Tropical Wave in East Atlantic: (Is invest 95L)
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cycloneye
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Tropical Wave in East Atlantic: (Is invest 95L)
Some models try to develop this wave down the road and that is why I am making this thread.
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Re: Tropical Wave emerging West Africa
The 00z GFS had this become a Caribbean/Gulf hurricane, but the 06z run has dropped it. However, both the GEFS and Euro ensembles remain quite active, especially the Euro, which starts showing the disturbance in as little as a few days and has twice as many members show development as the GEFS.
Thanks to the train of invests, the environment in front of this wave might be better prepped for development, and it looks like it’ll remain at a low latitude.
Thanks to the train of invests, the environment in front of this wave might be better prepped for development, and it looks like it’ll remain at a low latitude.
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Irene '11 Sandy '12 Hermine '16 5/15/2018 Derecho Fay '20 Isaias '20 Elsa '21 Henri '21 Ida '21
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
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cycloneye
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Re: Tropical Wave emerging West Africa
8 AM TWD:
Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is
observed from 09N to 17N and E of 21W to the coast of Africa ahead
of the next tropical wave about to move off the coast of western
Africa.
observed from 09N to 17N and E of 21W to the coast of Africa ahead
of the next tropical wave about to move off the coast of western
Africa.
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cycloneye
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Re: Tropical Wave emerging West Africa
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Category5Kaiju
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Re: Tropical Wave emerging West Africa
cycloneye wrote:https://twitter.com/AndyHazelton/status/1424710797662507010
Andy Hazelton thinking that this system might be worth watching? Uh oh, looks like it is something we should indeed monitor then!
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Unless explicitly stated, all info in my posts is based on my own opinions and observations. Tropical storms and hurricanes can be extremely dangerous. Do not think you can beat Mother Nature. Refer to an accredited weather research agency or meteorologist if you need to make serious decisions regarding an approaching storm.
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cycloneye
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Re: Tropical Wave off African coast
I think what GFS has in GOM is from this wave.
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cycloneye
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Re: Tropical Wave off African coast
2 PM TWD:
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave recently moved off the coast of
Africa, and is currently analyzed along 18W from 22N southward.
Scattered showers are noted from 09N to 14N east of 24W.
Africa, and is currently analyzed along 18W from 22N southward.
Scattered showers are noted from 09N to 14N east of 24W.
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Astromanía
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Spacecoast
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Stormybajan
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Re: Tropical Wave off African coast
Spacecoast wrote:ECMWF ensembles show this system....
[url]https://i.ibb.co/8K4PxVw/ecmda.jpg [/url]
Making my bold prediction in the early: This will be the next tropical depression after PTC6!
book it
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Sad West Indies and Manchester United fan ⚽️
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StPeteMike
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Re: Tropical Wave off African coast
Big favor for this storm. PTC6 might be the appetizer, this could be the entree for us here in the CONUS.
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toad strangler
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Re: Tropical Wave off African coast
This one could be the one thing last year lacked. A true long tracker.
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cycloneye
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Re: Tropical Wave off African coast
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 20W
from 05N to 22N, moving westward at 10 kt. Scattered moderate to
isolated strong convection is within 60 nm west of the wave from
10N to 14N.
from 05N to 22N, moving westward at 10 kt. Scattered moderate to
isolated strong convection is within 60 nm west of the wave from
10N to 14N.
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Category5Kaiju
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Re: Tropical Wave off African coast
Spacecoast wrote:ECMWF ensembles show this system....
[url]https://i.ibb.co/8K4PxVw/ecmda.jpg [/url]
I have a feeling we are going to see a southward shift in those track clusters
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Stormybajan
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Re: Tropical Wave south of Cabo Verde Islands
Certainly not the worst African easterly wave I've seen...
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Sad West Indies and Manchester United fan ⚽️
Re: Tropical Wave off African coast
toad strangler wrote:This one could be the one thing last year lacked. A true long tracker.
Teddy was one, even though it went OTS.
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cycloneye
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Re: Tropical Wave south of Cabo Verde Islands
Looking good.
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ElectricStorm
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Re: Tropical Wave south of Cabo Verde Islands
I posted this in the model runs thread but I'm gonna put it here too since it does appear that it is from this wave. Fantasy range GFS:
Of course it's way out there but one thing is likely: we're probably going to be tracking this wave for a while...
Of course it's way out there but one thing is likely: we're probably going to be tracking this wave for a while...
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B.S Meteorology, University of Oklahoma '25
Please refer to the NHC, NWS, or SPC for official information.
Please refer to the NHC, NWS, or SPC for official information.
Re: Tropical Wave south of Cabo Verde Islands
Very surprised the NHC has not tagged it for their 5 day outlook. This looks better than 92 and and 93L ever did.
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