ATL: NICOLE - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[GCANE]

Looks like a tower maybe going up close to where the swirl may be

[Blown Away]

Looks like a tower maybe going up close to where the swirl may be

Can you give lat/longs?

[ElectricStorm]

Not a fan of some models showing this taking a WSW/SW track after making that W turn. Those types of tracks seem to be pretty favorable for intensification.

I'm not really sure what to expect with this since it's so unusual for November but I can certainly see a hurricane out of this, potentially a significant one. I hope everyone is preparing

[cycloneye]

7 PM TWO:

Southwestern Atlantic:
An area of low pressure located more than 300 miles north of Puerto
Rico is producing a large area of disorganized showers and
thunderstorms. This system is forecast to move generally
northwestward over the southwestern Atlantic where environmental
conditions appear conducive for additional development, and a
subtropical or tropical storm is likely to form in the next day or
so. The system is then forecast to turn westward or
west-southwestward over the southwestern Atlantic by the middle
part of this week where additional development is possible.

1. Regardless of development, there is an increasing risk of coastal
flooding, tropical-storm-force winds, heavy rainfall, rough surf,
and beach erosion along much of the southeastern United States
coast, the Florida east coast, and portions of the central and
northwestern Bahamas beginning in the early to middle part of this
week. Interests in those areas should continue to monitor the
progress of this system as tropical storm, hurricane, and storm
surge watches could be required for a portion of these areas by
early Monday. Additional information on this system, including
gale warnings, can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the
National Weather Service and in products from your local weather
office.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

[canebeard]

Wherever it ends up, remember that Tuesday is voting day - how will the media & public handle this if preparations need to start?

By this late every season, most of the media usually pay only passing attention to a cat 1 or even two hurricane. They are mostly hyped-out from several months of overhyping most tropical systaems That's show biz!

[Category5Kaiju]

Not a fan of some models showing this taking a WSW/SW track after making that W turn. Those types of tracks seem to be pretty favorable for intensification.

I'm not really sure what to expect with this since it's so unusual for November but I can certainly see a hurricane out of this, potentially a significant one. I hope everyone is preparing

It's also important to note that the area that this system is headed in has basically been untouched, pretty much since Alex in June. I think this system, whatever it becomes, is going to have a lot of fuel to work with.

I also agree, this is extremely unusual for a November system, and I simply am unsure if this is going to be a storm that can be reliably compared to past storms. I personally have a feeling we're in some uncharted territories here.

[chaser1]

Well, at least for now - 98L has the appearance of a Tropical Boomerang. My guess is that this will be designated a PTC as early as 11:00 pm tonight. That would provide NHC the 48 Hr. window for T.S. Watches for some of the Bahamas

[ScottNAtlanta]

One thing for sure is that after late season storms like this there is almost always going to be a real cold shot of air behind it.

[emeraldislenc]

Yes this coming week end lows in the 64 or 65 in Fort Lauderdale!

[HURRICANELONNY]

I wish but nothing forecast. That's why it going west. High pressure. No real front that usually kicks it out.

[HURRICANELONNY]

I wish but nothing forecast. That's why it going west. High pressure. No real front that usually kicks it out.

[HURRICANELONNY]

By the way. What will be name this tropical system. Martin or Nicole. I'm not up to date on names

[Hypercane_Kyle]

By the way. What will be name this tropical system. Martin or Nicole. I'm not up to date on names

Nicole, unless 97L manages a comeback, in which case it'll be Owen.

[SFLcane]

What’s the hold up for PTC advisory? Nobody is preparing here in Palm Beach.

[Nimbus]

Looks like this will be stacked by 10AM EST tomorrow at 24.5N 70W

Could be north of that for the warm core center, it is still gaining latitude.
Cold core ULL is just north of Hispaniola and hasn't swung the low level energy NW yet.

There is a trough that turns the storm north late in the current forecasts. Longer slower track might even start to recurve before landfall.

[CFLHurricane]

What’s the hold up for PTC advisory? Nobody is preparing here in Palm Beach.

I read some snowbirds were flocking to Publix, but this is nothing natives & naturalized Floridians can’t handle.

[jlauderdal]

What’s the hold up for PTC advisory? Nobody is preparing here in Palm Beach.

I read some snowbirds were flocking to Publix, but this is nothing natives & naturalized Floridians can’t handle.

We have supplies from IAN preps

[Nuno]

This really should be classified tonight. I dont get what the hold up is.

[blp]

30ft waves + King Tides

 https://twitter.com/pppapin/status/1589412164301131776

[HURRICANELONNY]

I think this more of coastal problem. King tide, full moon can cause flooding and beach erosion more then anything else. Like a noreaster.