Texas Spring 2022

[Haris]

91 at DFW although it is a dry heat

It's crazy because up here I'm still not above 70 been cooler than forecast for days

Since 2000 there have been two years where the first 90F or greater occurred in March at DFW, 2006 and 2017.

94 now. This looks brutal. 100 by April??

[Ntxw]

91 at DFW although it is a dry heat

It's crazy because up here I'm still not above 70 been cooler than forecast for days

Since 2000 there have been two years where the first 90F or greater occurred in March at DFW, 2006 and 2017.

94 now. This looks brutal. 100 by April??

Lots of over-achieving the next few months. That's the difference with drought feedback. +5 to +10F over forecast. Southerly winds, had it been southwesterly trajectory might have pushed for 100F.

[cheezyWXguy]

18z NAM bringing the PDS tor to DFW at 4am (9z) on 3/30. Not worth taking verbatim, but probably suggests a potential for qlcs spinups on the front of the line when it comes in

[Iceresistance]

Since 2000 there have been two years where the first 90F or greater occurred in March at DFW, 2006 and 2017.

94 now. This looks brutal. 100 by April??

Lots of over-achieving the next few months. That's the difference with drought feedback. +5 to +10F over forecast. Southerly winds, had it been southwesterly trajectory might have pushed for 100F.

I don't have that kind of Drought Feedback. Temperatures topped in the mid 70s in my area, I also have Green Grass as well.

[Haris]

94 now. This looks brutal. 100 by April??

Lots of over-achieving the next few months. That's the difference with drought feedback. +5 to +10F over forecast. Southerly winds, had it been southwesterly trajectory might have pushed for 100F.

I don't have that kind of Drought Feedback. Temperatures topped in the mid 70s in my area, I also have Green Grass as well.

Some boundary by the red river

[Ntxw]

Lots of over-achieving the next few months. That's the difference with drought feedback. +5 to +10F over forecast. Southerly winds, had it been southwesterly trajectory might have pushed for 100F.

I don't have that kind of Drought Feedback. Temperatures topped in the mid 70s in my area, I also have Green Grass as well.

Some boundary by the red river

Much of Oklahoma stayed in cooler air mass easterly winds. Warm front to the south but much of the state is also in drought. It won't last.

[ElectricStorm]

I think we'll be looking at a mostly linear and overnight event Tuesday, with a damaging wind threat and some QLCS tornado threat. Shouldn't be anything like 3/21 but it should at least be an interesting line. Probably slight or enhanced risk at the most. I haven't been under an enhanced risk in March since 2017 so this has a chance to break the streak.

[Iceresistance]

The 6z GFS is featuring Diurnal convection across most of Texas in April, in the long range.

[wxman57]

91 at DFW although it is a dry heat

It's crazy because up here I'm still not above 70 been cooler than forecast for days

Since 2000 there have been two years where the first 90F or greater occurred in March at DFW, 2006 and 2017.

94 now. This looks brutal. 100 by April??

It was 94F in D-FW yesterday, but the dewpoint was in the low 20s, making the RH as low as 7%. Dry weather = warm weather. I've measured 2.08" of rain here in Houston so far. Total of 5.32" for the year. Only 1.58" in March of 2021 and less than 5" total through March. Only 0.43" in March of 2011 then 0.06" in April of 2011. It's just terrible that Texas is moving out of the deep freeze that has persisted since the start of the year. Yeah, terrible.

You should get some rain up in the D-FW area Wednesday morning. As a bonus, some additional liquid once the hail melts.

[cheezyWXguy]

The parameter space looks surprisingly favorable just ahead of this line Tuesday night. I’d bet they go enhanced for the i35 corridor if other hi res models align with the nam

[HockeyTx82]

Since 2000 there have been two years where the first 90F or greater occurred in March at DFW, 2006 and 2017.

94 now. This looks brutal. 100 by April??

It was 94F in D-FW yesterday, but the dewpoint was in the low 20s, making the RH as low as 7%. Dry weather = warm weather. I've measured 2.08" of rain here in Houston so far. Total of 5.32" for the year. Only 1.58" in March of 2021 and less than 5" total through March. Only 0.43" in March of 2011 then 0.06" in April of 2011. It's just terrible that Texas is moving out of the deep freeze that has persisted since the start of the year. Yeah, terrible.

You should get some rain up in the D-FW area Wednesday morning. As a bonus, some additional liquid once the hail melts.

Hail is mother nature's form of time release watering.

[captainbarbossa19]

Since 2000 there have been two years where the first 90F or greater occurred in March at DFW, 2006 and 2017.

94 now. This looks brutal. 100 by April??

It was 94F in D-FW yesterday, but the dewpoint was in the low 20s, making the RH as low as 7%. Dry weather = warm weather. I've measured 2.08" of rain here in Houston so far. Total of 5.32" for the year. Only 1.58" in March of 2021 and less than 5" total through March. Only 0.43" in March of 2011 then 0.06" in April of 2011. It's just terrible that Texas is moving out of the deep freeze that has persisted since the start of the year. Yeah, terrible.

You should get some rain up in the D-FW area Wednesday morning. As a bonus, some additional liquid once the hail melts.

I am glad you mentioned rainfall records for 2011. This is why I said earlier in this thread we could experience significant drought for the state later this year, but it is unlikely to be of the same degree as in 2011. These comparisons show that year was much drier than this year already.

[Ntxw]

Line of storms looks like an overnight affair for most of us. Should be over by morning, 0.5-1" of rainfall.

[Iceresistance]

There's a large Wildfire just north of Killeen, TX

As of 7 PM CDT, it's 0% Contained

[captainbarbossa19]

Well, this is a nice surprise!

[rwfromkansas]

Still a slight risk for tonight. Hopefully we can get a half-inch, but that's pretty iffy with a quick line.

[Iceresistance]

The Slight risk now extends from Texas to Central Iowa, Oklahoma is in the Highest Parameters for all hazards.

[ElectricStorm]

This doesn't get talked about as much but today could be a nasty day for wildfires. Rare extreme risk from the SPC

[Iceresistance]

That wind right now . . . Jeez

[wxman57]

Greatest risk for severe weather appears to be east of Texas tomorrow afternoon. The southeast may be hard-hit tomorrow afternoon into Thursday.