Texas Winter 2022-2023

[Rgv20]

NWS starting to talk about it...they are usually really conservative down here so it surprising that they mentioning it this early. I'm getting a bit concerned as I have quite a few Tropical Plants in my yard and a healthy young growing Lime tree in my backyard.

NWS Brownsville afternoon discussion...

Looking beyond the official forecast period, at 8-10 days (first
few days of astronomical winter and into the run-up to Christmas),
there are indications of a significantly colder period, with CPC
progs now highlighting a moderate risk of hazardous cold in the
21-27 Dec window. NBM experimental shows a 25% chance of temps
falling below freezing across the area on Fri, 23 Dec...so stay
tuned as this potential cold event draws closer.

[Iceresistance]

Someone on a different forum has mentioned that the GFS has a tendency to be too fast for storm systems and cold shots. Do not surprised if the GFS slows down the cold and the storm systems in future runs.

[Brent]

The met on TV just said "let's hope it's not as cold as some of the model runs" also showed a graphic of December 1983...

[BigB0882]

Someone on a different forum has mentioned that the GFS has a tendency to be too fast for storm systems and cold shots. Do not surprised if the GFS slows down the cold and the storm systems in future runs.

And I can’t tell you how many times I’ve seen the models have been too slow with the cold dense air. No one knows for sure right now but I feel confident saying that cold is coming. How cold, exactly when and with any moisture remains to be seen.

[Itryatgolf]

Someone on a different forum has mentioned that the GFS has a tendency to be too fast for storm systems and cold shots. Do not surprised if the GFS slows down the cold and the storm systems in future runs.

I went to pivotal weather and didn't see the free pivotal plus stuff. Where do I go?

[Iceresistance]

Someone on a different forum has mentioned that the GFS has a tendency to be too fast for storm systems and cold shots. Do not surprised if the GFS slows down the cold and the storm systems in future runs.

I went to pivotal weather and didn't see the free pivotal plus stuff. Where do I go?

There was login issues that made them temporarily unlock the free PW plus features until it was resolved, now it's back to normal require a subscription to see it.

[Ntxw]

Interestingly, the ICON has been showing early week cold air having a better time pushing south against the upper flow. This is not the big cold wave but an earlier wave. Not frigid by any stretch but it can be the difference between 50s to around 40 for highs.

[Iceresistance]

Interestingly, the ICON has been showing early week cold air having a better time pushing south against the upper flow. This is not the big cold wave but an earlier wave. Not frigid by any stretch but it can be the difference between 50s to around 40 for highs.

The ICON must be picking up the shallow air mass.

[Quixotic]

Step down. All great winters start that way.

[Texas Snow]

Someone on a different forum has mentioned that the GFS has a tendency to be too fast for storm systems and cold shots. Do not surprised if the GFS slows down the cold and the storm systems in future runs.

I went to pivotal weather and didn't see the free pivotal plus stuff. Where do I go?

As a subscriber I just got an email that they’re having a 20% off sale including new memberships (both annual and monthly). It doesn’t help me but y’all can use FLASH22 at check out to get 20% off and give it a try.

[Brent]

Okay the other TV met mentioned potentially historic cold in his latest post

[TeamPlayersBlue]

Block north of New Foundland is projected to be stronger than previously forecast. Going back to the issue of the GFS pushing storms east too quickly.

[Iceresistance]

Block north of New Foundland is projected to be stronger than previously forecast. Going back to the issue of the GFS pushing storms east too quickly.

The storm systems also have a tendency to slow down when they reach the plains, so there's that.

[Iceresistance]

Okay the other TV met mentioned potentially historic cold in his latest post

Was it Mike Morgan?

[Brent]

Okay the other TV met mentioned potentially historic cold in his latest post

Was it Mike Morgan?

No but he does work for NBC here

[Ntxw]

Block north of New Foundland is projected to be stronger than previously forecast. Going back to the issue of the GFS pushing storms east too quickly.

If anything couple days prior runs the GFS pushed the TPV into Ontario. Today like the rest of the guidance initiates in WCan. That should be enough of a glaring indicator.

[Iceresistance]

Okay the other TV met mentioned potentially historic cold in his latest post

Was it Mike Morgan?

No but he does work for NBC here

Oh, it's from KJRH. Not KFOR.

[ThunderSleetDreams]

KPRC2 in Houston is bullish.

[starsfan65]

Was it Mike Morgan?

No but he does work for NBC here

Oh, it's from KJRH. Not KFOR.

Travis Meyer?

[Iceresistance]

Even if the GFS does not show 1070+ mb Arctic HPs, the 1050s can still cause a huge cold wave.