Bulletin of February 10 at 4:39 p.m. local time in Reunion (3.39 p.m. local time in Mayotte):
A low pressure system is currently present over the South West Indian Ocean.
A suspicious area is also present, and there is a risk of formation of another moderate tropical storm for the next 5 days.
In fact, in addition to the DINGANI system active in the basin, tropical storm FREDDY, currently in the Australian area of responsibility, is heading west while benefiting from favorable conditions and thus has a significant risk (probability between 60 and 90%) of enter the east of our basin from Tuesday February 14 or Wednesday February 15 with an intensity reaching at least the moderate tropical storm stage.
There is no current alert in Reunion, and no cyclone threat is expected for the next 72 hours.
There is no current alert in Mayotte, and no cyclone threat is expected for the next 72 hours.
MODERATE TROPICAL STORM number 6
(DINGANI)
Maximum winds (averaged over 10 minutes) estimated at sea: 75 km/h.
Estimated maximum gusts at sea: 100 km/h.
Estimated pressure at the center: 995 hPa.
Position on February 10 at 4 p.m. local time: 16.0 South / 83.0 East.
Distance from the Reunion coast: 2920 km to the sector: EAST
Distance from Mayotte: 4090 km to sector: EAST
Movement: WEST, at 19 km/h.
System Information:
- Moderate tropical storm DINGANI continues to move west on Friday more than 2000km northeast of Rodrigues far from any inhabited land.
- DINGANI is expected to continue moving west tomorrow before moving southwest on Sunday. It could reach tropical cyclone stage over the weekend.
- At the beginning of next week, DINGANI should weaken while moving generally towards the west-southwest. According to the preferred scenario, the system should pass at a sufficient distance from Rodrigues not to present a significant threat. However, this forecast is still particularly uncertain and could change in the coming days.
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