skyline385 wrote:Still not looking very convincing for peak climo imo
https://i.imgur.com/64U6Lmz.png
https://i.imgur.com/OnhXaj9.png
You have two lows in the basin, seems convincing to me. Too many lows and we can throw the run out.
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skyline385 wrote:Still not looking very convincing for peak climo imo
https://i.imgur.com/64U6Lmz.png
https://i.imgur.com/OnhXaj9.png
SFLcane wrote:https://i.postimg.cc/76kPpjB8/gefs.gif
toad strangler wrote:SFLcane wrote:https://i.postimg.cc/76kPpjB8/gefs.gif
Like popcorn at the movies. 5 days til DING DING DING!
DorkyMcDorkface wrote:That's three separate areas the EPS is latching on to (the stuff off the mid-Atlantic coast is non-tropical):
https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/733552978572869632/1008823653946892288/unknown.png
Again in the short/medium term the BoC/western Gulf signal is the one I am intrigued by the most at the moment. EPS members have the window for cyclogenesis in 4-5 days. If model support continues into this evening perhaps a crayon is warranted for tomorrow morning. We'll see.
https://i.ibb.co/0c9CWvw/54624340.gif
jaguars_22 wrote:All models show the bay of Campeche system possibly not making it out into the western gulf and straight to Mexico! It would have to gain a lot of a north component in order to give us in Texas a worry!!!
LarryWx wrote:
The slightly odd thing is that the Euro operational isn't doing anything with this earlier wave that the EPS has members from threatening the Caribbean/CONUS.
Also, the 12Z GEFS has some members from this same wave that threaten the W basin.
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