#2 Postby Hayabusa » Sun May 29, 2022 1:14 am
Now low, models don't even make it to a TS though
ABPW10 PGTW 290600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND
/SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/290600Z-300600ZMAY2022//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY:
(1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 5.5N
132.1E, APPROXIMATELY 187 NM SOUTHWEST OF PALAU. A 290317Z ANIMATED
MULTISPECTUAL SATELLEITE IMAGE SHOWS DISORGANIZED, PERSISTING
CONVECTION WITH A POORLY ORGNIZED LLC. A 290109Z METOP-C ASCAT PASS
REVEALS A PATCH OF 15-20KT WINDS IN THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE OF THE
AREA. ENVIROMENTAL ANALYSIS SHOWS THAT THE INVEST IS IN A FAVORABLE
AREA FOR DEVELOPMENT DEFINED BY RADIAL OUTFLOW, LOW (5-10KT)
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (30C). GLOBAL
MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN AGREEMENT THAT THE INVEST WILL TRACK GENEREALLY
NORTHWEST OVER THE NEXT 48-72 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS
ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO
LOW.
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ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい!!!
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