wx98 wrote:AlphaToOmega wrote:The NHC has a hard time dealing with the monsoon trough. It is still too early to discount the system, though. Also, no code red invest has failed to develop in the Atlantic this year.
Doing some quick math:
50% * 80% * 90% = 36%
64% chance of a depression developing within 5 days
There is no such thing as a “code red invest.” Also, many times invests with high chances of formation through 5 days (and even 48 hours) do not develop. Additionally, I don’t know where you are getting that math problem.
Multiplied the chances of the three disturbances not developing