#162 Postby Category5Kaiju » Thu Jun 02, 2022 11:11 am
skyline385 wrote:Category5Kaiju wrote:At this point I am starting to wonder if there actually is a possibility that this season reaches at least 200 ACE. Seems like experts are really banking on several long-lived major hurricanes, and given the predicted favorability of the Caribbean, getting a high ACE would not be out of reach especially if we get a Caribbean cruiser system.
Most Caribbean systems are pretty short lived though. Its the MDR runners which pump up the ACE the most...
Oh by "Caribbean cruiser" I was referring to storms like Emily, Gilbert, Allen, Ivan, or Dean. The ones that rack up a lot of ACE by slowly traveling through the length of the Caribbean Sea. I don't doubt we'll see at least one long lived MDR system, but I also am wondering whether we could see a robust Caribbean cruiser given how many models are predicting a pretty favorable and wet Caribbean Sea during hurricane season's heart.
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Unless explicitly stated, all information covered in my posts is based on my opinions and observations. Please refer to a professional meteorologist or an accredited weather research agency otherwise, especially if serious decisions must be made in the event of a potentially life-threatening tropical storm or hurricane.