ATL: NICOLE - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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Patrick99
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Re: ATL: NICOLE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#641 Postby Patrick99 » Tue Nov 08, 2022 12:29 pm

Category5Kaiju wrote:Nicole clearly diving WSW at this point


Looks almost SSW to me, but sometimes my eyes deceive me with these things. Either way, this is the interesting part, I think.

Still doesn't look that great on IR to me, but then again I said that about Ian 24 hours before it started doing better lol
Last edited by Patrick99 on Tue Nov 08, 2022 12:32 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: NICOLE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#642 Postby tropicwatch » Tue Nov 08, 2022 12:29 pm



At this rate it might make it to the southern portion of the forecast cone.
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Re: ATL: NICOLE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#643 Postby HeatherAKC » Tue Nov 08, 2022 12:33 pm

Just as an aside:

Some bridges in Miami Dade were locked down this AM.

https://www.local10.com/news/local/2022 ... -of-storm/



UM went remote for Wednesday.

https://news.miami.edu/stories/2022/11/ ... isory.html



A little...odd, to me.
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Re: ATL: NICOLE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#644 Postby Patrick99 » Tue Nov 08, 2022 12:36 pm

HeatherAKC wrote:Just as an aside:

Some bridges in Miami Dade were locked down this AM.

https://www.local10.com/news/local/2022 ... -of-storm/


Wow - and Miami traffic heaved a massive sigh of relief! Those river drawbridge openings cripple the traffic of the entire city of Miami for 15 minutes at a time.
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Re: ATL: NICOLE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#645 Postby cycloneye » Tue Nov 08, 2022 12:36 pm

Good advice.

 https://twitter.com/DrRickKnabb/status/1590034234214850561


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Re: ATL: NICOLE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#646 Postby Coolcruiseman » Tue Nov 08, 2022 12:40 pm



The only remaining question being what category those winds will be. Could this be a situation where RI suddenly occurs?
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Re: ATL: NICOLE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#647 Postby ObsessedMiami » Tue Nov 08, 2022 12:41 pm

HeatherAKC wrote:Just as an aside:

Some bridges in Miami Dade were locked down this AM.

https://www.local10.com/news/local/2022 ... -of-storm/



UM went remote for Wednesday.

https://news.miami.edu/stories/2022/11/ ... isory.html



A little...odd, to me.


My local Kendall point forecast had "Tropical Storm Conditions possible" for Wednesday night then it disappeared this morning. It is back again now.
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Re: ATL: NICOLE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#648 Postby cycloneye » Tue Nov 08, 2022 12:55 pm

60 mph.

SUMMARY OF 100 PM EST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.6N 73.3W
ABOUT 310 MI...500 KM NE OF THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS
ABOUT 420 MI...680 KM E OF WEST PALM BEACH FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.29 INCHES
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Re: ATL: NICOLE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#649 Postby weeniepatrol » Tue Nov 08, 2022 12:58 pm

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Re: ATL: NICOLE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#650 Postby Category5Kaiju » Tue Nov 08, 2022 12:58 pm

cycloneye wrote:60 mph.

SUMMARY OF 100 PM EST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.6N 73.3W
ABOUT 310 MI...500 KM NE OF THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS
ABOUT 420 MI...680 KM E OF WEST PALM BEACH FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.29 INCHES


:eek:

So a hurricane forming by midnight tomorrow (EST) is not out of question? From what I can recall Nicole was not projected to become 60 mph until much later tonight
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Re: ATL: NICOLE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#651 Postby AutoPenalti » Tue Nov 08, 2022 1:15 pm

Just saw on CBS that Broward is in the clear and that Hurricane watches may be lifted by tonight...

That's really bad reporting.
Last edited by AutoPenalti on Tue Nov 08, 2022 1:15 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: NICOLE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#652 Postby Coolcruiseman » Tue Nov 08, 2022 1:15 pm

Category5Kaiju wrote:
cycloneye wrote:60 mph.

SUMMARY OF 100 PM EST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.6N 73.3W
ABOUT 310 MI...500 KM NE OF THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS
ABOUT 420 MI...680 KM E OF WEST PALM BEACH FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.29 INCHES


:eek:

So a hurricane forming by midnight tomorrow (EST) is not out of question? From what I can recall Nicole was not projected to become 60 mph until much later tonight


The 60 mph was forecast by 10 pm tonight. Could it not be out the question that we have Hurricane Nicole tonight?
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Re: ATL: NICOLE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#653 Postby Michele B » Tue Nov 08, 2022 1:16 pm

AutoPenalti wrote:Just saw on CBS that Broward is in the clear and that Hurricane watches may be lifted by tonight...

That's really bad reporting.


WHY do they always do that?!?!
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Re: ATL: NICOLE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#654 Postby N2FSU » Tue Nov 08, 2022 1:22 pm

Image

Am I imagining things? When this is looped it almost looks like hints of "the fist" appearing.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
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Re: ATL: NICOLE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#655 Postby cheezyWXguy » Tue Nov 08, 2022 1:25 pm

N2FSU wrote:https://uploads.tapatalk-cdn.com/20221108/e5854651fbe27a14b872c2a2e3c28d3f.jpg

Am I imagining things? When this is looped it almost looks like hints of "the fist" appearing.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

No you’re right that it’s definitely wrapping up, but convection is quite shallow at the moment with the dry air around. The structure is coming together but it’ll need a good convective burst or two near the center to get to hurricane status. Could happen tonight
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Re: ATL: NICOLE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#656 Postby chris_fit » Tue Nov 08, 2022 1:26 pm

N2FSU wrote:[url]https://uploads.tapatalk-cdn.com/20221108/e5854651fbe27a14b872c2a2e3c28d3f.jpg/url]

Am I imagining things? When this is looped it almost looks like hints of "the fist" appearing.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk


Heh - Here's what I see...

Image
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Re: ATL: NICOLE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#657 Postby GCANE » Tue Nov 08, 2022 1:36 pm

Warm core heating up.
Boundary layer just about to go cold.
Big improvement from this morning.

https://rammb-data.cira.colostate.edu/t ... 5_tano.gif
https://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/ ... _xsect.gif
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Re: ATL: NICOLE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#658 Postby Nuno » Tue Nov 08, 2022 1:39 pm

AutoPenalti wrote:Just saw on CBS that Broward is in the clear and that Hurricane watches may be lifted by tonight...

That's really bad reporting.


This thing is diving way further south way sooner. Why would anyone make such a decision? Is this a local govt call?
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Re: ATL: NICOLE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#659 Postby eastcoastFL » Tue Nov 08, 2022 1:40 pm

AutoPenalti wrote:Just saw on CBS that Broward is in the clear and that Hurricane watches may be lifted by tonight...

That's really bad reporting.

Sounds pretty irresponsible but I guess they're going with the idea that most of the weather will be north of the storm.
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Re: ATL: NICOLE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#660 Postby cycloneye » Tue Nov 08, 2022 1:44 pm

 https://twitter.com/BMcNoldy/status/1590051850761699328


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