https://ftp.nhc.noaa.gov/atcf/btk
EPAC: BONNIE - Post-Tropical - Discussion
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EPAC: BONNIE - Post-Tropical - Discussion
AL, 94, 2022062318, , BEST, 0, 70N, 233W, 15, 1012, DB, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1014, 200, 50, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 009,
https://ftp.nhc.noaa.gov/atcf/btk
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Discussion
Oh boy, this could be a long thread if those model runs are right.
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- ElectricStorm
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Discussion
Definitely an interesting wave for June. Probably will see Bonnie out of this but I think it's too early to see something crazy. Not a great sign of things to come though if the waves are already this good.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Discussion
I'm too old for this. I have one more season in me, that's it.
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- weeniepatrol
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Discussion
SoupBone wrote:I'm too old for this. I have one more season in me, that's it.
Lol just thinking the same thing one more run….
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Discussion
Wow, went from an AOI to an invest in less than 24 hours.
This might be another early, strong MDR Bonnie. Or an Elsa repeat. I’m skeptical that it’ll go nuts.
Edit: just saw that SHIPS output
This might be another early, strong MDR Bonnie. Or an Elsa repeat. I’m skeptical that it’ll go nuts.
Edit: just saw that SHIPS output
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- Category5Kaiju
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Discussion
Well that was fast...
This is going to be an interesting thread imho.
This is going to be an interesting thread imho.
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- skyline385
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Discussion
aspen wrote:Wow, went from an AOI to an invest in less than 24 hours.
This might be another early, strong MDR Bonnie. Or an Elsa repeat. I’m skeptical that it’ll go nuts.
Edit: just saw that SHIPS output
Where did you see the SHIPS output, not seeing it on the sites I typically use.
EDIT: Found it at https://ftp.nhc.noaa.gov/atcf/stext/220 ... _ships.txt
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- cycloneye
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Discussion
Note: There is the 94L model thread to post all the model runs including SHIP.
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- weeniepatrol
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Discussion
aspen wrote:
Edit: just saw that SHIPS output
It's jaw-dropping for JUNE
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Discussion
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Discussion
I would love for it come into the into TX/LA as a weak storm/depression so we can get some rain where places need it. It hasn't rained in most places in Arkansas in a month. Unfortunately is it does come into the Gulf coast it will probably not be weak with how warm the Gulf is right now.
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- skyline385
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Re: RE: Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Discussion
weeniepatrol wrote:aspen wrote:
Edit: just saw that SHIPS output
It's jaw-dropping for JUNE
It has everything - low shear, 28C SSTs and decent moisture
Last edited by skyline385 on Thu Jun 23, 2022 8:32 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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- weeniepatrol
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Re: RE: Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Discussion
skyline385 wrote:It has everything - low shear, 28C SSTs and decent moistureweeniepatrol wrote:aspen wrote:
Edit: just saw that SHIPS output
It's jaw-dropping for JUNE
Sent from my LM-V405 using Tapatalk
AND unlike Elsa '21 this thing isn't flying at 25 kt
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Discussion
zzh wrote:https://i.imgur.com/tu16Ev0.png
A little elongated but 90% of the way to being closed. I wouldn't be shocked to see a depression within the next 24-36 hours.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Discussion
Sciencerocks wrote:zzh wrote:https://i.imgur.com/tu16Ev0.png
A little elongated but 90% of the way to being closed. I wouldn't be shocked to see a depression within the next 24-36 hours.
DMAX should be very interesting
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Discussion
If those models verify then I’m worried about what peak season could bring.
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