ABPW10 PGTW 240130
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/240130Z-240600ZSEP2022//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/231952ZSEP2022//
REF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/231951ZSEP2022//
NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
(1) AT 23SEP22 1800Z, TROPICAL STORM 18W (NORU) WAS LOCATED
NEAR 17.2N 129.3E, APPROXIMATELY 504 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF MANILA,
PHILIPPINES, AND HAD TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45
KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 232100) FOR FURTHER
DETAILS.
(2) AT 23SEP22 1800Z, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17W (TALAS) WAS
LOCATED NEAR 32.9N 137.2E, APPROXIMATELY 190 NM SOUTHWEST OF
YOKOSUKA, JAPAN, AND HAD TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT
25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN31 PGTW 232100) FOR
FURTHER DETAILS.
(3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 12.8N
147.7E, APPROXIMATELY 180 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. ANIMATED
ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 232111Z SSMIS 91GHZ
MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICT AN AREA OF DISORGANIZED, FLARING CONVECTION
WITH A BROAD, POORLY ORGANIZED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. INVEST 96W IS
EMBEDDED WITHIN THE EASTERN PERIPHERY OF THE MONSOON TROUGH, WHICH
HAS MAINTAINED EXTENSIVE CONVERGENT WESTERLIES AND SOUTHERLIES ALONG
THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN PERIPHERIES. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS
MARGINALLY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT AS CHARACTERIZED BY
WARM (29-30C) SST, LOW (10-15KT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND STRONG
EQUATORWARD AND POLEWARD OUTFLOW. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN RELATIVELY
GOOD AGREEMENT THAT OVERALL CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT
WITHIN 36-48 HOURS AS THE LOW TRACKS NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD WHILE
QUICKLY INTENSIFYING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED
AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR
1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL
CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED LOW AREA IN PARA. 1.B.(1).//
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