Hurricane2022 wrote:Interesting that the GFS has been insisting on a late-season system in the central Pacific since yesterday.
The models do agree on a robust disturbance, but I don't know about a CPAC minimal hurricane this late in a La Nina. Maybe something weak forming is a possibility. Even then, it'll need to be a very well defined system to be named or even recognized by the CPHC.Think 40-45kts or higher.