TWO new version is up
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- cycloneye
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TWO new version is up
Starting on May 15, we will see the changes that will be good.
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- Iceresistance
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Re: TWO will be extended out to 7 days starting in 2023
Finally! We won't get confused on this!
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
- cycloneye
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Re: TWO will be extended out to 7 days starting in 2023
The ID of invests in the TWO's is the best thing that the outlooks will have followed by the 7 day.
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Re: TWO will be extended out to 7 days starting in 2023
Good changes. Better late than never.
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M a r k
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Re: TWO will be extended out to 7 days starting in 2023
Excellent. Better data dissemination is always welcome.
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Re: TWO will be extended out to 7 days starting in 2023
The only thing that could be an issue is if there are so many Invests in rapid fire that numbers are used so quickly, it could create confusion. Also, it isn't uncommon that systems are identified in the TWO well before they get tagged as Invests. Usually, that occurs when they are around 40% in the 2 day.
One thing I would change for depressions and PTC's is that instead of "(number)", I would call them "(number-L)". I think we've adapted enough that having the L indicator would create consistency with the EPAC and CPAC. For example, TD 11 in the Atlantic in 2022 would become TD 11-L.
One thing I would change for depressions and PTC's is that instead of "(number)", I would call them "(number-L)". I think we've adapted enough that having the L indicator would create consistency with the EPAC and CPAC. For example, TD 11 in the Atlantic in 2022 would become TD 11-L.
Last edited by CrazyC83 on Fri Mar 10, 2023 10:36 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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- Iceresistance
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Re: TWO will be extended out to 7 days starting in 2023
CrazyC83 wrote:The only thing that could be an issue is if there are so many Invests in rapid fire that numbers are used so quickly, it could create confusion.
One thing I would change for depressions and PTC's is that instead of "(number)", I would call them "(number-L)". I think we've adapted enough that having the L indicator would create consistency with the EPAC and CPAC. For example, TD 11 in the Atlantic in 2022 would become TD 11-L.
Well, for the EPAC, there is the "-E" suffix and CPAC has the "-C" suffix.
There are some sites that put Tropical Depressions as (for example) 16L in the Atlantic.
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
- wxman57
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Re: TWO will be extended out to 7 days starting in 2023
Quite an advancement. We've been producing a 7-day outlook for 20+ years. Each disturbance gets its own individual number that we track across the basin until it develops or dissipates.
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- Hurricanehink
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Re: TWO will be extended out to 7 days starting in 2023
wxman57 wrote:Quite an advancement. We've been producing a 7-day outlook for 20+ years. Each disturbance gets its own individual number that we track across the basin until it develops or dissipates.
Just curious, how many disturbances warrant advisories each year?
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- wxman57
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Re: TWO will be extended out to 7 days starting in 2023
Hurricanehink wrote:wxman57 wrote:Quite an advancement. We've been producing a 7-day outlook for 20+ years. Each disturbance gets its own individual number that we track across the basin until it develops or dissipates.
Just curious, how many disturbances warrant advisories each year?
We issue advisories on any disturbance that we think has a 50% or greater chance of development within the next 48 hours. With that in mind, most disturbances that we issue advisories on end up developing each season. There may be 1-3 that never make it, though.
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- cycloneye
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Re: TWO will be extended out to 7 days starting in 2023
NHC adds all the details about this and other new products at their site.
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pdf/NHC_New_Pr ... s_2023.pdf
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pdf/NHC_New_Pr ... s_2023.pdf
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- AtlanticWind
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Re: TWO will be extended out to 7 days starting in 2023
Just wondering what everyone thinks on the NHC now going
Out 7 days on the outlooks.
Out 7 days on the outlooks.
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Re: TWO will be extended out to 7 days starting in 2023
I think it is wonderful and the nhc is more then skilled enough to be putting these out. I'd also love to see a little extra bit about expected track and intensity if an invest as let say 60%+ chance of development.
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- cycloneye
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Re: TWO will be extended out to 7 days starting in 2023
Only a few hours left to see the new version of the TWO.
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- cycloneye
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Re: TWO new version is up
Here is the first TWO with the new version.
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Mon May 15 2023
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
Today, May 15th, marks the first day of routine issuance of the
Atlantic basin Tropical Weather Outlook in 2023. This product
describes significant areas of disturbed weather and their
potential for tropical cyclone formation during the next seven
days. The Tropical Weather Outlook is issued from May 15 through
November 30 each year. The issuance times of this product are 2
AM, 8 AM, 2 PM, and 8 PM EDT. After the change to standard time
in November, the issuance times are 1 AM, 7 AM, 1 PM, and 7 PM EST.
A Special Tropical Weather Outlook will be issued to provide
updates, as necessary, in between the regularly scheduled issuances
of the Tropical Weather Outlook. Special Tropical Weather Outlooks
will be issued under the same WMO and AWIPS headers as the regular
Tropical Weather Outlooks.
A graphical version of the Tropical Weather Outlook is available on
the web at: https://www.hurricanes.gov.
$$
Forecaster Kelly/Cangialosi
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Mon May 15 2023
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
Today, May 15th, marks the first day of routine issuance of the
Atlantic basin Tropical Weather Outlook in 2023. This product
describes significant areas of disturbed weather and their
potential for tropical cyclone formation during the next seven
days. The Tropical Weather Outlook is issued from May 15 through
November 30 each year. The issuance times of this product are 2
AM, 8 AM, 2 PM, and 8 PM EDT. After the change to standard time
in November, the issuance times are 1 AM, 7 AM, 1 PM, and 7 PM EST.
A Special Tropical Weather Outlook will be issued to provide
updates, as necessary, in between the regularly scheduled issuances
of the Tropical Weather Outlook. Special Tropical Weather Outlooks
will be issued under the same WMO and AWIPS headers as the regular
Tropical Weather Outlooks.
A graphical version of the Tropical Weather Outlook is available on
the web at: https://www.hurricanes.gov.
$$
Forecaster Kelly/Cangialosi
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