Texas Fall 2022

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Brent
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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#1201 Postby Brent » Mon Nov 14, 2022 8:35 pm

That was quite a burst there

https://streamable.com/sdqush
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Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#1202 Postby Iceresistance » Mon Nov 14, 2022 8:39 pm

I may have more videos coming out from this event, at least four of them! Two are normal, and two are super-slow motion.
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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#1203 Postby Cpv17 » Mon Nov 14, 2022 8:50 pm

Iceresistance wrote:
Cpv17 wrote:
Brent wrote:34 and rain :spam:

Well we'll get ours eventually I think


Bro you live in Tulsa, Oklahoma. It gets cold af there. You’ll get your snow lol

I live further south and I was colder than Tulsa for most of the day!


Trajectory of the deepest cold was further west of Tulsa. That’s why. But of course that’s not how it always works.
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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#1204 Postby gpsnowman » Mon Nov 14, 2022 8:55 pm

Well done with the Oklahomans with the early season snowfall. It can only go south from here on out I hope. I do believe that we will all get more chances in DJF. At least once per month. Thanksgiving looks normal but the rest of winter is remains to be seen. I like our chances.
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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#1205 Postby Brent » Mon Nov 14, 2022 9:38 pm

Seems like I got lucky and right timing because the other side of the city had no snow at all. That was impressive for a minute for sure with those big flakes though. I was expecting more of a random flake mixed in tbh :lol: which was how it started but as I kept driving south it was getting more and more interesting. No accumulation at my apartment when I got home an hour later

The dry fluffy stuff just can't compare to some good ole fat flakes
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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#1206 Postby cstrunk » Tue Nov 15, 2022 8:49 am

Got a nice 0.5" yesterday. Looks to be dry for the next week with nice cool fall weather - highs in the low 50's and lows in the low 30's.
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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#1207 Postby Iceresistance » Tue Nov 15, 2022 9:31 am

I got this picture from 2:48 PM Yesterday, look at the size of those snowflakes!

Image
https://s4.gifyu.com/images/IMG_72291daa45e0b263fc15.jpg
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Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#1208 Postby TeamPlayersBlue » Tue Nov 15, 2022 10:54 am

Congrats on the snow! Competing with me on totals for the season. Although, they predicted a clear evening and sunny day, we woke up to 3" and still coming down. Not complaining!


Was showing a warm up during Turkey week for the longest, but it appears the pattern may continue to be stormy for the southern plains. Long range MJO wants to swing back towards 7, which is a good setup.
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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#1209 Postby Iceresistance » Tue Nov 15, 2022 12:00 pm

TeamPlayersBlue wrote:Congrats on the snow! Competing with me on totals for the season. Although, they predicted a clear evening and sunny day, we woke up to 3" and still coming down. Not complaining!


Was showing a warm up during Turkey week for the longest, but it appears the pattern may continue to be stormy for the southern plains. Long range MJO wants to swing back towards 7, which is a good setup.


Phase 5 is a bad phase for colder weather, but if the MJO completely dodges it somehow, we may not see near normal temperatures for a long while.
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#1210 Postby Iceresistance » Tue Nov 15, 2022 5:24 pm

Video on Yesterday's snow!

[youtube]https://youtu.be/Y2SnbBHqeoc[/youtube]
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#1211 Postby TropicalTundra » Tue Nov 15, 2022 6:21 pm

Metroplexers must be loving that 18z RGEM.

18z NAM also looks relatively good Saturday.
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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#1212 Postby gpsnowman » Tue Nov 15, 2022 6:30 pm

:spam:
TropicalTundra wrote:Metroplexers must be loving that 18z RGEM.

18z NAM also looks relatively good Saturday.

NBC5 Rick Mitchell on his 5 o'clock report showed the possibility of some flurries early Saturday morning. Could get interesting. Something to wake up early for.
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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#1213 Postby TropicalTundra » Wed Nov 16, 2022 9:33 am

Some snowbands out in West Texas this morning. Don't be alarmed if y'all get a snow flurry or two.
Last edited by TropicalTundra on Wed Nov 16, 2022 9:39 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#1214 Postby bubba hotep » Wed Nov 16, 2022 9:38 am

gpsnowman wrote::spam:
TropicalTundra wrote:Metroplexers must be loving that 18z RGEM.

18z NAM also looks relatively good Saturday.

NBC5 Rick Mitchell on his 5 o'clock report showed the possibility of some flurries early Saturday morning. Could get interesting. Something to wake up early for.


TPV pushing down into the Great Lakes and a Coastal Low (actually offshore) is not a good combo for getting moisture northward.
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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#1215 Postby Ralph's Weather » Wed Nov 16, 2022 9:53 am

bubba hotep wrote:
gpsnowman wrote::spam:
TropicalTundra wrote:Metroplexers must be loving that 18z RGEM.

18z NAM also looks relatively good Saturday.

NBC5 Rick Mitchell on his 5 o'clock report showed the possibility of some flurries early Saturday morning. Could get interesting. Something to wake up early for.


TPV pushing down into the Great Lakes and a Coastal Low (actually offshore) is not a good combo for getting moisture northward.

Agreed, I'm thinking moisture will be suppressed south. Maybe some mix for Central Texas. North Texas will likely be very cold and dry Sat morning. Possible first 10s for rural areas.
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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#1216 Postby wxman57 » Wed Nov 16, 2022 10:09 am

Time to head up north to make some improvements to my cold air wall...
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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#1217 Postby bubba hotep » Wed Nov 16, 2022 10:35 am

wxman57 wrote:Time to head up north to make some improvements to my cold air wall...


You been messing with the GEFS code?!

Image
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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#1218 Postby TeamPlayersBlue » Wed Nov 16, 2022 10:41 am

I'll give him 384 hr heat everyday of the week!
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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#1219 Postby Iceresistance » Wed Nov 16, 2022 10:47 am

bubba hotep wrote:
wxman57 wrote:Time to head up north to make some improvements to my cold air wall...


You been messing with the GEFS code?!

Image


There are some things I may never get, like this when the MJO is expected to be in Phase 7 at the same time, and when the AO, NAO, and PNA are all expected to be negative!
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#1220 Postby HockeyTx82 » Wed Nov 16, 2022 11:10 am

bubba hotep wrote:
wxman57 wrote:Time to head up north to make some improvements to my cold air wall...


You been messing with the GEFS code?!

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs-ens/2022111606/gfs-ens_T850aMean_namer_12.png


Would that not reload our Source Region for more cold air maybe around Christmas?

:froze:
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