Global models go out to sea with 97L

#1 Postby **cycloneye** » Mon Nov 10, 2003 4:15 pm

http://files.hurricanealley.net/storms/97LGLB.html

Let's see what the next runs from the globals show in next runs but the US wont be threatened by it.

OtherHD · #2 Postby **OtherHD** » Mon Nov 10, 2003 4:15 pm

lmao...go UKMET!!

Steve H. · #3 Postby **Steve H.** » Mon Nov 10, 2003 5:08 pm

Yeah if it stays down in the Caribbean the ridge will have influence on it. Ya know, that's the JB model...UKIE :wink:

#4 Postby **cycloneye** » Mon Nov 10, 2003 5:10 pm

Steve H does JB bullish with this?

caribepr · #5 Postby **caribepr** » Mon Nov 10, 2003 5:26 pm

I don't think we need anything dramatic to add to what we already have here. Culebra is saturated and more is on the way. AND we missed the lunar eclipse!

#6 Postby **wxman57** » Mon Nov 10, 2003 5:32 pm

I just looked at the 18Z GFS 400mb-700mb mean flow for the eastern Caribbean and it's strongly suggestive of a north to northeast movement. This is the 18Z (00hr) map, but the forecast is for more of the same, with the ridge over the Gulf building east and the ridge east of the disturbance moving farther east (thus the general NNE-NE movement of the low). One thing does look pretty certain - the U.S. stands about zero chance of being affected unless this disturbance develops its own propulsion system.

<img src="http://myweb.cableone.net/nolasue/disturbflow.gif">

#7 Postby **cycloneye** » Mon Nov 10, 2003 5:48 pm

OMG it would be a massive flooding event because we haved been saturated with rain for almost a week. :eek:

Global models go out to sea with 97L

Global models go out to sea with 97L

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