Texas Summer 2021

[wxman57]

This is a terrible way to run a summer. Cool and rainy every day. No 100 degree day in sight...

[AlphaToOmega]

The South Central United States should see a cooler-than-average summer.



Throughout most of the summer, temperatures in the South Central United States and the Great Plains have been well-below-average. That is expected to continue throughout the next few days. That still means, however, that Houston will experience very warm temperatures.

[Ntxw]

Pattern was established in late May. We are entering the hottest weeks of Summer (late July and early August) that often features numerous 100+ days. That is nowhere in sight as we continue below normal temps. This is one of the cooler summers of recent memory after one of the coldest ends to winter.





Meanwhile another high octane high pressure dome of heat is setting up over the High Rockies and Northern Plains where excessive heat once again establishes. Texas remains cooler below.

[captainbarbossa19]

I have had over 30 inches of rain now since May 1st. That is about half my annual rainfall and about 75% of this year's rainfall. What a difference in about a couple months!

[bubba hotep]

GFS, Euro, and Canadian ensembles keep things below normal for the next 10 days and even towards the end of their respective runs. We're passed the halfway point of Summer, especially for here. The pattern being shown on some of the tropical models favors cooler than normal weather for the Central U.S with a ridge to the west and east of us. As long as we don't get a prolonged bridge I think we will see continued near or below normal temps. What a great first Summer back in the Plains!

It really is pleasant, but makes me a little uneasy about the Texas coast, as some others have pointed out periodically. That ridge that the gfs wants to set up in the long range over the SE looks like it’s aligned to send anything that manages to get into the gulf right our way…

That and the continued below normal MDR certainly raises some questions about peak season. Will waves struggle to development and thus make it farther west before developing? Could increase Texas risk and keep it open longer than normal.

[Iceresistance]

This is a terrible way to run a summer. Cool and rainy every day. No 100 degree day in sight...

The West coast recently got up to 130°F last week. It seems like that it your revenge attempt only managed to hit the West Coast.

I truly don’t recall a nice Summer after a nasty winter recently.

And my Highs are closer to the Temperatures in Houston, the highest so far is still 97°F in June.

[Cpv17]

GFS, Euro, and Canadian ensembles keep things below normal for the next 10 days and even towards the end of their respective runs. We're passed the halfway point of Summer, especially for here. The pattern being shown on some of the tropical models favors cooler than normal weather for the Central U.S with a ridge to the west and east of us. As long as we don't get a prolonged bridge I think we will see continued near or below normal temps. What a great first Summer back in the Plains!

It really is pleasant, but makes me a little uneasy about the Texas coast, as some others have pointed out periodically. That ridge that the gfs wants to set up in the long range over the SE looks like it’s aligned to send anything that manages to get into the gulf right our way…

That and the continued below normal MDR certainly raises some questions about peak season. Will waves struggle to development and thus make it farther west before developing? Could increase Texas risk and keep it open longer than normal.

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/ocean/cdas-sflux_ssta_atl_1.png

Storms are coming off Africa further south so they will have warmer waters to work with.

[Iceresistance]

Pattern was established in late May. We are entering the hottest weeks of Summer (late July and early August) that often features numerous 100+ days. That is nowhere in sight as we continue below normal temps. This is one of the cooler summers of recent memory after one of the coldest ends to winter.

https://i.imgur.com/OLKDxRl.gif

https://i.imgur.com/xyfQ19P.gif

Meanwhile another high octane high pressure dome of heat is setting up over the High Rockies and Northern Plains where excessive heat once again establishes. Texas remains cooler below.

I was very worried that this summer would be crazy hot, but nothing of the sort is happening

And to make matters worse: Several Climate Models are projecting the La Niña to re-emerge. And also showing a colder than normal Temperatures with wetter Precipitation as well.

[AlphaToOmega]

Slightly above-average precipitation for the South Central United States for the rest of the summer

[captainbarbossa19]

Pattern was established in late May. We are entering the hottest weeks of Summer (late July and early August) that often features numerous 100+ days. That is nowhere in sight as we continue below normal temps. This is one of the cooler summers of recent memory after one of the coldest ends to winter.

https://i.imgur.com/OLKDxRl.gif

https://i.imgur.com/xyfQ19P.gif

Meanwhile another high octane high pressure dome of heat is setting up over the High Rockies and Northern Plains where excessive heat once again establishes. Texas remains cooler below.

