A november surprise from the CV area?

#1 Postby **cycloneye** » Thu Nov 06, 2003 3:29 pm

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/EATL/IR4/20.jpg

This 2003 hurricane season has seen a very active Cape Verde season that started in june when TD#2 formed in the eastern atlantic and the last system that came out of that region was Nicholas in mid to late october.But will this time that we are in november the CV area see development of a system? I answer that not probable but not impossible judging what we haved seen in this 2003 season that has been active in almost all aspects except for the formation of more hurricanes only 6 so far and records being broke such as Ana forming in april.

Right now there is a wave in the eastcentral atlantic that has flared up because of conditions being somewhat favorable out there but will development occur is the question? Some models haved being hinting of something in the atlantic but let's wait for more runs from them to see a trend.And I understand that JB is hinting about this too but those who see the JB site can tell us what exactly he is saying.So let's see what happens in the atlantic in the comming days to see if a november surprise comes from the CV area or nothing develops.

JCT777 · #2 Postby **JCT777** » Thu Nov 06, 2003 5:46 pm

A CV wave that develops in November??? That would be a big WOW if that happened! But Larry Cosgrove actually mentioned it in today's newsletter, so maybe there is something to this.

Rainband · #3 Postby **Rainband** » Thu Nov 06, 2003 5:52 pm

This would be ODD to say the least :wink:

GalvestonDuck · #4 Postby **GalvestonDuck** » Thu Nov 06, 2003 5:54 pm

Totally odd!

#5 Postby **cycloneye** » Thu Nov 06, 2003 5:56 pm

5:30 PM EST Tropical weather outlook

Disorganized cloudiness and showers from the leading edge of a westward moving tropical wave located around 1,300 miles east of the southern windward islands and extends several hundred miles eastward.Significant development is not anticipated from this area.

Well they are keeping an eye on it.

Stormsfury · #6 Postby **Stormsfury** » Thu Nov 06, 2003 6:42 pm

I've been monitoring this situation for 4 days now ... :lol:

Steve H. · #7 Postby **Steve H.** » Thu Nov 06, 2003 6:54 pm

SF, I saw your previous threads on this. What's your take on the situation?

Stormsfury · #8 Postby **Stormsfury** » Thu Nov 06, 2003 7:00 pm

Steve H. wrote:SF, I saw your previous threads on this. What's your take on the situation?

I'll post a new thread as soon as I review the latest model guidance ... including the CMC ensembles loop (that I have been creating lately every day from the maps at PSU) and they're quite interesting ... CMC10 is quite scary)

SF

GulfBreezer · #9 Postby **GulfBreezer** » Thu Nov 06, 2003 7:04 pm

Stormsfury wrote:
Steve H. wrote:SF, I saw your previous threads on this. What's your take on the situation?

I'll post a new thread as soon as I review the latest model guidance ... including the CMC ensembles loop (that I have been creating lately every day from the maps at PSU) and they're quite interesting ... CMC10 is quite scary)

SF

Come on SF!! When you use the word "Scary" in November referring to the tropics, you can't leave us hanging on too long we will all die of suspense..........so SPILL IT!!

Josephine96 · #10 Postby **Josephine96** » Thu Nov 06, 2003 9:23 pm

As I said in another reply. It would be interesting to see 1 big bang before the end of the year.

Stormsfury · #11 Postby **Stormsfury** » Thu Nov 06, 2003 9:27 pm

GulfBreezer wrote:
Stormsfury wrote:
Steve H. wrote:SF, I saw your previous threads on this. What's your take on the situation?

I'll post a new thread as soon as I review the latest model guidance ... including the CMC ensembles loop (that I have been creating lately every day from the maps at PSU) and they're quite interesting ... CMC10 is quite scary)

SF

Come on SF!! When you use the word "Scary" in November referring to the tropics, you can't leave us hanging on too long we will all die of suspense..........so SPILL IT!!

The beans have been spilled ... http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?t=18384

Josephine96 · #12 Postby **Josephine96** » Thu Nov 06, 2003 9:28 pm

LOL don't make too much of a mess when you spill them

capecodder · #13 Postby **capecodder** » Thu Nov 06, 2003 9:33 pm

Definitely seems to be something brewing out there.http://meteosat.e-technik.uni-ulm ... -IR-D4.gif

(from Lou's Weather Watch)

Josephine96 · #14 Postby **Josephine96** » Thu Nov 06, 2003 9:34 pm

I guess time will tell and we may see some late season development/

ColdFront77 · #15 Postby **ColdFront77** » Fri Nov 07, 2003 1:41 am

SF, I also have been reviewing the models, your posts (and links) on this situation.

Anonymous · #16 Postby **Anonymous** » Fri Nov 07, 2003 8:33 am

Too late in the season.

Josephine96 · #17 Postby **Josephine96** » Fri Nov 07, 2003 10:56 am

I'd love to see a late season storm

It'd be fun to track

A november surprise from the CV area?

A november surprise from the CV area?

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