look like they will be hard on the grid.
Luckily that's in fantasy land. Hopefully we don't see anything close to that.
8-10 days out is long range, but I wouldn’t call it fantasy land. Probably overdoing it some, but honestly it’s not a huge deviation from what it’s showing in the near term.
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- Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Summer 2023
SoupBone wrote:tajmahal wrote:starsfan65 wrote: It ain't going to get that hot.
I'd appreciate you guys not using cockroach in this way. During the Rwanda genocide Tutsis were
labeled as cockroaches, and the ruling Hutus were encouraged to slaughter them.
Wait, what? What does this have to do with weather? And because of this event, no one can use the word cockroach again?
I think he meant that it was used in a very nasty way in the 1990s.
Let's not get too OT here
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Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
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Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
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All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
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Re: Texas Summer 2023
cstrunk wrote:Nederlander wrote:Yukon Cornelius wrote:Texas in now the new NM/AZ. I dont remember what grass even looks like after the past 2 summers.
El Niño ? Where? I agree Yukon. I’ve never seen anything like this. It’s unbearable… it’s probably not but it seems worse than 2011.
Depends on where you are, but 2011 encompassed more area into severe drought. This year, while bad in many places, the worst is more confined to central and south TX.
I recall a time when we thought a moderate Tropical Storm was going to give us a drink and cool us down during a blastfurnance
Recall Don 2011?
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tropical_Storm_Don_(2011)
It literally dissipated hitting the coast thanks to the death ridge and dry air.
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Re: Texas Summer 2023
Iceresistance wrote:SoupBone wrote:tajmahal wrote:I'd appreciate you guys not using cockroach in this way. During the Rwanda genocide Tutsis were
labeled as cockroaches, and the ruling Hutus were encouraged to slaughter them.
Wait, what? What does this have to do with weather? And because of this event, no one can use the word cockroach again?
I think he meant that it was used in a very nasty way in the 1990s.
Let's not get too OT here
I’ve never even heard of that event in my life, much less knowing it was in the 1990’s. I don’t even know what that is or how to properly pronounce it.
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Re: Texas Summer 2023
Cpv17 wrote:Iceresistance wrote:SoupBone wrote:
Wait, what? What does this have to do with weather? And because of this event, no one can use the word cockroach again?
I think he meant that it was used in a very nasty way in the 1990s.
Let's not get too OT here
I’ve never even heard of that event in my life, much less knowing it was in the 1990’s. I don’t even know what that is or how to properly pronounce it.
Or what in the world it has to do with TX weather. That was my point, it was injected into a discussion with absolutely no relevance or context whatsoever.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
- Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Summer 2023
SoupBone wrote:Cpv17 wrote:Iceresistance wrote:I think he meant that it was used in a very nasty way in the 1990s.
Let's not get too OT here
I’ve never even heard of that event in my life, much less knowing it was in the 1990’s. I don’t even know what that is or how to properly pronounce it.
Or what in the world it has to do with TX weather. That was my point, it was injected into a discussion with absolutely no relevance or context whatsoever.
That is what I was thinking too.
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Re: Texas Summer 2023
cctxhurricanewatcher wrote:cstrunk wrote:Nederlander wrote:El Niño ? Where? I agree Yukon. I’ve never seen anything like this. It’s unbearable… it’s probably not but it seems worse than 2011.
Depends on where you are, but 2011 encompassed more area into severe drought. This year, while bad in many places, the worst is more confined to central and south TX.
I recall a time when we thought a moderate Tropical Storm was going to give us a drink and cool us down during a blastfurnance
Recall Don 2011?
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tropical_Storm_Don_(2011)
It literally dissipated hitting the coast thanks to the death ridge and dry air.
Yeah! Don went poof. One of the strangest things I've ever seen, weather-wise.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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Re: Texas Summer 2023
lukem wrote:funster wrote:The GFS shows a 3 day stretch from Aug 26 to Aug 28 with 113, 113 and 114 highs. This is getting ridiculous. Those days look like they will be hard on the grid.
Luckily that's in fantasy land. Hopefully we don't see anything close to that.
IF you look at the NWS forecast for NTX they have temps ranging from 105 to 109 for the next 7 days.

