Texas Summer 2023

U.S. & Caribbean Weather Discussions and Severe Weather Events

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
opticsguy
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 230
Joined: Wed Jan 05, 2011 9:27 pm
Location: McKinney, TX

Re: Texas Summer 2023

#221 Postby opticsguy » Thu Jun 15, 2023 3:37 pm

bubba hotep wrote:With that said, the 18z HRRR keeps everything NE of all but the far outlying portions of DFW. Don't want any hail or wind damage but kept thinking that given this run of days, we would have gotten a good soaking in DFW at some point :grrr:

https://m2o.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/hrrr/2023061518/018/qpf_acc-imp.us_sc.png

You don't want to be on the southern edge of this line, for sure.
0 likes   

User avatar
Ntxw
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 22784
Joined: Wed Oct 21, 2009 6:34 pm
Location: DFW, Texas

Re: Texas Summer 2023

#222 Postby Ntxw » Thu Jun 15, 2023 3:46 pm

One thing for sure if you do get rain, very high rates with the crazy dews.
2 likes   
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

  Help support Storm2K!
Help Support Storm2K

User avatar
ElectricStorm
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5044
Age: 24
Joined: Tue Aug 13, 2019 11:23 pm
Location: Skiatook, OK / Norman, OK

Re: Texas Summer 2023

#223 Postby ElectricStorm » Thu Jun 15, 2023 3:46 pm

Both cells in OK now with the destructive tag for baseball hail.
2 likes   
B.S Meteorology, University of Oklahoma '25

Please refer to the NHC, NWS, or SPC for official information.

User avatar
bubba hotep
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5837
Joined: Wed Dec 28, 2016 1:00 am
Location: Collin County Texas

Re: Texas Summer 2023

#224 Postby bubba hotep » Thu Jun 15, 2023 3:51 pm

Image

The storm environment is on the
extremes for supercells, such that giant hail of 4-5 inches in
diameter will be possible.


Image
5 likes   
Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

HockeyTx82
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2540
Joined: Tue Oct 27, 2009 11:17 am
Location: Ponder, TX

Re: Texas Summer 2023

#225 Postby HockeyTx82 » Thu Jun 15, 2023 3:52 pm

bubba hotep wrote:https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0309_radar.gif

The storm environment is on the
extremes for supercells, such that giant hail of 4-5 inches in
diameter will be possible.


https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FysQqBnakAAQFzQ?format=jpg&name=medium


Yeah, I'm thinking contractor because that will also punch through your roof and cause damage inside your house.
0 likes   
Don't hold me accountable for anything I post on this forum. Leave the real forecasting up to the professionals.

Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)

gpsnowman
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3185
Joined: Fri Jan 07, 2011 10:35 am
Location: Grand Prairie Tx

Re: Texas Summer 2023

#226 Postby gpsnowman » Thu Jun 15, 2023 3:55 pm

Hope everyone has a spot to hide their car if you get under one of these hailers!!
0 likes   

HockeyTx82
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2540
Joined: Tue Oct 27, 2009 11:17 am
Location: Ponder, TX

Re: Texas Summer 2023

#227 Postby HockeyTx82 » Thu Jun 15, 2023 4:06 pm

gpsnowman wrote:Hope everyone has a spot to hide their car if you get under one of these hailers!!


Both my minivan and Ford focus fit in my garage. One of the few who can do so in my neighborhood.

Guy down the street bought a new quad cab Chevrolet. He got the hail blimp protector for it.
2 likes   
Don't hold me accountable for anything I post on this forum. Leave the real forecasting up to the professionals.

Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)

User avatar
bubba hotep
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5837
Joined: Wed Dec 28, 2016 1:00 am
Location: Collin County Texas

Re: Texas Summer 2023

#228 Postby bubba hotep » Thu Jun 15, 2023 4:10 pm

We could be running this back on Saturday

Image
1 likes   
Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

gpsnowman
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3185
Joined: Fri Jan 07, 2011 10:35 am
Location: Grand Prairie Tx

Re: Texas Summer 2023

#229 Postby gpsnowman » Thu Jun 15, 2023 4:19 pm

Tornado watch until 10pm.
0 likes   

cstrunk
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 635
Joined: Sat Jul 04, 2020 10:38 am
Location: Longview, TX

Re: Texas Summer 2023

#230 Postby cstrunk » Thu Jun 15, 2023 4:34 pm

My weather station is reading a temp of 92F, DP of 81F (!), and heat index of 112F. It might be a degree or so high on the dewpoint but that's pretty crazy. You usually don't see that kind of dewpoint unless you're in the middle of an Iowa cornfield in July during a hot/wet year.
0 likes   

User avatar
opticsguy
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 230
Joined: Wed Jan 05, 2011 9:27 pm
Location: McKinney, TX

Re: Texas Summer 2023

#231 Postby opticsguy » Thu Jun 15, 2023 4:37 pm

cstrunk wrote:My weather station is reading a temp of 92F, DP of 81F (!), and heat index of 112F. It might be a degree or so high on the dewpoint but that's pretty crazy. You usually don't see that kind of dewpoint unless you're in the middle of an Iowa cornfield in July during a hot/wet year.

