#422 Postby LarryWx » Fri Sep 02, 2022 12:28 pm
Kingarabian wrote:LarryWx wrote:Kingarabian wrote:12z UKMET continues to be the most west/south west compared to model guidance.
NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 132 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+132 : 22.5N 71.7W
LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 07.09.2022 132 22.5N 71.7W 1011 21
0000UTC 08.09.2022 144 22.4N 72.7W 1009 21
That's the old run (0Z).
Yup my bad.
21.7N 74.9W hour 144 on the 12z UKMET. Appears to be further SW.
The 12Z 132 hour UKMET position is 100 miles SW of the 0Z 144 and is moving slowly due west as opposed to moving NW. Of course, with it once again being a SW outlier by several hundred miles again, it could easily be off obviously.
Last edited by
LarryWx on Fri Sep 02, 2022 12:39 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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