#385 Postby Iceresistance » Fri Sep 02, 2022 2:01 pm
Now up to 60/70
1. East of the Leeward Islands:
An area of low pressure located a few hundred miles east of the
Leeward Islands continues to produce disorganized showers and
thunderstorms, mainly over the eastern portion of the circulation.
Environmental conditions remain only marginally conducive, but any
additional development of the system over the next few days would
lead to the formation of a tropical depression. The disturbance is
expected to move slowly west-northwestward, toward the adjacent
waters of the northern Leeward Islands. Regardless of development,
locally heavy rains may occur over portions of the Leeward Islands
during the next couple of days, and interests in that area should
monitor the progress of the system. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane
Hunter aircraft is currently investigating the system. Additional
information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts
issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021 
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say
Never with weather! Because
ANYTHING is possible!
Over the last 48 hours it had good chances but could never sustain. Harshest conditions ahead of it so they may delay.
)
