ATL: GRACE - Models

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Kohlecane
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Re: ATL: GRACE - Models

#521 Postby Kohlecane » Sat Aug 14, 2021 7:45 pm

Spacecoast wrote:
Kohlecane wrote:
Blown Away wrote:https://i.imgur.com/fOD5epI.gif
18z HWRF... Big shift N with Cat 2 @105 mph hurricane into Upper Keys...

Could only imagine what we would be looking at if this run went another 48 hours :eek:


HWRF looks remarkably similar to 12z CMC run,which ends up N gulf (Alabama / Mississippi)

Aside from a couple of 12z EMCF ensemble members, the 12z CMC, and 18z HWRF are currently the northernmost tracks.

Interesting to see what the CMC let alone the rest of the 00Z runs show
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Re: ATL: GRACE - Models

#522 Postby Michele B » Sat Aug 14, 2021 7:49 pm

Blown Away wrote:https://i.imgur.com/Tzq1T65.gif
18z HWRF 96 Hours... @3.5 degrees N & @5 degrees E of 12z... Much, much slower... 96 hours appears to find better conditions??


Really??

THAT far north??

IDK
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Re: ATL: GRACE - Models

#523 Postby ScottNAtlanta » Sat Aug 14, 2021 7:58 pm

Nothing good comes of a NW heading storm forced west in that area. They almost always bomb out
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Re: ATL: GRACE - Models

#524 Postby SFLcane » Sat Aug 14, 2021 7:58 pm

18z eps stronger and north of Haiti.
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Re: ATL: GRACE - Models

#525 Postby tolakram » Sat Aug 14, 2021 8:07 pm

18Z EPS
Image
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Re: ATL: GRACE - Models

#526 Postby captainbarbossa19 » Sat Aug 14, 2021 8:15 pm

tolakram wrote:18Z EPS
https://i.imgur.com/PVFlAOo.gif


Well, we clearly know where Grace is headed now! :D
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Re: ATL: GRACE - Models

#527 Postby gatorcane » Sat Aug 14, 2021 8:15 pm

00Z:

Image
Image
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Re: ATL: GRACE - Models

#528 Postby LarryWx » Sat Aug 14, 2021 8:19 pm

Although the 18Z GEFS members are overall weaker than many earlier runs, the 18Z Euro ens has a good number of strong members out of its 51 members with it easily the most active run of today.
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Re: ATL: GRACE - Models

#529 Postby AxaltaRacing24 » Sat Aug 14, 2021 8:22 pm

tolakram wrote:18Z EPS
https://i.imgur.com/PVFlAOo.gif

I have no words.
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Re: ATL: GRACE - Models

#530 Postby sma10 » Sat Aug 14, 2021 8:26 pm



18z EPS and HWRF ... Both hinting at the infamous "bend back to the west" troublemaker
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Re: ATL: GRACE - Models

#531 Postby AutoPenalti » Sat Aug 14, 2021 8:27 pm

I have such a headache right now. I can’t even workout anymore. This has become a sick addiction.
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Re: ATL: GRACE - Models

#532 Postby aspen » Sat Aug 14, 2021 8:29 pm

tolakram wrote:18Z EPS
https://i.imgur.com/PVFlAOo.gif

Looks like future Henri up there near Bermuda could become something of note.
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Re: ATL: GRACE - Models

#533 Postby AxaltaRacing24 » Sat Aug 14, 2021 8:29 pm

AutoPenalti wrote:I have such a headache right now. I can’t even workout anymore. This has become a sick addiction.

imagine how the NHC feels.
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Re: ATL: GRACE - Models

#534 Postby Blown Away » Sat Aug 14, 2021 8:40 pm

tolakram wrote:18Z EPS
https://i.imgur.com/PVFlAOo.gif


Operational buries into Hispaniola & Cuba and nearly all the ensembles into SFL. Still don’t know how to read that.
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Re: ATL: GRACE - Models

#535 Postby SFLcane » Sat Aug 14, 2021 8:57 pm

:eek:

Image
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Re: ATL: GRACE - Models

#536 Postby ElectricStorm » Sat Aug 14, 2021 8:58 pm


Man a few of those go straight for Hispaniola but then yeet north at the last second :double:
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Re: ATL: GRACE - Models

#537 Postby blp » Sat Aug 14, 2021 8:59 pm

aspen wrote:
tolakram wrote:18Z EPS
https://i.imgur.com/PVFlAOo.gif

Looks like future Henri up there near Bermuda could become something of note.


Great point. That is a wild card could pull it further north.
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Re: ATL: GRACE - Models

#538 Postby SFLcane » Sat Aug 14, 2021 8:59 pm

Blown Away wrote:
tolakram wrote:18Z EPS
https://i.imgur.com/PVFlAOo.gif


Operational buries into Hispaniola & Cuba and nearly all the ensembles into SFL. Still don’t know how to read that.


Euro does not it’s actually intensifying heading wnw here.

Image
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Re: ATL: GRACE - Models

#539 Postby AxaltaRacing24 » Sat Aug 14, 2021 9:01 pm

Weather Dude wrote:

Man a few of those go straight for Hispaniola but then yeet north at the last second :double:

They do not need this at all after the earthquake. Keep those shifts coming.
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Re: RE: Re: ATL: GRACE - Models

#540 Postby jlauderdal » Sat Aug 14, 2021 9:01 pm

SouthFLTropics wrote:HWRF about to lay the smack down to Key Largo…976mb and deepening.


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The hwrf has hit se florida twice in a week and will fail both times, that is very sad.
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