...SPECIAL FEATURES...
A broad 1007 mb low pressure located several hundred nautical
miles east of the Lesser Antilles, near 15N50W, is along a
tropical wave, moving W at around 5 kt. This area is producing a
large area of scattered moderate and isolates strong convection
from 08N to 18N between 47W and 55W. Fresh to strong winds are
noted in the northern and eastern quadrants. Seas are peaking
near 10 ft north of the low. Although environmental conditions
are only marginally conducive, additional gradual development of
this system is expected and a tropical depression is likely to
form within the next couple of days. The disturbance is forecast
to move slowly toward the west-northwest, toward the adjacent
waters of the northern Leeward Islands. This feature has a medium
chance of tropical cyclone formation through 48 hours, and a high
chance of development in the next 5 days. Please read the latest
Tropical Weather Outlook issued by the National Hurricane Center
at
www.hurricanes.gov and the latest High Seas Forecast issued by
the National Hurricane Center at
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for additional
information.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 19W/20W,
south of 19N, moving W at 5 kt. Scattered moderate and isolated
strong convection is present from 10N to 20N and E of 24W. Some
gradual development is possible, and the system could become a
short-lived tropical depression over the far eastern Atlantic
during the next couple of days. By late this week, environmental
conditions are forecast to become increasingly unfavorable for
further development. Regardless, the system could bring locally
heavy rainfall to portions of the Cabo Verde Islands through
Thursday. This feature has a low chance of tropical cyclone
development through 48 hours, and a medium chance of development
in the next 5 days. Please read the latest Tropical Weather
Outlook issued by the National Hurricane Center at
www.hurricanes.gov for additional information.
A western Caribbean tropical wave has its axis near 84W, south of
22N, moving W at 15 kt. Limited convection is near the wave.
A southern Gulf of Mexico tropical wave has its axis near 92W,
south of 21N, across SE Mexico, and into the eastern Pacific
Ocean, moving W at 15 kt. Scattered moderate and isolated strong
convection is noted over the SW Gulf and across southern Mexico