#16 Postby LarryWx » Wed Nov 02, 2022 12:09 pm
1. This could have a significant effect on the SE US coast (especially FL) as early as Election Day (11/8), especially late that day. If so, this could be a factor as regards turnout and thus could affect the outcome in some races in the SE US.
2. The 12Z UKMET is the first run of this model with a TC noted from this with it having transformation into a TC near Cat Island in the Bahamas at 144:
NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 144 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+144 : 24.4N 75.7W
LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 08.11.2022 144 24.4N 75.7W 1006 30
3. The 0Z CFS has this landfall in NE FL on 11/10 at storm strength (1001 mb) moving NW.
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