Texas Fall 2022
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.
- Iceresistance
- Category 5
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Re: Texas Fall 2022
I may have more videos coming out from this event, at least four of them! Two are normal, and two are super-slow motion.
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Re: Texas Fall 2022
Iceresistance wrote:Cpv17 wrote:Brent wrote:34 and rain![]()
Well we'll get ours eventually I think
Bro you live in Tulsa, Oklahoma. It gets cold af there. You’ll get your snow lol
I live further south and I was colder than Tulsa for most of the day!
Trajectory of the deepest cold was further west of Tulsa. That’s why. But of course that’s not how it always works.
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Re: Texas Fall 2022
Well done with the Oklahomans with the early season snowfall. It can only go south from here on out I hope. I do believe that we will all get more chances in DJF. At least once per month. Thanksgiving looks normal but the rest of winter is remains to be seen. I like our chances.
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Re: Texas Fall 2022
Seems like I got lucky and right timing because the other side of the city had no snow at all. That was impressive for a minute for sure with those big flakes though. I was expecting more of a random flake mixed in tbh
which was how it started but as I kept driving south it was getting more and more interesting. No accumulation at my apartment when I got home an hour later
The dry fluffy stuff just can't compare to some good ole fat flakes

The dry fluffy stuff just can't compare to some good ole fat flakes
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#neversummer
Re: Texas Fall 2022
Got a nice 0.5" yesterday. Looks to be dry for the next week with nice cool fall weather - highs in the low 50's and lows in the low 30's.
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- Iceresistance
- Category 5
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- Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK
Re: Texas Fall 2022
I got this picture from 2:48 PM Yesterday, look at the size of those snowflakes!

https://s4.gifyu.com/images/IMG_72291daa45e0b263fc15.jpg

https://s4.gifyu.com/images/IMG_72291daa45e0b263fc15.jpg
7 likes
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
- TeamPlayersBlue
- Category 5
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- Joined: Tue Feb 02, 2010 1:44 am
- Location: Denver/Applewood, CO
Re: Texas Fall 2022
Congrats on the snow! Competing with me on totals for the season. Although, they predicted a clear evening and sunny day, we woke up to 3" and still coming down. Not complaining!
Was showing a warm up during Turkey week for the longest, but it appears the pattern may continue to be stormy for the southern plains. Long range MJO wants to swing back towards 7, which is a good setup.
Was showing a warm up during Turkey week for the longest, but it appears the pattern may continue to be stormy for the southern plains. Long range MJO wants to swing back towards 7, which is a good setup.
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
- Iceresistance
- Category 5
- Posts: 9288
- Age: 21
- Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
- Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK
Re: Texas Fall 2022
TeamPlayersBlue wrote:Congrats on the snow! Competing with me on totals for the season. Although, they predicted a clear evening and sunny day, we woke up to 3" and still coming down. Not complaining!
Was showing a warm up during Turkey week for the longest, but it appears the pattern may continue to be stormy for the southern plains. Long range MJO wants to swing back towards 7, which is a good setup.
Phase 5 is a bad phase for colder weather, but if the MJO completely dodges it somehow, we may not see near normal temperatures for a long while.
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
- Iceresistance
- Category 5
- Posts: 9288
- Age: 21
- Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
- Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK
Re: Texas Fall 2022
Video on Yesterday's snow!
[youtube]https://youtu.be/Y2SnbBHqeoc[/youtube]
[youtube]https://youtu.be/Y2SnbBHqeoc[/youtube]
3 likes
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
- TropicalTundra
- S2K Supporter
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- Joined: Wed Oct 16, 2019 12:56 pm
- Location: Temple, Texas
Re: Texas Fall 2022
Metroplexers must be loving that 18z RGEM.
18z NAM also looks relatively good Saturday.
18z NAM also looks relatively good Saturday.
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Summer's for hibernation, Winter’s my vacation
Don't use my posts as forecast, I'm a complete meteorology noob! I just like cold weather, alright?
All observations I post are for Temple, Texas unless otherwise stated.
Don't use my posts as forecast, I'm a complete meteorology noob! I just like cold weather, alright?
All observations I post are for Temple, Texas unless otherwise stated.
Re: Texas Fall 2022

TropicalTundra wrote:Metroplexers must be loving that 18z RGEM.
18z NAM also looks relatively good Saturday.
NBC5 Rick Mitchell on his 5 o'clock report showed the possibility of some flurries early Saturday morning. Could get interesting. Something to wake up early for.
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- TropicalTundra
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Re: Texas Fall 2022
Some snowbands out in West Texas this morning. Don't be alarmed if y'all get a snow flurry or two.
Last edited by TropicalTundra on Wed Nov 16, 2022 9:39 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Summer's for hibernation, Winter’s my vacation
Don't use my posts as forecast, I'm a complete meteorology noob! I just like cold weather, alright?
All observations I post are for Temple, Texas unless otherwise stated.
Don't use my posts as forecast, I'm a complete meteorology noob! I just like cold weather, alright?
All observations I post are for Temple, Texas unless otherwise stated.
- bubba hotep
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- Location: Collin County Texas
Re: Texas Fall 2022
gpsnowman wrote::spam:TropicalTundra wrote:Metroplexers must be loving that 18z RGEM.
18z NAM also looks relatively good Saturday.
NBC5 Rick Mitchell on his 5 o'clock report showed the possibility of some flurries early Saturday morning. Could get interesting. Something to wake up early for.
TPV pushing down into the Great Lakes and a Coastal Low (actually offshore) is not a good combo for getting moisture northward.
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.
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Re: Texas Fall 2022
bubba hotep wrote:gpsnowman wrote::spam:TropicalTundra wrote:Metroplexers must be loving that 18z RGEM.
18z NAM also looks relatively good Saturday.
NBC5 Rick Mitchell on his 5 o'clock report showed the possibility of some flurries early Saturday morning. Could get interesting. Something to wake up early for.
TPV pushing down into the Great Lakes and a Coastal Low (actually offshore) is not a good combo for getting moisture northward.
Agreed, I'm thinking moisture will be suppressed south. Maybe some mix for Central Texas. North Texas will likely be very cold and dry Sat morning. Possible first 10s for rural areas.
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- bubba hotep
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Re: Texas Fall 2022
wxman57 wrote:Time to head up north to make some improvements to my cold air wall...
You been messing with the GEFS code?!

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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.
- TeamPlayersBlue
- Category 5
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- Location: Denver/Applewood, CO
Re: Texas Fall 2022
I'll give him 384 hr heat everyday of the week!
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
- Iceresistance
- Category 5
- Posts: 9288
- Age: 21
- Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
- Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK
Re: Texas Fall 2022
bubba hotep wrote:wxman57 wrote:Time to head up north to make some improvements to my cold air wall...
You been messing with the GEFS code?!
There are some things I may never get, like this when the MJO is expected to be in Phase 7 at the same time, and when the AO, NAO, and PNA are all expected to be negative!
2 likes
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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- S2K Supporter
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- Joined: Tue Oct 27, 2009 11:17 am
- Location: Ponder, TX
Re: Texas Fall 2022
bubba hotep wrote:wxman57 wrote:Time to head up north to make some improvements to my cold air wall...
You been messing with the GEFS code?!
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs-ens/2022111606/gfs-ens_T850aMean_namer_12.png
Would that not reload our Source Region for more cold air maybe around Christmas?

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Don't hold me accountable for anything I post on this forum. Leave the real forecasting up to the professionals.
Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)
Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)
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