Texas Fall 2022

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Texas Snowman
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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#901 Postby Texas Snowman » Fri Nov 04, 2022 5:43 pm

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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#902 Postby bubba hotep » Fri Nov 04, 2022 5:43 pm

Ntxw wrote:
bubba hotep wrote:Another stout cell is going to pass over the airport. Might hit 2.5-3" range today.


Should be ~3" when done. Easily beat the daily record of 1.77", the airport has been in a sweet spot today.


DFW was 4" below normal for the year going into today and is now over 3" for the day. Crazy to think that we will be about 1" short for the year after today!
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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#903 Postby bubba hotep » Fri Nov 04, 2022 5:45 pm



LCLs are so low today that that looks like a Dixie Alley tornado.
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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#904 Postby Texas Snowman » Fri Nov 04, 2022 5:56 pm

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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#905 Postby Iceresistance » Fri Nov 04, 2022 5:57 pm

How close are you going get to this thing? (Near Greenview, TX)

 https://twitter.com/WxNB_/status/1588665570219945984


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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#906 Postby Texas Snowman » Fri Nov 04, 2022 6:04 pm

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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#907 Postby dpep4 » Fri Nov 04, 2022 6:18 pm

Using Google Maps Traffic, it looks like the Powderly tornado was on the ground at least 18 miles from US82 north of Brookston. Look at 1510 a couple of miles to the northeast of Brookston, then 2820 and FM 79 west and north of Hopewell, FM 1499 two miles further northeast, and 906 north of Powderly. Reports of homes destroyed in Hopewell along with Powderly.

 https://twitter.com/KXIITV/status/1588667954551570433


Last edited by dpep4 on Fri Nov 04, 2022 6:23 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#908 Postby Iceresistance » Fri Nov 04, 2022 6:22 pm

Nasty Radar-confirmed tornado near Clarksville, TX
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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#909 Postby Ntxw » Fri Nov 04, 2022 6:29 pm

Rough evening for E TX. Kudos to the outbreak forecast for this region.
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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#910 Postby ElectricStorm » Fri Nov 04, 2022 6:32 pm

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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#911 Postby Iceresistance » Fri Nov 04, 2022 6:37 pm

ElectricStorm wrote:Looks like another wedge
https://twitter.com/MesoMax919/status/1588674513386229760

Now a PDS Tornado Warning for Idabel, OK, could be upgraded to an Tornado Emergency if it's like Max Olson saw.
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#912 Postby Iceresistance » Fri Nov 04, 2022 6:39 pm

PDS TORNADO WARNING FOR HEAVENER! TORNADO ON THE GROUND NEAR HEAVENER!
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#913 Postby Iceresistance » Fri Nov 04, 2022 6:47 pm

TORNADO EMERGENCY FOR IDABEL, OK!

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
646 PM CDT Fri Nov 4 2022

OKC089-TXC387-050015-
/O.CON.KSHV.TO.W.0059.000000T0000Z-221105T0015Z/
McCurtain OK-Red River TX-
646 PM CDT Fri Nov 4 2022

...TORNADO EMERGENCY FOR IDABEL AND SW MCCURTAIN CO...

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 715 PM CDT FOR SOUTHERN
MCCURTAIN AND NORTHEASTERN RED RIVER COUNTIES...

At 644 PM CDT, a confirmed large and destructive tornado was located
9 miles southwest of Idabel, or 14 miles northeast of Clarksville,
moving northeast at 45 mph.

TORNADO EMERGENCY for IDABEL. This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS
SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!

HAZARD...Deadly tornado.

SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may
be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes
will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes,
businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction
is possible.

The tornado will be near...
Idabel around 655 PM CDT.
Broken Bow around 715 PM CDT.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include
Eagletown, Farmers Hill, Cerrogordo, Harris, Goodwater, Shinewell,
Silver City, Haworth, Holly Creek and Garvin.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a large, extremely dangerous, and potentially deadly
tornado is on the ground. To protect your life, TAKE COVER NOW! Move
to an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid
windows. If in a mobile home, a vehicle or outdoors, move to the
closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris.

Heavy rainfall may hide this tornado. Do not wait to see or hear the
tornado. TAKE COVER NOW!

&&

LAT...LON 3398 9447 3390 9448 3365 9481 3385 9510
3419 9474
TIME...MOT...LOC 2344Z 224DEG 40KT 3381 9495

TORNADO...OBSERVED
TORNADO DAMAGE THREAT...CATASTROPHIC
MAX HAIL SIZE...2.00 IN
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#914 Postby Iceresistance » Fri Nov 04, 2022 6:52 pm

PDS Tornado Warning near Daingerfield, TX!
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Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#915 Postby bubba hotep » Fri Nov 04, 2022 7:02 pm

Some of the damage vids and photos popping up are indicative of large violent tornados. Just horrible to see. Hopefully, the front catches up to this mess soon and lines it all out.
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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#916 Postby Iceresistance » Fri Nov 04, 2022 7:11 pm

Lots of Tornado Damage in NE Texas, SE Oklahoma, and Eastern Arkansas.
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#917 Postby ElectricStorm » Fri Nov 04, 2022 7:29 pm

Wow that is a massive debris ball near Boston, TX. The cell behind it looks like it might produce a big one too
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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#918 Postby Iceresistance » Fri Nov 04, 2022 7:30 pm

ElectricStorm wrote:Wow that is a massive debris ball near Boston, TX. The cell behind it looks like it might produce a big one too


It's now a tornado emergency!
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#919 Postby Texas Snowman » Fri Nov 04, 2022 7:36 pm

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
729 PM CDT Fri Nov 4 2022

ARC081-TXC037-050100-
/O.CON.KSHV.TO.W.0064.000000T0000Z-221105T0100Z/
Little River AR-Bowie TX-
729 PM CDT Fri Nov 4 2022

...TORNADO EMERGENCY FOR NEW BOSTON IN CENTRAL BOWIE CO...

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT FOR LITTLE
RIVER AND CENTRAL BOWIE COUNTIES...

At 727 PM CDT, a confirmed large and destructive tornado was located
near New Boston, moving northeast at 50 mph.

TORNADO EMERGENCY for NEW BOSTON. This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS
SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!

HAZARD...Deadly tornado.

SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may
be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes
will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes,
businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction
is possible.

The tornado will be near...
Hooks around 740 PM CDT.
Foreman and Richmond around 750 PM CDT.
Ashdown and Wilton around 800 PM CDT.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include
Wallace, Pine Prairie, Arden, Red Bank, Millwood and Leary.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a large, extremely dangerous, and potentially deadly
tornado is on the ground. To protect your life, TAKE COVER NOW! Move
to an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid
windows. If in a mobile home, a vehicle or outdoors, move to the
closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris.
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The above post and any post by Texas Snowman is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#920 Postby South Texas Storms » Fri Nov 04, 2022 7:40 pm

Ntxw wrote:
bubba hotep wrote:Another stout cell is going to pass over the airport. Might hit 2.5-3" range today.


Should be ~3" when done. Easily beat the daily record of 1.77", the airport has been in a sweet spot today.


Must be nice. Meanwhile another miss for SA today. Still below 10 inches for the year at the airport. Pretty unbelievable.
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