#8 Postby Nimbus » Thu Jun 01, 2023 3:42 pm
These slow southerly drifting storm tracks head east and northeast with the next front that comes along, they don't just descend all the way to Honduras.
Gulf upper air is fairly dry and there should be some shear that would disrupt a weak system ahead of the next front.
Tracking over Havana as a sheared system is certainly possible.
Just wondering about the confidence in the forecast at this point and are there any track similarities to early storms of other years?
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