Texas Spring 2022

[bubba hotep]

Looks like the front is through Graham and is approaching Decatur.

[Edwards Limestone]

I think at this point the RAP and HRRR are the models to watch and so far both are showing very little in the way of precip (RAP has definitely backed off from earlier runs). Just not in the cards for much of anything. Maybe a few pockets of sleet and some flurries across DFW but I wouldn't expect a WWA out of it unless something changes quickly with the trough orientation....better odds far NE TX.

Just not enough moisture...our old friend -PDO and La Nina strike again

This week's drought monitor (yikes):

https://www.tceq.texas.gov/response/drought/

*off topic- any tips on posting images here? what is the preferred img hosting site? thanks!

[Haris]

I think at this point the RAP and HRRR are the models to watch and so far both are showing very little in the way of precip (RAP has definitely backed off from earlier runs). Just not in the cards for much of anything. Maybe a few pockets of sleet and some flurries across DFW but I wouldn't expect a WWA out of it unless something changes quickly with the trough orientation....better odds far NE TX.

Just not enough moisture...our old friend -PDO and La Nina strike again

This week's drought monitor (yikes):

https://imgur.com/A9pJeim

https://www.tceq.texas.gov/response/drought/

*off topic- any tips on posting images here? what is the preferred img hosting site? thanks!

We’ve been lucky in Austin to be the only metro not even in D0.

Gonna change tho

[DallasAg]

Latest La Niña advisory now extends La Niña through the summer (53% chance) followed by a 40-50% of ENSO neutral or continuing La Niña thereafter. The hits just keep coming.

Anyone going to lay odds that DFW gets to 100 before June 1?

[Ntxw]

Latest La Niña advisory now extends La Niña through the summer (53% chance) followed by a 40-50% of ENSO neutral or continuing La Niña thereafter. The hits just keep coming.

Anyone going to lay odds that DFW gets to 100 before June 1?

History says we have the groundworks for a true hot Texas style summer this year.

Only caveat is Canada remaining cool and EPO.

[Iceresistance]

The Temperatures fell really fast! From 56 to 39 in just 1-2 hours!

[bubba hotep]

00z HRRR very dry for DFW. Probably just some mist with maybe a flurry or two. Meh.

[Ntxw]

Need the ULL to really overperform and the cold.

Regardless it is going to be a very cold mid March day. High will be after midnight but maxing daytime in the mid 30s is around near records for the time frame (though the 11th itself has the record coldest March high of 25 which looks safe.)

[Haris]

WRF ARW would make NTX very happy if you want good news

[Brent]

The Temperatures fell really fast! From 56 to 39 in just 1-2 hours!

That wind is no joke. Like someone just opened the freezer

[HockeyTx82]

Front just passed through Ponder.

[HockeyTx82]

I find the lack of posts disturbing........

I know we are not talking inches but still something it going to fall tomorrow.

Could this be one of those that catches everyone off guard and over performs in real time?

[CaptinCrunch]

This is not going to be what we hoped for at the start of the week. Rather disappointing but still cold enough to enjoy the fireplace 1 last time

[Cpv17]

I find the lack of posts disturbing........

I know we are not talking inches but still something it going to fall tomorrow.

Could this be one of those that catches everyone off guard and over performs in real time?

I’m just thankful it’s going to get cold again. Delays the heat and humidity for a few days.

[orangeblood]

Something doesn’t look right with the HRRR when compared to other guidance…it’s starting to back build west though, this could be a decent sleet/snow event after all

[cstrunk]

Very surprised that NWS SHV posted a WWA for me in Longview tomorrow evening. The high for tomorrow is 59F lol.

[Cerlin]

Precipitation starting to fill in, we're gonna see if there's more precipitation than they expected or not.

[EnnisTx]

WWA has been extended Soth to include DFW.

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
127 AM CST Fri Mar 11 2022

TXZ118>120-131>133-111800-
/O.EXA.KFWD.WW.Y.0003.220311T1200Z-220312T0000Z/
Tarrant-Dallas-Rockwall-Hood-Somervell-Johnson-
Including the cities of Fort Worth, Arlington, Dallas, Rockwall,
Heath, Granbury, Oak Trail Shores, Glen Rose, Cleburne,
and Burleson
127 AM CST Fri Mar 11 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THIS MORNING TO
6 PM CST THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Sleet and snow
accumulations of a few tenths of an inch and ice accumulations
of a light glaze.

* WHERE...The Dallas-Fort Worth Metroplex.

* WHEN...From 6 AM to 6 PM CST Friday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions, especially on
bridges and overpasses. The hazardous conditions could impact
the morning and evening commutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling.

The latest road conditions for Texas can be found at
drivetexas.org.

[Ralph's Weather]

Very surprised that NWS SHV posted a WWA for me in Longview tomorrow evening. The high for tomorrow is 59F lol.

They finally added Smith and also upped totals a bit. Still a very minor event but most along and north of I-20 will get a short burst of decently heavy snow before precip ends. 30s have made it into northwestern probs of East Texas with 40s for the rest of East Texas. Temps will fall through the day. Main area of precip is still in the TX Panhandle and Oklahoma with drizzle across much of Texas. For the Tyler area expect rain to start around lunch with sleet mixing in more and more as afternoon progress. Transitioning to a band of snow around dinner time.

[Iceresistance]

Snowing like crazy outside, 23°F