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Re: Texas Summer 2023
Euro has 110F+ this weekend for DFW. Usually more conservative than GFS. The heat dome will likely cause some ~115F readings in the central plains.
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Re: Texas Summer 2023
SoupBone wrote:cctxhurricanewatcher wrote:cstrunk wrote:
Depends on where you are, but 2011 encompassed more area into severe drought. This year, while bad in many places, the worst is more confined to central and south TX.
I recall a time when we thought a moderate Tropical Storm was going to give us a drink and cool us down during a blastfurnance
Recall Don 2011?
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tropical_Storm_Don_(2011)
It literally dissipated hitting the coast thanks to the death ridge and dry air.
Yeah! Don went poof. One of the strangest things I've ever seen, weather-wise.
Oh, there is a thread on Don here. It was the one of the craziest things I have ever seen in my life, and I have been around awhile.
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Re: Texas Summer 2023
Yep, I couldn't believe what I was seeing as I was watching it! I thought my feed had gone wonky or that somehow the radar was down. Craziest thing I have ever seen for a tropical system and I've lived on or near the Gulf coast since 1954.
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Re: Texas Summer 2023
vbhoutex wrote:Yep, I couldn't believe what I was seeing as I was watching it! I thought my feed had gone wonky or that somehow the radar was down. Craziest thing I have ever seen for a tropical system and I've lived on or near the Gulf coast since 1954.
I think the reactions from us ( me included) on that thread were just jaw dropping. We were just dumbfounded. Completely gob smacked.
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Re: Texas Summer 2023
For you newbies on here...this is the thread on Don...
https://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopi ... 3&t=111230
From the immortal Portastorm..
My final comment on this waste of a system (and a name) ... Don was the sorriest excuse for a tropical storm I have ever seen threaten Texas. Absolutely pitiful!
I've seen better sea-breeze fronts.
https://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopi ... 3&t=111230
From the immortal Portastorm..
My final comment on this waste of a system (and a name) ... Don was the sorriest excuse for a tropical storm I have ever seen threaten Texas. Absolutely pitiful!
I've seen better sea-breeze fronts.

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Re: Texas Summer 2023

12 years later, I still stand by those comments.

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Re: Texas Summer 2023
Larry C says it won't end until September. Probably more right than not, unfortunately.
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Re: Texas Summer 2023
Cpv17 wrote:Iceresistance wrote:SoupBone wrote:
Wait, what? What does this have to do with weather? And because of this event, no one can use the word cockroach again?
I think he meant that it was used in a very nasty way in the 1990s.
Let's not get too OT here
I’ve never even heard of that event in my life, much less knowing it was in the 1990’s. I don’t even know what that is or how to properly pronounce it.
The Rwanda Genocide:
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-26875506
The term "cockroach" is still used publicly in various places around the world to terrorize disfavored ethnic groups. It's as offensive as the "N" word to many of us with east African roots. "Hotel Rwanda" is a good film about this. That's the last I will say on this subject.
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Re: Texas Summer 2023
tajmahal wrote:Cpv17 wrote:Iceresistance wrote:I think he meant that it was used in a very nasty way in the 1990s.
Let's not get too OT here
I’ve never even heard of that event in my life, much less knowing it was in the 1990’s. I don’t even know what that is or how to properly pronounce it.
The Rwanda Genocide:
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-26875506
The term "cockroach" is still used publicly in various places around the world to terrorize disfavored ethnic groups. It's as offensive as the "N" word to many of us with east African roots. "Hotel Rwanda" is a good film about this. That's the last I will say on this subject.
What does this have to do with weather though?
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