There should be "before corn" and "after corn" dew point records.
3 likes   

Yukon Cornelius
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1798
Age: 41
Joined: Thu Dec 20, 2012 9:23 pm
Location: Dean, TX/Westcliffe, CO

Re: Texas Summer 2023

#232 Postby Yukon Cornelius » Thu Jun 15, 2023 4:46 pm

Tornado on ground in Lawton.
3 likes   
#neversummer

TarrantWx
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 287
Age: 39
Joined: Thu Jan 30, 2014 10:38 am
Location: Keller, TX

Re: Texas Summer 2023

#233 Postby TarrantWx » Thu Jun 15, 2023 4:48 pm

cstrunk wrote:My weather station is reading a temp of 92F, DP of 81F (!), and heat index of 112F. It might be a degree or so high on the dewpoint but that's pretty crazy. You usually don't see that kind of dewpoint unless you're in the middle of an Iowa cornfield in July during a hot/wet year.


I grew up in Iowa and can attest to the terrible humidity from the corn during the summer. This feels very similar. I was pretty young, but I remember the heatwave of July 1995 pretty well. Cedar Rapids had a heat index of 131.
2 likes   

User avatar
bubba hotep
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5837
Joined: Wed Dec 28, 2016 1:00 am
Location: Collin County Texas

Re: Texas Summer 2023

#234 Postby bubba hotep » Thu Jun 15, 2023 4:52 pm

That supercell cluster in SW Oklahoma seems to be tracking pretty hard SE.
0 likes   
Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

HockeyTx82
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2540
Joined: Tue Oct 27, 2009 11:17 am
Location: Ponder, TX

Re: Texas Summer 2023

#235 Postby HockeyTx82 » Thu Jun 15, 2023 4:58 pm

So are we throwing out HRRR runs at this point? I'm still not seeing anything on it to the west and SW of DFW but looks like things are trying.....

Thoughts?
0 likes   
Don't hold me accountable for anything I post on this forum. Leave the real forecasting up to the professionals.

Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)

User avatar
bubba hotep
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5837
Joined: Wed Dec 28, 2016 1:00 am
Location: Collin County Texas

Re: Texas Summer 2023

#236 Postby bubba hotep » Thu Jun 15, 2023 5:08 pm

HockeyTx82 wrote:So are we throwing out HRRR runs at this point? I'm still not seeing anything on it to the west and SW of DFW but looks like things are trying.....

Thoughts?


It's just refusing to acknowledge the storms in Texas lol
0 likes   
Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

User avatar
bubba hotep
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5837
Joined: Wed Dec 28, 2016 1:00 am
Location: Collin County Texas

Re: Texas Summer 2023

#237 Postby bubba hotep » Thu Jun 15, 2023 5:11 pm

0 likes   
Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

cstrunk
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 635
Joined: Sat Jul 04, 2020 10:38 am
Location: Longview, TX

Re: Texas Summer 2023

#238 Postby cstrunk » Thu Jun 15, 2023 5:20 pm

TarrantWx wrote:
cstrunk wrote:My weather station is reading a temp of 92F, DP of 81F (!), and heat index of 112F. It might be a degree or so high on the dewpoint but that's pretty crazy. You usually don't see that kind of dewpoint unless you're in the middle of an Iowa cornfield in July during a hot/wet year.


I grew up in Iowa and can attest to the terrible humidity from the corn during the summer. This feels very similar. I was pretty young, but I remember the heatwave of July 1995 pretty well. Cedar Rapids had a heat index of 131.


Same, I also grew up in Iowa and I remember that heat wave too. We had a bank in town that would show the actual temperature and the feels like temperature. I don't remember what it showed exactly but it was definitely in the 120's. :double:
0 likes   

User avatar
bubba hotep
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5837
Joined: Wed Dec 28, 2016 1:00 am
Location: Collin County Texas

Re: Texas Summer 2023

#239 Postby bubba hotep » Thu Jun 15, 2023 5:33 pm

Despite extreme CAPE and a SCP pushing 20, the only cell west of DFW has now died. Looks like the cells to the SW will miss DFW to the South, and the HRRR is consistently showing the storms in OK missing DFW to the NE. Looks like another non-event for DFW. Maybe we will get some rain on Saturday, lol
0 likes   
Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

User avatar
bubba hotep
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5837
Joined: Wed Dec 28, 2016 1:00 am
Location: Collin County Texas

Re: Texas Summer 2023

#240 Postby bubba hotep » Thu Jun 15, 2023 5:35 pm

0 likes   
Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.


Return to “USA & Caribbean Weather”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 14 guests