I was very worried that this summer would be crazy hot, but nothing of the sort is happening

And to make matters worse: Several Climate Models are projecting the La Niña to re-emerge. And also showing a colder than normal Temperatures with wetter Precipitation as well.

If that happens, I may not get my grass cut for a year.

[Cpv17]

Pattern was established in late May. We are entering the hottest weeks of Summer (late July and early August) that often features numerous 100+ days. That is nowhere in sight as we continue below normal temps. This is one of the cooler summers of recent memory after one of the coldest ends to winter.

https://i.imgur.com/OLKDxRl.gif

https://i.imgur.com/xyfQ19P.gif

Meanwhile another high octane high pressure dome of heat is setting up over the High Rockies and Northern Plains where excessive heat once again establishes. Texas remains cooler below.

I was very worried that this summer would be crazy hot, but nothing of the sort is happening

And to make matters worse: Several Climate Models are projecting the La Niña to re-emerge. And also showing a colder than normal Temperatures with wetter Precipitation as well.

If that happens, I may not get my grass cut for a year.

You’ll need a shredder.

[bubba hotep]

It really is pleasant, but makes me a little uneasy about the Texas coast, as some others have pointed out periodically. That ridge that the gfs wants to set up in the long range over the SE looks like it’s aligned to send anything that manages to get into the gulf right our way…

That and the continued below normal MDR certainly raises some questions about peak season. Will waves struggle to development and thus make it farther west before developing? Could increase Texas risk and keep it open longer than normal.

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/ocean/cdas-sflux_ssta_atl_1.png

Storms are coming off Africa further south so they will have warmer waters to work with.

True, waves have been coming off lower but it's hard to get development below 10N. I think there will be very impressive AEW at splash down but they will struggle across the MDR, pushing development farther west & increasing the risk of US landfalls.

[Cpv17]

That and the continued below normal MDR certainly raises some questions about peak season. Will waves struggle to development and thus make it farther west before developing? Could increase Texas risk and keep it open longer than normal.

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/ocean/cdas-sflux_ssta_atl_1.png

Storms are coming off Africa further south so they will have warmer waters to work with.

True, waves have been coming off lower but it's hard to get development below 10N. I think there will be very impressive AEW at splash down but they will struggle across the MDR, pushing development farther west & increasing the risk of US landfalls.

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/tcprob/usa.png

The Caribbean to me is a wildcard this year. I’m not sure if it’ll be favorable or not yet. Usually it’s not.

[South Texas Storms]

This is a terrible way to run a summer. Cool and rainy every day. No 100 degree day in sight...

This has been one of the best summers we've had in a long time. I'm loving it and hope it continues through August!

[cstrunk]

Sea breeze thunderstorms rolled through yesterday evening and left me a gift of 0.24" rain IMBY. Also very pretty skies near sunset.

[captainbarbossa19]

This is a terrible way to run a summer. Cool and rainy every day. No 100 degree day in sight...

This has been one of the best summers we've had in a long time. I'm loving it and hope it continues through August!

I agree that the cooler temperatures should continue, but the rain needs to calm down a little. Lol. I left ruts all in my yard yesterday evening from trying to cut the grass.

[Iceresistance]

This is a terrible way to run a summer. Cool and rainy every day. No 100 degree day in sight...

This has been one of the best summers we've had in a long time. I'm loving it and hope it continues through August!

I agree that the cooler temperatures should continue, but the rain needs to calm down a little. Lol. I left ruts all in my yard yesterday evening from trying to cut the grass.

This is why I wait until it dries out . . .

[Cpv17]

This has been one of the best summers we've had in a long time. I'm loving it and hope it continues through August!

I agree that the cooler temperatures should continue, but the rain needs to calm down a little. Lol. I left ruts all in my yard yesterday evening from trying to cut the grass.

This is why I wait until it dries out . . .

Well some areas here in southeast TX haven’t been able to dry out since late April when this rainy pattern first started.

[bubba hotep]

Sea breeze thunderstorms rolled through yesterday evening and left me a gift of 0.24" rain IMBY. Also very pretty skies near sunset.

One of those storms also made it all the way through DFW and dropped a quick 0.10" at the airport. We didn't get any rain IMBY but the outflow pushed through, which made for a very nice evening.

[bubba hotep]

This would make for a wet end to July across Texas: