97S INVEST 220213 1200 13.4S 105.2E SHEM 20 1007
SIO - INVEST 97S
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cycloneye
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SIO - INVEST 97S
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Iceresistance
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Re: SIO - INVEST 97S
THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 97S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 13.4S 105.2E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.1S 98.4E, APPROXIMATELY
196 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS. ANIMATED ENHANCED
INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A BROAD, POORLY-ORGANIZED LOW-
LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC) WITH FLARING DEEP CONVECTION. A 141013Z
SSMIS 91GHZ COLOR COMPOSITE MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOWS A WEAKLY-DEFINED
LLC WITH FORMATIVE, FRAGMENTED CONVECTIVE BANDING OVER THE NORTHEAST
QUADRANT. A 141440Z ASCAT-C IMAGE REVEALS AN ELONGATED, DEFINED
CIRCULATION WITH AN EXTENSIVE SWATH OF 25 TO 30 KNOT WINDS OVER THE
SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE AND A SMALL REGION OF 25 TO 30 KNOT WINDS
DISPLACED 200NM TO THE NORTH. THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED SOUTHWEST OF AN
UPPER-LEVEL POINT SOURCE WITH VIGOROUS EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW AND WEAK
POLEWARD OUTFLOW. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR RANGES FROM 15 TO 20 KNOTS.
SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE CONDUCIVE AT 28 TO 30C. GLOBAL MODELS
INDICATE A WESTWARD TO WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK WITH STEADY
DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS
ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO
MEDIUM.
NEAR 13.4S 105.2E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.1S 98.4E, APPROXIMATELY
196 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS. ANIMATED ENHANCED
INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A BROAD, POORLY-ORGANIZED LOW-
LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC) WITH FLARING DEEP CONVECTION. A 141013Z
SSMIS 91GHZ COLOR COMPOSITE MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOWS A WEAKLY-DEFINED
LLC WITH FORMATIVE, FRAGMENTED CONVECTIVE BANDING OVER THE NORTHEAST
QUADRANT. A 141440Z ASCAT-C IMAGE REVEALS AN ELONGATED, DEFINED
CIRCULATION WITH AN EXTENSIVE SWATH OF 25 TO 30 KNOT WINDS OVER THE
SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE AND A SMALL REGION OF 25 TO 30 KNOT WINDS
DISPLACED 200NM TO THE NORTH. THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED SOUTHWEST OF AN
UPPER-LEVEL POINT SOURCE WITH VIGOROUS EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW AND WEAK
POLEWARD OUTFLOW. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR RANGES FROM 15 TO 20 KNOTS.
SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE CONDUCIVE AT 28 TO 30C. GLOBAL MODELS
INDICATE A WESTWARD TO WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK WITH STEADY
DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS
ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO
MEDIUM.
Maybe 'Emnati' in the near-future?
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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