ATL: NICOLE - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[jonj2040]

It seems she's head right for me now (sebastian) on radar it looks like a NW B-line for Indian River/ south Brevard.
It's been quite gusty, and quite a but of lightning.

[PavelGaborik10]

Western edge of the "eye" moving onshore Jensen Beach right now.

[MetroMike]

Its strange that all the lightning now seems around 140 miles off shore north end of storm.

[SouthernBreeze]

000
WTNT62 KNHC 100456
TCUAT2

Hurricane Nicole Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172022
1200 AM EST Thu Nov 10 2022

...12 AM EST POSITION UPDATE OF NICOLE...
...NICOLE BRINGING STRONG WINDS, A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE, AND HEAVY
RAINS AS IT APPROACHES THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA...

A weather station at Sebastian Inlet, Florida, recently reported a
sustained wind of 48 mph (77 km/h) with a wind gust of 66 mph (106
km/h). A WeatherSTEM station near Stuart Beach, Florida, recently
reported a sustained wind of 47 mph (76 km/h) with a wind gust of
62 mph (100 km/h).

SUMMARY OF 1200 AM EST...0500 UTC...INFORMATION
---------------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.1N 79.6W
ABOUT 50 MI...80 KM ESE OF FORT PIERCE FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...980 MB...28.94 INCHES

[PavelGaborik10]

Would have expected stronger gusts thus far than what is being reported.

Still plenty of time though

[NDG]

Saved 3.5 hr radar loop while I took a nap, rain and wind woke me up.
About 2 hrs or so from making landfall near or just north of Port St Lucie.

[LarryWx]

Per the NHC coordinates the last couple of hours, this has moved only a little north of due west. In order for it to move more in line with the more northerly landfalling models, it would need to turn to a NW heading almost immediately.

Edit: That radar loop that NDG just posted suggests that now be happening.

[StormingB81]

70mph wind gust reported in Indialanic in Brevard County

[Hurricane Mike]

Unless it's a trick of the eyes, I see a more northwest wobble the last hour.

[NDG]

Lots of heavy rains coming for Brevard, Orange, Seminole Counties, not good for the St John's river basin, could flood once again surrounding neighborhoods.

[NDG]

Station right on the beach in Daytona Beach reporting wind gusting to 67 mph.

Nov 9, 11:20 pm 75 72 92 NE 44G67 1006.08

[NDG]

Lots of possible tornadic cells will be moving onshore over Brevard County during the next few hours, elevated velocity winds of 90+ mph winds on radar.

[sikkar]

A blizzard in the north and a hurricane in the south.

[NDG]

Looks like it will be making landfall just north of Ft Pierce.

[tolakram]

[NDG]

Winds gusting to 61 mph in Cocoa Beach.

Nov 10, 1:10 am 75 73 94 NNE 53G61

[NDG]

An elevated tower station in Cape Canaveral now reporting wind gusting to hurricane force winds.

Nov 10, 1:20 am 77 72 84 NE 58G75

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries? ... &hours=168

[NDG]

Northern eyewall is where the heaviest winds are, areas on the westward eyewall winds are not strong at all, Ft Pierce only gusting in the 30-40 mph range from the NNW telling me it will make landfall closer to Vero Beach.

[NDG]

Center east of Ft Pierce, definitely will be making landfall closer to Vero Beach if not closer to Sebastian Inlet.

[Jr0d]

Gust of 61mph recorded at Patrick Air Force station, just south of Cocoa Beach.

As wxman57 said, highly unlikely we will record sustained hurricane conditions on land.

I do think we will see significantly higher gusts